While I agree that PSU winning by 30 isn't the most likely outcome (I'd put it at a 3% chance), would you agree that it is more likely that PSU win by 30 than Iowa win by 30?
There are posters on the Iowa boards predicting an Iowa blowout. LOL.
IMO there is about a 1% chance either team wins by 30. I have Iowa winning 23-19 in one scenario and 30-16 in another, I like Iowa's under the radar chances in this game a lot. I could see the scores reversed too, no doubt. I cannot see anything that resembles 42-12, 30-0 or 28-3 PSU, it just isn't going to happen ...
I think the key is the OL play for Iowa. Their manhood was put into question after last weeks debacle. If they can give Stanley some time and open a few holes, game on. Most of you guys say that cannot happen, but I think it can and will. Take care boys, I'm out until the morning ...