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GOP has 4.3% lead in AZ1. Media has it Dem +9. Seriously? That race is pretty much over.

SOSNittany

Well-Known Member
Sep 17, 2018
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768
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Republican ballots: 54,398
Democrat ballots: 48,692
Other ballots: 30,559
Total expected Nov 7th: 230,000

The Republican has a 3% lead after early voting and early voting comprises 60% of the total vote.

Looks very, very good for the Rs.

Nate Silver says 5 chances in 7 Dems win.

Nate - how about you model the early vote returns and then adjust your model? I know, I know - "if I do that, I'll have to show something that is bad for my voters, and I want them energized"

But here's the truth, Nate - we know your schtick and we know you're nothing but bullshit.
 
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