if we look at the climate impact of all the Paris promises,
they will in total only reduce the temperature increase by the end of the century by a whopping 0.05°C (0.086°F)
they will in total only reduce the temperature increase by the end of the century by a whopping 0.05°C (0.086°F)
Really Bad News for Alarmists:
Lomborg: Paris climate pact will reduce temperature increase by the end of the century by a whopping 0.05°C
Posted by Anthony Watts
Current climate policy promises will do little to stabilize the climate and
their impact will be undetectable for many decades.
Paris COP21 commitments will reduce temperatures by just 0.05°C in 2100
Bjorn Lomborg wrote to tell me yesterday about a new paper he has published in the Global Policy journal, titled: Impact of Current Climate Proposals.
It shows the futility of the COP21 meeting which is essentially going to be
“sound and fury, signifying nothing
Dr. Lomborg’s research reveals:Posted by Anthony Watts
Current climate policy promises will do little to stabilize the climate and
their impact will be undetectable for many decades.
Paris COP21 commitments will reduce temperatures by just 0.05°C in 2100
Bjorn Lomborg wrote to tell me yesterday about a new paper he has published in the Global Policy journal, titled: Impact of Current Climate Proposals.
It shows the futility of the COP21 meeting which is essentially going to be
“sound and fury, signifying nothing
- The climate impact of all Paris INDC promises is minuscule: if we measure the impact of every nation fulfilling every promise by 2030, the total temperature reduction will be 0.048°C (0.086°F) by 2100.
- Even if we assume that these promises would be extended for another 70 years, there is still little impact: if every nationfulfills every promise by 2030, and continues to fulfill these promises faithfully until the end of the century, and there is no ‘CO₂ leakage’ to non-committed nations, the entirety of the Paris promises will reduce temperature rises by just 0.17°C (0.306°F) by 2100.
- US climate policies, in the most optimistic circumstances, fully achieved and adhered to throughout the century, will reduce global temperatures by 0.031°C (0.057°F)by 2100.
- EU climate policies, in the most optimistic circumstances, fully achieved and adhered to throughout the century, will reduce global temperatures by 0.053°C (0.096°F)by 2100.
- China climate policies, in the most optimistic circumstances, fully achieved and adhered to throughout the century, will reduce global temperatures by 0.048°C (0.086°F) by 2100.
- The rest of the world’s climate policies, in the most optimistic circumstances, fully achieved and adhered to throughout the century, will reduce global temperatures by 0.036°C (0.064°F) by 2100.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/11/...-century-by-a-whopping-0-05c/lomborg-figure2/
The global temperature change from pre-industrial, for the Do Nothing (RCP8.5) scenario, for the global promises for Paris and for Paris extended for 70 more years, as run on MAGICC.
Lomborg’s analysis essentially finds that if we look at the climate impact of all the Paris promises,
they will in total only reduce the temperature increase by the end of the century by a whopping 0.05°C (0.086°F)
they will in total only reduce the temperature increase by the end of the century by a whopping 0.05°C (0.086°F)
