The expected value and game by game odds both say 10-2. The question is if 10-2 will be good enough.
OSU is in. PSU, Oregon, USC, & Michigan will battle it out for the other 2 or 3 spots.
The offsides call against Minnesota really hurt because a Minny win would have likely doomed Michigan's chances.
ND's win over Louisville really hurt too. USC is the only ranked team remaining on ND's schedule. Their next best chance of losing is 3-2 Ga Tech or Army/Navy. If Army or Navy pull off the upset they could finish undefeated. Does a 10-2 BiG team go before an undefeated team from the military academy with a win over ND?
Let's root for Washington to beat Michigan or for Minnesota to beat USC this week.
pennstate.rivals.com
