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Football ESPN FPI projects the remaining games on Penn State Football's schedule

Given the individual game probabilities (if one accepts that they are accurate), it seems unlikely that we would win 10 games. But I will defer to any statisticians if any are reading this. I'm sure there's an online tool that you could plug the numbers into.
 
We are still favored by 4.5 at USC. I don't understand how that jives with only having a 42% chance of winning. Nevertheless, that line is great if you have confidence in USC especially with the Winston news.
 
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