Many seasonal prediction models forecast a moderate-to-strong El Nino by the fall, supporting Klotzbach's forecast.
Roundy calls for an 80 percent that strong El Nino conditions will develop this June and July and continue into next winter.
El Nino conditions have flourished in recent weeks says Paul Roundy, a
professor of atmospheric sciences at the University at Albany. “uoy
observations suggest that the growth rate of El Niño conditions over the
last few weeks is larger than any past event at this time of the year,
even larger than the big event of 1997,” Roundy says. “[T]he present
amplitude, when compared with signals at the same time of year, for
growing events, is the largest in the historical record going back to
1980.”
This post was edited on 4/19 12:14 AM by MontereyLion
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/04/15/pacific-may-be-primed-for-powerful-el-nino/?wprss=rss_local
Roundy calls for an 80 percent that strong El Nino conditions will develop this June and July and continue into next winter.
El Nino conditions have flourished in recent weeks says Paul Roundy, a
professor of atmospheric sciences at the University at Albany. “uoy
observations suggest that the growth rate of El Niño conditions over the
last few weeks is larger than any past event at this time of the year,
even larger than the big event of 1997,” Roundy says. “[T]he present
amplitude, when compared with signals at the same time of year, for
growing events, is the largest in the historical record going back to
1980.”
This post was edited on 4/19 12:14 AM by MontereyLion
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/04/15/pacific-may-be-primed-for-powerful-el-nino/?wprss=rss_local
