Assuming the present lineup and no injuries, and using rough numbers that assume oodles of bonus, I think you can probably bank 85-95 from Nolf, Cenzo, Hall, and Bo.
So the question becomes whether you can get 75-85 from Cassar, Shak, Berge, Lee, and RBY.
I think you'd need at least two of those guys to make the finals. Cassar seems more than possible, Shak a definite contender. If both make it, there's another 35-40, so now you're in 125-135 territory.
Making the question whether you can get another 30-35 from Lee, Berge, and RBY. I imagine those guys are going to have decent seeds, enough to at least to reach the quarters. If each of them finishes, say, fourth (I'd say Lee has the best shot at that, then Berge, then RBY given how tough 133 is), there's maybe 11.5 points apiece, so 30-35 total.
Those (admittedly optimistic but not crazy) scenarios give you a range between 155-170, and even the estimates on the low side assume a great tournament. But anything between those ranges wouldn't surprise me. The biggest question marks to reaching 170, I think, are with Shak, who seems sure to AA but 170 would necessitate him going deeper, RBY, who is yet to wrestle serious competition, and Berge, who, though definitely a gamer, wrestles with tape on his knee, and also hasn't yet wrestled the top guys at the weight.
I feel confident about the seniors, then Cenzo and Hall, then Cassar, who, besides looking great, benefits from a cleared-out weight class. Lee would only have to wrestle to present ranking to meet my model, but seems capable of more.
And before someone says that this is why we need to pull Teske's shirt, I feel certain that getting to 170 isn't something the coaches care about at all, and definitely not if giving Teske time to develop is the reason he's not already wrestling.
