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2015 game by game predictions

stneumann83

Well-Known Member
Jan 23, 2014
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Hello everyone. I am sitting at home recovering from hernia surgery and really just trying to make the time past. These are my thoughts on the upcoming season game by game. I know a lot can happen between now and then but this is just for fun. Let me know what you think. The post if long but I wanted to provide some rational for each prediction


Week One- September 5th Us Vs. Temple

Temple returns all 11 starters on Defense and 8 on offense. I think with this game in Philly and being the first of the season, it could be close for three quarters of the game. But this is Temple for the love of God and we have far more talent than the Owls. State pulls away in the fourth and leave South Philly with a solid W.

31-13 PSU


Week Two- September 12th Bulls Vs. Us


Buffalo will have their hands full as new coach, Lance Leipold, leads his Bulls onto the field at Beaver Stadium. Last year the Bulls secondary allowed 8.3 yards per attempt (only 10 teams in the FBS allowed more) and needs three new starters. With that said, Hack puts on a passing clinic against the Bulls and PSU dismantles Buffalo’s secondary. This one was over before it began.

42-3 PSU


Week Three- September 19th Us. Vs Rutgers

Last year, the most handicapped team in Penn State history welcomed Rutgers University to the BG10 with another defeat which goes to show that Rutgers can change their uniforms and add a new conference logo to their field, but in the end , to Penn State, it’s just the same old Rutgers. After losing QB Gary Nova and three of their starters on their O-Line, coupled with having to replace two new starters on the D-line and one middle linebacker, Rutgers will face a steep challenge when they visit Beaver Stadium in mid-September…Oh and did I mention it’s a night game. Folks this game has the makings to be featured on a rerun of Murder She Wrote.

31-6 TTFP


Week Four- September 26th Us Vs. San Diego State

In their spring scrimmage, the Aztecs demonstrated that like Penn State, their greatest questions are at O-Line. During their spring game, the Aztecs projected starting line gave up five sacks and lacked the ability to open up any running lanes. Last season, San Diego State allowed touchdowns 66.7 percent of the time in the red zone. To make matters worse, last year the Aztecs were 111th in Red Zone efficiency in a conference that is light years away from the BG10. For the Aztecs, this game will end like it did for Montezuma.

41-10 PSU


Week Five- October 3rd Us Vs. Army

By the numbers, in 2014 Army was ranked 128th in passing, 93rd in points for, and 104th in points against. For 2015, I can’t foresee any major improvements to team personnel that would suggest that Army will be much improved. Having said that, these young men are Cadets in the finest military academy on the planet and they will fight and scrap until the very end. Penn Staters should and will roll out the red carpet for West Point.

28-10 PSU


Week Six-October 10th Us Vs. Indiana

When I graduated college, I set out on a mission to see Penn State play in every Big Ten Stadium within a decade. While fulfilling that mission, two years ago I took my dad to Bloomington to watch Penn State lose it first ever game to the Hoosiers. Meanwhile some jackass in front of us turned around at the end of the game and said “that one was for Jerry’s Kids”…. I’m not exactly sure what that he even meant but ever since then, the one team that I pulled for when they played anyone but us became just like every other BG10 team to me, not worth my time. Last year’s game was God awful but we did find a way not to lose two years in a row. IU’s two best DBs in ’14, Tim Bennett (9 pass breakups) and Mark Murphy (2 INTs), departed from the team. Otherwise not much has changed. Assuming that we are still healthy at the offensive line, I see Penn State winning easily this year.

28-14 PSU


Week 7- October 17th Ohio State VS. Us

No doubt that last year, Ohio State was the best in the land. But for one night we were better than they were head to head. Yes we lost but do the math….We win that game if it weren’t for BG10 officiating or lack thereof. Aside from our game, OSU was called for three holdings all of last year, with just one of those being flagged by a BG10 official. Mind numbing isn’t it. With that said we are just not there yet. CJF is building one hell of a team but we have some time to grow into the elite team that he has envisioned. Unless we can pull it together and our D keeps us in it, the likelihood of victory is not so likely. Hope I’m wrong!

28-10 OSU


Week 8- October 24th Maryland VS. Us

Remember when Maryland refused to shake our hands…and the beat us at home. Yea well so does CJF and he won’t let our men forget that. Maryland lost four of its six defensive linemen to graduation as well as QB C.J. Brown who was their leading rusher. Baltimore goes up in smoke again when PSU comes into town this year for revenge.

35-7 Penn State


Week 9- October 31st Illinois vs. Us

This was a game we should have won last year. A big reason we lost to Illinois last year in my opinion was wide receiver Mike Dudek. During the spring, Dudek tore his ACL and is expected to return sometime in October. Even if Dudek comes back in time, he won’t be 100%. . Also, Penn State favorite Tim Beckman is still at the helm in Illinois. I don’t know if you are like me but every time I see that man I can’t help but think what a scumbag. None the less , I think we win easily.

24-14 Penn State


Week 10- November 7th Us Vs. Northwestern

This was a game that we were never really in it at all last year. Simply put, we were beat soundly. Against other teams last year, Northwestern was vulnerable against the run, allowing more than 200 rush yards six times, and the front seven generated little pressure (17 sacks, fewest in the Big Ten). This will be an area of concentration for the Wild Cats. This is also the game I chose to travel to this year. I have a feeling this will be close and uncomfortable.

20-17 PSU


Week 11 Bye


Week 12 Saturday November 21st Michigan Vs. PSU

Really hard to predict what will happen this year with Michigan but I do think that they will be much improved under Harbaugh. There is a lot for Harbaugh to work with but the Wolverines lose their top two sackers, DEs Brennen Beyer and Frank Clark (10 sacks combined), as well as their top three tacklers for loss (Beyer, Clark and LB Jake Ryan: 35). By the time this game is played, I think both teams odds of winning will be about even. I like that this game is at home and is our whiteout because I think that we will need the extra support from the fans. I think this game is very close but we win.

17-10 PSU


Week 13 Saturday November 28th PSU Vs. Michigan State

Senior QB Connor Cook has 26 career starts. His 81.2 QBR in 2014 ranked No. 7 in the FBS, and his 8.8 ypa was No. 9. Defensively, the Spartans look poised to continue where Narduzzi left off. The Spartans bunch the cornerbacks and safeties close to the line of scrimmage so as to overwhelm the opposing offensive line. For us to have a chance here, I think we need prolonged protection for Hack so we can take our shots down field. Running against the Spartans will be a tall order and it all hinges on the health of our offensive line. Like OSU, unless we have a great game I just don’t think we are there yet where we are able to come out of East Lansing victorious.

28-17 MSU


Regular Season I predict we end up 10-2. I also predict that we will play in the outback bowl.
 
Very well done, with some great lines like "For the Aztecs, this game will end like it did for Montezuma." That's excellent! 10-2 may be on the mark, although I will tell you ILLINOISLION was the 1st to call 10-2, but he won't mind you agreeing with him. I say 9-3. Good luck with the recovery.
 
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Very well done, with some great lines like "For the Aztecs, this game will end like it did for Montezuma." That's excellent! 10-2 may be on the mark, although I will tell you ILLINOISLION was the 1st to call 10-2, but he won't mind you agreeing with him. I say 9-3. Good luck with the recovery.

Thank u. The Percocet is helping with my recovery
 
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If you have a cheerleader section like some do, I'd be willing to help you out at no cost. :)[/QUOTE]

Now were talking. And my iPhone takes really nice Photos.
 
I disagree slightly with your assessment of the NW game from last season. We played 3 lousy quarters on offense, gave up 2 quick scores in the first quarter, but the team was still in it until Hack came out for the fourth quarter and just forget where he was. PSU's D never quit until then, putting together 2-1/2 very solid quarters

They have a new QB, PSU's got some of the best corners in the Big Ten, and I think their run D is still weak while our O Line will be slightly improved. Lynch's vision and Hack being able to keep the d backs honest should open this game up for PSU. The game is up north in early November, this may be a bigger victory for PSU than imagined

I also agree that Franklin has every loss from last year circled and payback will be a big motivation this year.
 
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well I do hope we are ready for nw. Making my first trip out there for the game and want to drive home on the winning side.
 
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I give the nod to NW given its a home game for them. They are well coached and disciplined, but It should really be a toss up type game, perhaps decided by the kicking game and special teams. With our loss of Ficken, I fear we may drop one or two of the close ones, especially if they are on the road. Can we put up 27 and 28 points against Illinois and Indiana this year? It all depends on the offensive line (again). I think that we may have 5 or 6 games decided by less than a touchdown, and you have only predicted 1. Indiana, Illinois, Michigan, Maryland, Rutgers, and even Temple could be close games, depending upon our offensive line, punting, and field goal kicking. I think we win most and go 8-4.
 
I give the nod to NW given its a home game for them. They are well coached and disciplined, but It should really be a toss up type game, perhaps decided by the kicking game and special teams. With our loss of Ficken, I fear we may drop one or two of the close ones, especially if they are on the road. Can we put up 27 and 28 points against Illinois and Indiana this year? It all depends on the offensive line (again). I think that we may have 5 or 6 games decided by less than a touchdown, and you have only predicted 1. Indiana, Illinois, Michigan, Maryland, Rutgers, and even Temple could be close games, depending upon our offensive line, punting, and field goal kicking. I think we win most and go 8-4.
I think that's is a fair assessment. It really depends upon the offensive line. I just have a feeling that the offensive line will have their act together and we will put up points this year.
 
stneumann83, I love your optimism. Unfortunately, based on what I saw with the offensive line in the Blue-White Game, I cannot share such optimism. Last year, PSU lost some games it should not have in large part due to the offensive line. I fear the same will happen this year. Hopefully I'm wrong, but I saw a weak offensive line in last year's Blue-White Game that translated to a weak offensive line during the 2014 season. I fear the same this year. Again, I hope I'm wrong.
 
stneumann83, I love your optimism. Unfortunately, based on what I saw with the offensive line in the Blue-White Game, I cannot share such optimism. Last year, PSU lost some games it should not have in large part due to the offensive line. I fear the same will happen this year. Hopefully I'm wrong, but I saw a weak offensive line in last year's Blue-White Game that translated to a weak offensive line during the 2014 season. I fear the same this year. Again, I hope I'm wrong.

Kevin Reihner is a huge add (literally) to the O line. I am hopeful he will be able to anchor an improved O line this season, give him some time to fit into Franklin's offense . . .
 
I can use some of the cool aid you folks have been drinking.
I guess anything is possible. I will be happy with a 7-5. Anything above that is gravy.
 
Temple, Northwestern, Michigan, Illinois, Maryland, Rutgers, and Indy all have the talent to beat us. PSU might be the better team but it will be difficult to win all 6. That's why I say 8-4.


PSU's biggest problems will be:
  • Not much improvement on OL
  • DE position is unknown after losing both starters
  • Punting (PSU seems to give up 10+ yards on every change of possession)
  • FG situation is totally unknown but I'm not worried about KOs

Opponents:
  • Temple has everybody back but it's Temple. That would be a horrible loss to start the season. I'd feel much better if this game was at home.
  • Michigan has recruited well and will be tough but Garner and Funchess were most of their offense. Clark & Ryan were most of their defense. Their improvement will have to come from new players.
  • Rutgers outplayed PSU for most of the game last year. They return a lot of kids but it will be difficult to replace Nova.
  • Maryland replaces their top QB & WR so that should improve our chances.
Point of interest:
  • We didn't get many punt return yards from Della Valle but he had great hands. I expect a more explosive kick returner this year but at the risk of a couple of fumbles (look at Haley returning KOs last year). I'm not sure if that makes us better or worse. It will be interesting to watch.
 
Kevin Reihner is a huge add (literally) to the O line. I am hopeful he will be able to anchor an improved O line this season, give him some time to fit into Franklin's offense . . .

True. Here's hoping for an improved offensive line. On the one hand, I am encouraged by the bowl game, but then again, PSU looked good in the opener against UCF. In between, yeesh.
 
My heart says 10-2, but my head has settled on 8-4. Besides the issues with the OL, the kicking game is a downgrade from a year ago and it won 2 games in 2014. Franklin will play alot of youngsters in 2015. And you know what happens with youngsters.....
 
Temple, Northwestern, Michigan, Illinois, Maryland, Rutgers, and Indy all have the talent to beat us. PSU might be the better team but it will be difficult to win all 6. That's why I say 8-4.


PSU's biggest problems will be:
  • Not much improvement on OL
  • DE position is unknown after losing both starters
  • Punting (PSU seems to give up 10+ yards on every change of possession)
  • FG situation is totally unknown but I'm not worried about KOs

Opponents:
  • Temple has everybody back but it's Temple. That would be a horrible loss to start the season. I'd feel much better if this game was at home.
  • Michigan has recruited well and will be tough but Garner and Funchess were most of their offense. Clark & Ryan were most of their defense. Their improvement will have to come from new players.
  • Rutgers outplayed PSU for most of the game last year. They return a lot of kids but it will be difficult to replace Nova.
  • Maryland replaces their top QB & WR so that should improve our chances.
Point of interest:
  • We didn't get many punt return yards from Della Valle but he had great hands. I expect a more explosive kick returner this year but at the risk of a couple of fumbles (look at Haley returning KOs last year). I'm not sure if that makes us better or worse. It will be interesting to watch.

Good points all around. It's easy to overlook the loss of "Fair Catch" Della Valle, but he was reliable. It's been awhile since Penn State had a booming punter.
 
As I said on the Den...Perhaps I am being overly optimistic. Perhaps the cool-aid is a tad strong. That I guess is part of the fun. It is just this weak schedule is terribly untenable and I think we really do have an advantage in most of the games minus osu and msu. The Boston College game gives me hope that we will be able to score points. Time will tell.
 
As I said on the Den...Perhaps I am being overly optimistic. Perhaps the cool-aid is a tad strong. That I guess is part of the fun. It is just this weak schedule is terribly untenable and I think we really do have an advantage in most of the games minus osu and msu. The Boston College game gives me hope that we will be able to score points. Time will tell.

We had Donovan Smith and a reasonably healthy Miles Dieffenbach for the BC game. Smith was the 34th overall pick in the NFL draft and the Steelers signed Dieff to a free agent contract. It scares me to think how bad the rest of our OL was if it included two guys of that caliber.

We're putting a lot of hope on improvement from the existing kids (there should be some), some depth from the youngsters (can't hurt), and Reihner / Palmer making an impact. Reihner on started 6 games for Stanford (has to help but not a star) and Palmer struggled in the BW game (needs to improve fast).

It would also help if the staff can give Hack some faster developing passing plays.
 
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One other very big factor in our favor is the return of Brenneman. Coupled with what is developing into a very nice receiving corp, and a solid set of backs, I can see our offense making improvements.
 
One other very big factor in our favor is the return of Brenneman. Coupled with what is developing into a very nice receiving corp, and a solid set of backs, I can see our offense making improvements.

Brenneman, Carter, & Gesicki should be a solid group at TE. It's also time for Wilkerson to step up.

PSU is loaded at WR. Hamilton, Lewis, Godwin, Blacknall, & Thompkins provide plenty of depth and talent. Zanelatto will probably be limited to special teams. I don't see any reason to play the freshmen this year. The only question is if they can get separation and make difficult catches in traffic.

Lynch is a good back. Allen, Scott, or Thomas should be able to provide support. No reason to play Barkley or Robinson unless they really stand out. The only risk is that our freshmen RBs struggle blocking. That's especially important given our OL.

The future looks good at these positions. The OL is the only big concern on offense.
 
you guys are loaded at rb, te and wr to the point where you will/can put up points based on individual talent alone and not have to rely too heavily on great pass protection. You win 9 games if Hackenberg cuts down on turnovers - simple as that. The defense will be good enough to win close games as long as the turnover margin doesn't favor the opposition. Also, Zettel has to stay healthy and fit. Id imagine he is in line for a lot of reps this year.
 
Agree we "should/could" be 10-2. If the OL improves by about 25% (very realistic goal given a year of experience/physical growth and greater depth), the WRs separate better. On D, less question marks, maybe DE? Field goal kicking will be interesting. AND we certainly can't afford any injures with the OL.
The 10-2 prediction is more about our schedule than our being a truly "good" team.
Another plus is, I believe 3-4 of our big 10 opponents have first year QBs. Anything less than 10-2 will be a bit of a disappointment.
Another concern, maybe just me, is play calling and clock management. Granted the OL was soooooooo bad last year maybe that had a major impact on play calling?
 
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Hello everyone. I am sitting at home recovering from hernia surgery and really just trying to make the time past. These are my thoughts on the upcoming season game by game. I know a lot can happen between now and then but this is just for fun. Let me know what you think. The post if long but I wanted to provide some rational for each prediction


Week One- September 5th Us Vs. Temple

Temple returns all 11 starters on Defense and 8 on offense. I think with this game in Philly and being the first of the season, it could be close for three quarters of the game. But this is Temple for the love of God and we have far more talent than the Owls. State pulls away in the fourth and leave South Philly with a solid W.

31-13 PSU


Week Two- September 12th Bulls Vs. Us


Buffalo will have their hands full as new coach, Lance Leipold, leads his Bulls onto the field at Beaver Stadium. Last year the Bulls secondary allowed 8.3 yards per attempt (only 10 teams in the FBS allowed more) and needs three new starters. With that said, Hack puts on a passing clinic against the Bulls and PSU dismantles Buffalo’s secondary. This one was over before it began.

42-3 PSU


Week Three- September 19th Us. Vs Rutgers

Last year, the most handicapped team in Penn State history welcomed Rutgers University to the BG10 with another defeat which goes to show that Rutgers can change their uniforms and add a new conference logo to their field, but in the end , to Penn State, it’s just the same old Rutgers. After losing QB Gary Nova and three of their starters on their O-Line, coupled with having to replace two new starters on the D-line and one middle linebacker, Rutgers will face a steep challenge when they visit Beaver Stadium in mid-September…Oh and did I mention it’s a night game. Folks this game has the makings to be featured on a rerun of Murder She Wrote.

31-6 TTFP


Week Four- September 26th Us Vs. San Diego State

In their spring scrimmage, the Aztecs demonstrated that like Penn State, their greatest questions are at O-Line. During their spring game, the Aztecs projected starting line gave up five sacks and lacked the ability to open up any running lanes. Last season, San Diego State allowed touchdowns 66.7 percent of the time in the red zone. To make matters worse, last year the Aztecs were 111th in Red Zone efficiency in a conference that is light years away from the BG10. For the Aztecs, this game will end like it did for Montezuma.

41-10 PSU


Week Five- October 3rd Us Vs. Army

By the numbers, in 2014 Army was ranked 128th in passing, 93rd in points for, and 104th in points against. For 2015, I can’t foresee any major improvements to team personnel that would suggest that Army will be much improved. Having said that, these young men are Cadets in the finest military academy on the planet and they will fight and scrap until the very end. Penn Staters should and will roll out the red carpet for West Point.

28-10 PSU


Week Six-October 10th Us Vs. Indiana

When I graduated college, I set out on a mission to see Penn State play in every Big Ten Stadium within a decade. While fulfilling that mission, two years ago I took my dad to Bloomington to watch Penn State lose it first ever game to the Hoosiers. Meanwhile some jackass in front of us turned around at the end of the game and said “that one was for Jerry’s Kids”…. I’m not exactly sure what that he even meant but ever since then, the one team that I pulled for when they played anyone but us became just like every other BG10 team to me, not worth my time. Last year’s game was God awful but we did find a way not to lose two years in a row. IU’s two best DBs in ’14, Tim Bennett (9 pass breakups) and Mark Murphy (2 INTs), departed from the team. Otherwise not much has changed. Assuming that we are still healthy at the offensive line, I see Penn State winning easily this year.

28-14 PSU


Week 7- October 17th Ohio State VS. Us

No doubt that last year, Ohio State was the best in the land. But for one night we were better than they were head to head. Yes we lost but do the math….We win that game if it weren’t for BG10 officiating or lack thereof. Aside from our game, OSU was called for three holdings all of last year, with just one of those being flagged by a BG10 official. Mind numbing isn’t it. With that said we are just not there yet. CJF is building one hell of a team but we have some time to grow into the elite team that he has envisioned. Unless we can pull it together and our D keeps us in it, the likelihood of victory is not so likely. Hope I’m wrong!

28-10 OSU


Week 8- October 24th Maryland VS. Us

Remember when Maryland refused to shake our hands…and the beat us at home. Yea well so does CJF and he won’t let our men forget that. Maryland lost four of its six defensive linemen to graduation as well as QB C.J. Brown who was their leading rusher. Baltimore goes up in smoke again when PSU comes into town this year for revenge.

35-7 Penn State


Week 9- October 31st Illinois vs. Us

This was a game we should have won last year. A big reason we lost to Illinois last year in my opinion was wide receiver Mike Dudek. During the spring, Dudek tore his ACL and is expected to return sometime in October. Even if Dudek comes back in time, he won’t be 100%. . Also, Penn State favorite Tim Beckman is still at the helm in Illinois. I don’t know if you are like me but every time I see that man I can’t help but think what a scumbag. None the less , I think we win easily.

24-14 Penn State


Week 10- November 7th Us Vs. Northwestern

This was a game that we were never really in it at all last year. Simply put, we were beat soundly. Against other teams last year, Northwestern was vulnerable against the run, allowing more than 200 rush yards six times, and the front seven generated little pressure (17 sacks, fewest in the Big Ten). This will be an area of concentration for the Wild Cats. This is also the game I chose to travel to this year. I have a feeling this will be close and uncomfortable.

20-17 PSU


Week 11 Bye


Week 12 Saturday November 21st Michigan Vs. PSU

Really hard to predict what will happen this year with Michigan but I do think that they will be much improved under Harbaugh. There is a lot for Harbaugh to work with but the Wolverines lose their top two sackers, DEs Brennen Beyer and Frank Clark (10 sacks combined), as well as their top three tacklers for loss (Beyer, Clark and LB Jake Ryan: 35). By the time this game is played, I think both teams odds of winning will be about even. I like that this game is at home and is our whiteout because I think that we will need the extra support from the fans. I think this game is very close but we win.

17-10 PSU


Week 13 Saturday November 28th PSU Vs. Michigan State

Senior QB Connor Cook has 26 career starts. His 81.2 QBR in 2014 ranked No. 7 in the FBS, and his 8.8 ypa was No. 9. Defensively, the Spartans look poised to continue where Narduzzi left off. The Spartans bunch the cornerbacks and safeties close to the line of scrimmage so as to overwhelm the opposing offensive line. For us to have a chance here, I think we need prolonged protection for Hack so we can take our shots down field. Running against the Spartans will be a tall order and it all hinges on the health of our offensive line. Like OSU, unless we have a great game I just don’t think we are there yet where we are able to come out of East Lansing victorious.

28-17 MSU


Regular Season I predict we end up 10-2. I also predict that we will play in the outback bowl.
 
for whatever reason, virtually all the pre-season mags right now have us finishing around #40 in the country = lower than where we ended last year. we have some really promising areas/strengths, but the OL and the kicking game have the potential to be problems. our two best OL are gone, and could be playing on Sundays - so does not say much for the rest of the OL. we are all making some big assumptions that they will improve substantially with a year, and some new guys can make up partially for loss of Miles and Donovan.

I hope you are right - but realistically it feels like 8 or 9 wins counting bowl game.
 
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