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Oil is trading close to $1.00 per barrel

So as the price continues to go further negative (-14.00), does that mean that there no actual transactions happening..... looking for a bottom?

No it means transactions are happening. And people keep selling and others keep buying.

LdN
 
We talked about how the industry was running out of storage capacity a couple of weeks ago here on BWI and I swear I was told it could never happened. Maybe I'm wrong.

No you were not told it could never happen. Obviously physical storage can run out.
Then they have to keep it stored in the ground where they are pumping it.
The issue is they haven't chosen to do that.

LdN
 
What is the investment opportunity here if someone had cash sitting on the sidelines?
What's your cost of storage and when do you get to release it?

I read earlier some of the mega tankers (1 million bbl) are leasing at $350k/day - $0.35/day/bbl for storage.

When do you think the oil market will recover and storage will draw down enough to make it worth selling? At 90 days you need to get more than $31/bbl or have someone paying you to store it still. Apparently still less expensive to pay high $$$ for storage to than slow/stop production in many places.
 
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What is the investment opportunity here if someone had cash sitting on the sidelines?
cash wouldn't help, it looks to me like, someone is paying someone else $38 (or what the last price was for the April contract) per barrel for them to take delivery of the oil.
 
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What is the investment opportunity here if someone had cash sitting on the sidelines?
Step 1. Collect gas.
Step 2.
EsNpkW2.jpg

Step 3. Profit.
 
What's your cost of storage and when do you get to release it?

I read earlier some of the mega tankers (1 million bbl) are leasing at $350k/day - $0.35/day/bbl for storage.

When do you think the oil market will recover and storage will draw down enough to make it worth selling? At 90 days you need to get more than $31/bbl or have someone paying you to store it still. Apparently still less expensive to pay high $$$ for storage to than slow/stop production in many places.

Just think about the entire US not driving... for several weeks. That's a lot of gas not being burned.

LdN
 
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Just think about the entire US not driving... for several weeks. That's a lot of gas not being burned.

LdN
Correct - I don't suspect oil will recover before 2021. Once the economy starts back up it still won't be at the same level of consumption as before and storage will already be full.
 
where you gonna store it til then?

Wed prices will be or a June delivery. By then, five weeks away, a lot of oil, and its derivative products, will have been used up. Especially as the controls are relaxed and the economy picks up. Like I said, if the virus has a second wave and the controls remain, the price for June deliveries will drop since there will be little burn rate.
 
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Unfortunately they haven't budged
$1.25 here in Central Texas yesterday. $0.184 Federal tax and $0.20 Texas State tax built in there. With our Randall's reward card, paid $0.95 per gallon. Really been thinking of putting two 500 gallon tanks at the ranch (one diesel and one gasoline), but the shelf life of gasoline is 6 months max and 12 months for diesel. Would take too long to use it for the tractors and the gas for my truck.
 
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No you were not told it could never happen. Obviously physical storage can run out.
Then they have to keep it stored in the ground where they are pumping it.
The issue is they haven't chosen to do that.

LdN

QUOTE="LionDeNittany, post: 4762850, member: 310"]There are massive storage vessels off shore... and they also can use old ships. There is plenty of current unused storage.
Contango takes care of this problem rather quickly.
I guess at some point there's a need for storage that isn't available, but I doubt we'd ever get to that point. Contango would increase and facilities would be build.

I would like a newspaper to show facts about COVID. Not alarming articles. It's difficult to piece together real information with the amount of alarmist stories.

LdN[/QUOTE]
There are massive storage vessels off shore... and they also can use old ships. There is plenty of current unused storage.
Contango takes care of this problem rather quickly.
I guess at some point there's a need for storage that isn't available, but I doubt we'd ever get to that point. Contango would increase and facilities would be build.

I would like a newspaper to show facts about COVID. Not alarming articles. It's difficult to piece together real information with the amount of alarmist stories.

LdN
 
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Just a question, is the strategic stockpile full? I remember a few weeks ago reading about it, I have not seen anything since.
 
QUOTE="LionDeNittany, post: 4762850, member: 310"]There are massive storage vessels off shore... and they also can use old ships. There is plenty of current unused storage.
Contango takes care of this problem rather quickly.
I guess at some point there's a need for storage that isn't available, but I doubt we'd ever get to that point. Contango would increase and facilities would be build.

I would like a newspaper to show facts about COVID. Not alarming articles. It's difficult to piece together real information with the amount of alarmist stories.

LdN
[/QUOTE]

Your mistake is that you are confusing futures with physical delivery.

Rookie mistake.

LdN
 

Your mistake is that you are confusing futures with physical delivery.

Rookie mistake.

LdN[/QUOTE]
I'm not at all confused.. did you notice the part about the alarmist Media or am I confused about that too?;):rolleyes:
 
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Keep dreamin' Sadly, the government is making more money on gasoline than the oil companies. Fed tax is what, 24 cents/gal? Pa tax is around 60 cents. So about half the price is just for state and federal taxes. Add in the local taxes like real estate, school, employee taxes, and more.
The Feds say that your cost of a gallon of gas is comprised of:
20% Tax
18% Distribution
12% Refining
51% Crude Oil

I wonder who keeps the extra 1%. Maybe the guys from Office Space?

https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/
 
Keep dreamin' Sadly, the government is making more money on gasoline than the oil companies. Fed tax is what, 24 cents/gal? Pa tax is around 60 cents. So about half the price is just for state and federal taxes. Add in the local taxes like real estate, school, employee taxes, and more.
I filled up my van yesterday with my Kroger discount. Almost 17 gallons for $11.
 
fill the strategic reserve and call it a day

I'm not losing sleep over the Saudis, Russkies and some speculators losing money- and yeah, I know it's not quite that simple, but it's still true
Oh, looks like we are gonna fill the strategic reserve with other people's oil, which we will have to give back to them, keeping only a lease payment.
 
I got people.

Instead of filling breast implants with saline, you fill them with oil.

Run out of gas on the highway, just have your girlfriend squirt some into the tank. Now we are talkin'.
 
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Pretty much all of the Russian access to foreign currency comes through the sale of oil, which is literally bringing a tiny fraction of what it once did. Fill that strategic reserve till its coming out the top!
 
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