Before the Alarmists try to again falsely claim this year's spike in warming is from CO2, we can see the normal, natural growth of our two-year El Niño in the chart below.
It's not due to CO2.
A strong El Niño is not unexpected, since last year, for most of the year, the temps were just barely below the El Niño line, before finally edging across.
So, a two-year El Niño starts the second year with a higher level of solar/El Niño warmed water from the first year's leftovers. No surprise to see these natural increases in warming during the second year's summer.
We may see a strong El Niño effect on temps as the year progresses. It may also stretch into 2016. It largely depends upon the number and level of wind bursts that may occur, that spread out the sun-warmed water.
Developing...
19h19 hours ago
Jan Null @ggweather
#ElNino forecast getting stronger. Comparison of April-July dynamic model means, now peak at very strong +2.2 ONI.
The El Niño spreads out years of stored sun-warm water across the Pacific Ocean.
The water is largely heated by the sun's rays hitting the ocean, during times when higher than average velocity Trade Winds blow away lots of cloud cover from the equatorial Pacific region. Lower cloud cover means warmer sun-warmed water, which is then blown toward the west by the winds, into the massive Pacific Warm Pool storage area.
The Pacific Warm Pool warm water storage area is nearly the size of Russia and 1,000 deep or so.
El Niños reverse the wind direction toward the East. They spread years of sun-warmed water across the Pacific, where natural heat transfer warms the air. That warmer air gets circulated around the globe.
Corrupt Alarmists have blamed this normal, natural warming on CO2, to fool their ignorant followers.
It's not due to CO2.
A strong El Niño is not unexpected, since last year, for most of the year, the temps were just barely below the El Niño line, before finally edging across.
So, a two-year El Niño starts the second year with a higher level of solar/El Niño warmed water from the first year's leftovers. No surprise to see these natural increases in warming during the second year's summer.
We may see a strong El Niño effect on temps as the year progresses. It may also stretch into 2016. It largely depends upon the number and level of wind bursts that may occur, that spread out the sun-warmed water.
Developing...
19h19 hours ago
Jan Null @ggweather
#ElNino forecast getting stronger. Comparison of April-July dynamic model means, now peak at very strong +2.2 ONI.
The water is largely heated by the sun's rays hitting the ocean, during times when higher than average velocity Trade Winds blow away lots of cloud cover from the equatorial Pacific region. Lower cloud cover means warmer sun-warmed water, which is then blown toward the west by the winds, into the massive Pacific Warm Pool storage area.
The Pacific Warm Pool warm water storage area is nearly the size of Russia and 1,000 deep or so.
El Niños reverse the wind direction toward the East. They spread years of sun-warmed water across the Pacific, where natural heat transfer warms the air. That warmer air gets circulated around the globe.
Corrupt Alarmists have blamed this normal, natural warming on CO2, to fool their ignorant followers.
