http://www.sbnation.com/college-foo...eturning-starters-experience-oregon-tcu-texas
Last year, I began using a returning production figure based on what seems to have the most direct impact on year-to-year performance. With what is now a few years’ worth of data, let’s take a look at some updated correlations between given categories and change in production.
The conclusion remains: Continuity in the passing game matters a hell of a lot, and continuity in the run game doesn’t have as strong an impact.
Defense: The main takeaways are similar to last year: disruption and continuity in the secondary are key. And the ability to get hands on passes, via interception or breakup, is harder to replicate than any other, when it comes to box-score disruption.
So what does this mean for 2017? As with last year, I used categories like the ones above, weighted for largest effect — so, quarterbacks, receivers, and defensive backs carry more heft — to create general “returning production” numbers for offense and defense.
If you look at the ratings in the link, PSU returns the 27th most production. Some of our opponents?
Indiana #13
Northwestern #30
Rutgers #46
Ohio State #72
Maryland #86
Temple #87
Iowa #118
Nebraska #122
Pittsburgh #123
Michigan State #124
Michigan #127 (out of 129)
Last year, I began using a returning production figure based on what seems to have the most direct impact on year-to-year performance. With what is now a few years’ worth of data, let’s take a look at some updated correlations between given categories and change in production.
The conclusion remains: Continuity in the passing game matters a hell of a lot, and continuity in the run game doesn’t have as strong an impact.
Defense: The main takeaways are similar to last year: disruption and continuity in the secondary are key. And the ability to get hands on passes, via interception or breakup, is harder to replicate than any other, when it comes to box-score disruption.
So what does this mean for 2017? As with last year, I used categories like the ones above, weighted for largest effect — so, quarterbacks, receivers, and defensive backs carry more heft — to create general “returning production” numbers for offense and defense.
If you look at the ratings in the link, PSU returns the 27th most production. Some of our opponents?
Indiana #13
Northwestern #30
Rutgers #46
Ohio State #72
Maryland #86
Temple #87
Iowa #118
Nebraska #122
Pittsburgh #123
Michigan State #124
Michigan #127 (out of 129)