Nico was the 10 seed when he made the finals as a freshman.
125 this year has Ramos, Figueroa, and everybody else. The ideal seeds avoid those 2 until the semis: 3-6. Lilledahl will likely make this range if he reaches B10 finals; but likely won't get a top 3 seed without winning B10s. (11-14 would also work but not likely.)
A 7-10 seed would draw Ramos or Figs in the quarters. This is likely if he doesn't reach the B10 finals.
His seed at B10s matters a lot for this. If he somehow gets seeded away from Ramos, then he has an excellent chance of reaching the conference finals and getting a top 6 seed. I'll defer to Roar on his likely B10 seed, because it's a crapshoot after Ramos.