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Coaches Rankings #2

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Nick Lee is positioned nicely. Just gotta beat Carr and make the Big Ten finals and he can do no worse than a 3-seed.
 
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Yanni is likely going to win out, now his best wins are Eierman and Alber, while Lee has Joey and no other top 10 wins, but I wouldn't sleep on Lee here if he gets Yanni on Friday night if hes the 4 or 5. I know they have Pomrinca and Shoop as common opponents off of my head and the results are basically a wash from a transitive property stand point, but Yanni is banged up and I assume with Nick having the tank he has he would rather get him at the end of two competition filled days on Friday night vs Saturday night when he can rest all day. Plus he likely avoids Eierman who i do not think he matches up well with and he knows he can take Joey under the bright lights now.
 
The one weight class that appears will have the lowest automatic allocation slots for the Big Ten is 197.
 
Question for the board, when they announce allocations it looks like they slot as follows:

70% win, 30 CR, 30 RPI
71% win, 29 CR, 29 RPI, etc. all the way up to if they need it (which they never will) 80%, 20 CR, 20 RPI

Does anybody know if that is consistent across the board or do they have different standards for each weight? I know they have it high enough so that no more than 29 get in at any particular weight.

Below are the two charts (which don't copy well) based off the allocations of 72% win, 28 CR, 28 RPI vs. 73% win, 27 CR, 27 RPI

It looks like they have to go up to 73% to get 141 and 184 at 29 qualifiers but that leaves 149 for example with only 24 qualifiers.

Note: These winning percentages are based off of wrestlestat and I didn't go in and check each kid for matches that would not count.

72%/28 125 133 141 149 157 165 174 184 197 285 Total
ACC 2 5 5 3 4 4 3 5 4 2 37
Big 12 6 5 6 7 1 6 5 6 7 5 54
Big Ten 9 8 9 6 9 7 7 7 5 8 75
EIWA 4 4 4 3 4 5 4 7 5 2 42
EWL 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 2 13
MAC 3 3 4 1 4 1 2 2 1 3 24
PAC 12 2 2 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 18
SoCon 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 13
28 29 31 26 27 28 25 30 27 25 276


73%/27 7 125 133 141 149 157 165 174 184 197 285 Total
ACC 2 4 4 3 3 4 3 5 4 2 34
Big 12 6 5 6 6 1 6 5 6 7 5 53
Big Ten 9 8 9 6 9 7 7 7 5 8 75
EIWA 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 7 5 2 40
EWL 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 2 13
MAC 3 3 4 1 4 1 2 1 1 3 23
PAC 12 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 14
SoCon 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 12
28 28 29 24 25 27 25 29 25 24 264
 
Yanni is likely going to win out, now his best wins are Eierman and Alber, while Lee has Joey and no other top 10 wins, but I wouldn't sleep on Lee here if he gets Yanni on Friday night if hes the 4 or 5. I know they have Pomrinca and Shoop as common opponents off of my head and the results are basically a wash from a transitive property stand point, but Yanni is banged up and I assume with Nick having the tank he has he would rather get him at the end of two competition filled days on Friday night vs Saturday night when he can rest all day. Plus he likely avoids Eierman who i do not think he matches up well with and he knows he can take Joey under the bright lights now.
Unless something happened last weekend, Yanni is not banged up.
 
Question for the board, when they announce allocations it looks like they slot as follows:

70% win, 30 CR, 30 RPI
71% win, 29 CR, 29 RPI, etc. all the way up to if they need it (which they never will) 80%, 20 CR, 20 RPI

Does anybody know if that is consistent across the board or do they have different standards for each weight? I know they have it high enough so that no more than 29 get in at any particular weight.

Below are the two charts (which don't copy well) based off the allocations of 72% win, 28 CR, 28 RPI vs. 73% win, 27 CR, 27 RPI

It looks like they have to go up to 73% to get 141 and 184 at 29 qualifiers but that leaves 149 for example with only 24 qualifiers.

Note: These winning percentages are based off of wrestlestat and I didn't go in and check each kid for matches that would not count.

72%/28 125 133 141 149 157 165 174 184 197 285 Total
ACC 2 5 5 3 4 4 3 5 4 2 37
Big 12 6 5 6 7 1 6 5 6 7 5 54
Big Ten 9 8 9 6 9 7 7 7 5 8 75
EIWA 4 4 4 3 4 5 4 7 5 2 42
EWL 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 2 13
MAC 3 3 4 1 4 1 2 2 1 3 24
PAC 12 2 2 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 18
SoCon 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 13
28 29 31 26 27 28 25 30 27 25 276


73%/27 7 125 133 141 149 157 165 174 184 197 285 Total
ACC 2 4 4 3 3 4 3 5 4 2 34
Big 12 6 5 6 6 1 6 5 6 7 5 53
Big Ten 9 8 9 6 9 7 7 7 5 8 75
EIWA 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 7 5 2 40
EWL 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 2 13
MAC 3 3 4 1 4 1 2 1 1 3 23
PAC 12 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 14
SoCon 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 12
28 28 29 24 25 27 25 29 25 24 264
Each weight class is handled separately.
 
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Based off of the information today. Here is where the top guys in the Big 10 stand. I am going to guess there will be 81 bids to the conference. That would be one more than last year. Obviously things can change but I would think there should not be a ton of movement since about 90% of the season has been wrestled.

The numbers are coaches rank - RPI - winning percentage (based off of wrestle stat so they could be in a little flux depending on who kids wrestled)

125 (Guess: 9 bids)
Strong/Locked Bid

Sebastian Rivera (Northwestern) 1- 1 - .9524
Spencer Lee (Iowa) 2 - NR - .9333
Sean Russell (Minnesota) 6 – 8 - .8750
RayVon Foley (Michigan State) 7 – 4 - .9310
Travis Piotrowski (Illinois) 12 – 6 - .6316
Drew Mattin (Michigan) 13 – 5 - .7222
Zeke Moisey (Nebraska) 14 – 13 - .5556
Devin Schroder(Purdue) 17 – 17 - .6800

Probable

Malik Heinselman (Ohio State) 30 – 9 - .8000

Doubtful
Liam Cronin (Indiana) NR – 30 - .5806

133 (Guess: 8)
Strong

Stevan Micic (Michigan) 1 – NR - 1.0000
Austin DeSanto(Iowa) 3 – NR - .9333
Nick Suriano (Rutgers) 5 – 12 - .9048
Luke Pletcher (Ohio State) 6 – 3 - .8571
Ethan Lizak (Minnesota) 8 – 8 - .8462
Roman Bravo-Young (Penn State) 10 – 7 - .8889
Ben Thornton (Purdue) 20 – 9 - .7273
Dylan Duncan (Illinois) 21 – 18 - .5263

Not Likely

Garrett Pepple (Indiana) 32 – 24 - .5833

Doubtful

Anthony Tutolo (Michigan State) NR – 21 - .5926
Colin Valdiviez (Northwestern) NR – 30 - .4783

141 (Guess: 9)
Strong

Nick Lee (Penn State) 2 – 3 - .9545
Joey McKenna (Ohio State) 3 – NR - .9333
Michael Carr (Illinois) 5 – NR - .8462
Kanen Storr (Michigan) 6 – 2 - .8182
Mitch McKee (Minnesota) 8 – NR - .8235
Tristan Moran (Wisconsin) 9 – 9 - .7600
Max Murin (Iowa) 15 – NR - .7500
Chad Red (Nebraska) 24 – 13 - .6250

Probable

Nate Limmex (Purdue) 26 – 16 - .5769

Doubtful

Pete LiPari (Rutgers) NR – 17 - .5000

149 (Guess: 8)
Strong

Anthony Ashnault (Rutgers) 1 – 5 - 1.0000
Micah Jordan (Ohio State) 3 – 2 - .9500
Brady Berge (Penn State) 11 – NR - .8750
Cole Martin (Wisconsin) 12 – 19 - .6522
Pat Lugo (Iowa) 16 – 9 - .6667
Thomas Thorn (Minnesota) 21 – 26 - .6364

Probable

Alfred Bannister (Maryland) 23 – NR - 0.7059 (needs 1 more match for RPI)

Possible

Malik Amine (Michigan) 25 – NR - .6154 (Needs 5 more matches for RPI)
Shayne Oster (Northwestern) 30 – 24 - .5000 (Needs to bump up CR by like 2-3)

157
Strong (Guess: 10)

Jason Nolf (Penn State) 1 – 2 - 1.0000
Tyler Berger (Nebraska) 2 – 3 - .9091
Ryan Deakin (Northwestern) 3 – 1 - .9167
Alec Pantaleo (Michigan) 5 – NR - 0.6471 (needs one more match)
Kaleb Young (Iowa) 6 – 5 - .8235
Ke-Shawn Hayes (Ohio State) 7 – 6 - .7273
Steven Bleise (Minnesota) 9 – 4 - .7778
Eric Barone (Illinois) 10 – 17 - .6400
Griffin Parriot (Purdue) 12 – 12 - .6842
John Van Brill (Rutgers) 15 – 21 - .6154

Not likely

Jake Danishek (Indiana) 21 – 33 - .6000

Doubtful

Jake Tucker (Michigan State) NR – 32 - 0.6129

165

Strong (Guess: 7)
Vincenzo Joseph (Penn State) 1 – 1 - 1.0000
Alex Marinelli (Iowa) 2 – 4 - 1.0000
Evan Wick (Wisconsin) 3 – 2 - .9600
Isaiah White (Nebraska) 6 – 3 - .7368
Logan Massa (Michigan) 7 – 12 - .7647
Joseph Gunther (Illinois) 20 – 17 - 0.6154
Bryce Martin (Indiana) 23 – 22 - .7083

Work to do

Carson Brolsma (Minnesota) 30 – 19 - .6667

Doubtful

Kaleb Romero (Ohio State) 32 – NR - .5385 (interesting it is Romero and not Campbell reported as starter – not that Campbell would have enough matches

174 (Guess: 8)
Strong

Mark Hall (Penn State) 1 – 1 - 1.0000
Myles Amine (Michigan) 4 – NR - .8750 (needs 1 match for RPI)
Mikey Labriola (Nebraska) 9 – 7 - .8333
Devin Skatzka (Minnesota) 10 – 15 -.7500
Dylan Lydy (Purdue) 11 – 9 - 0.7600
Ethan Smith (Ohio State) 19 – NR - .7000 (needs two more matches at 174)

Probable

Jake Covaciu (Indiana) 26 – 26 - .6818
Joe Grello (Rutgers) 27 – 27 - .6316

Possible

Drew Hughes (Michigan State) 28 – 30 - .7097

Doubtful

Johnny Sebastian (Northwestern) 33 – NR - .4167

Injured

Ryan Christensen (Wisconsin) could get a bid but could also burst another bubble (would need 3 more bouts)

184 (Guess: 8)

Strong
Myles Martin (Ohio State) 1 – NR - 1.0000 (three matches for RPI)
Shakur Rasheed (Penn State) 3 – NR - 1.0000 (two matches for RPI)
Taylor Venz (Nebraska) 4 – 9 - .8095 (four matches for RPI, has it anyway with CR/%)
Emory Parker (Illinois) 6 – NR - .8571
Cash Wilke (Iowa) 13 – 3 - .8333
Cameron Caffey (Michigan State) 16 – 16 - .8929
Mason Reinheardt (Wisconsin) 23 – 13 - .6296

Right on bubble

Jelani Embree (Michigan) 28 – NR - 0.7272 (11 countable matches)
Max Lyon (Purdue) 30 – 29 - .7037

Doubtful

Nick Gravina (Rutgers) 33 – NR - .6000
Norman Conley (Indiana) NR – 26 - .5926

197
Strong (Guess: 5)

Bo Nickal (Penn State) 1 – 1 - 1.0000
Kollin Moore (Ohio State) 2 – NR - .9286 (three more matches for RPI, has enough without)
Jacob Warner (Iowa) 4 – NR - .8462 (not going to reach 17, but has enough without)
Christian Brunner (Purdue) 9 – 4 - .7273
Eric Schultz (Nebraska) 12 – 9 - .7200

Possible

Jackson Striggow (Michigan) 30 – 27 - .6111

Doubtful

Brad Wilton (Michigan State) NR – 32 - .6154
Dylan Anderson (Minnestota) NR – 25 - .6000
Andre Lee (Illinois) NR – 24 - .5769
Matt Correntti (Rutgers) NR – 21 - .5000

285 (Guess: 9)
Strong

Gable Steveson (Minnesota) 1 – 3 - 1.0000
Anthony Cassar (Penn State) 3 – 1 - .9474
Mason Parris (Michigan) 5 – 5 - .8214
Trent Hillger (Wisconsin) 6 – 4 - .8182
Conan Jennings (Northwestern) 7 – 8 - .6000
David Jensen (Nebraska) 8 – NR - .8235 (six matches against Non-DI keeping him from RPI)
Sam Stoll (Iowa) 10 – NR - .8750 (not going to get matches, won’t need them)
Chase Singletary (Ohio State) 18 – 6 - .7500

Possible

Youssif Hemida (Maryland ) 9 – NR - .6667 (needs to win last 4 for %, will not get match total)
Christian Colucci (Rutgers) 32 – 21 - .5909

Doubtful

Chase Beard (Michigan State) NR – 22 - .6000
Jacob Aven (Purdue) NR – 25 - .3600
 
Just that he’s 8 months out from knee surgery, while not a world class athlete but having had multiple leg surgery’s it’s 12 months back to baseline.
No argument on your experience. I skied confidently 5 months after ACL Allograft and a brace. Rode 70 miles with Lance Armstrong 7 weeks after my surgery. For Yanni, I guess his baseline is winning an NCAA championship with a torn ACL. It’s now repaired and he wears a spandex sleeve on it. He feels good to go. He looks good to go in all of his matches and no one near him would say he’s banged up, or even impaired in any way.
 
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No argument on your experience. I skied confidently 5 months after ACL Allograft and a brace. Rode 70 miles with Lance Armstrong 7 weeks after my surgery. For Yanni, I guess his baseline is winning an NCAA championship with a torn ACL. It’s now repaired and he wears a spandex sleeve on it. He feels good to go. He looks good to go in all of his matches and no one near him would say he’s banged up, or even impaired in any way.
He didn't even have the sleeve this weekend for his two duals. His only issue at this point is endurance, it seems. Other than highly ranked opponents trying not to give up bonus points...
 
No argument on your experience. I skied confidently 5 months after ACL Allograft and a brace. Rode 70 miles with Lance Armstrong 7 weeks after my surgery. For Yanni, I guess his baseline is winning an NCAA championship with a torn ACL. It’s now repaired and he wears a spandex sleeve on it. He feels good to go. He looks good to go in all of his matches and no one near him would say he’s banged up, or even impaired in any way.


I would just say in a purely medical standpoint he’s not 100% healed. Hence why I said banged up, again he may feel 100% and not claim any discomfort but the repair etc is still in progress
 
Don't confuse the actual biologic healing of the surgical repair with being ready to resume unlimited activity. The biologic healing is most certainly complete at 8 mos. This does not mean the person is necessarily ready for unlimited activity. They will have to get a certain level of fitness, including strength, flexibility, kinesthetic sense, and other physiologic training in addition to the biologic healing.
 
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