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Some week 1 odds

bdgan

Well-Known Member
May 29, 2008
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Washington 33 pt favorite over Rutgers
Wisconsin 37 pt favorite over Utah St
MSU 18 pt favorite over Bowling Green St
Michigan 3 pt favorite over Florida
Iowa 11 pt favorites over Wyoming
PSU 39 pt favorite over Akron
Nebraska 19 pt favorite over Arkansas St
Illinois 11 pt favorite over Ball State
O$U 20 pt favorite over Indiana
Louisville 22 pt favorite over Purdue

I assume Michigan will be favored by more than 3 once Florida suspensions are considered.
Michigan State only favored by 18 over Bowling Green State. No offense?
Purdue probably didn't know what they were getting themselves into when they booked Louisville.
 
Shame on me but I would take Akron +39 because:
I don't think CJF will run up the score and they will play a conservative offensive game plan.
 
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Washington 33 pt favorite over Rutgers
Wisconsin 37 pt favorite over Utah St
MSU 18 pt favorite over Bowling Green St
Michigan 3 pt favorite over Florida
Iowa 11 pt favorites over Wyoming
PSU 39 pt favorite over Akron
Nebraska 19 pt favorite over Arkansas St
Illinois 11 pt favorite over Ball State
O$U 20 pt favorite over Indiana
Louisville 22 pt favorite over Purdue

I assume Michigan will be favored by more than 3 once Florida suspensions are considered.
Michigan State only favored by 18 over Bowling Green State. No offense?
Purdue probably didn't know what they were getting themselves into when they booked Louisville.
Apparently only one of the suspended FL players was a starter. Two others were backup linemen, one on each side, and were expected to see only limited action. The other four apparently are not expected to be contributors. So not sure the suspensions will have much impact. That should be a good matchup.
Wiscy by 37 seems like a lot. I seem to recall Utah State has been fairly competitive in recent years. The Iowa game could be interesting. IA still has not settled on a QB while the Wyoming QB may be the number 1 pick in next year's draft.
 
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Apparently only one of the suspended FL players was a starter. Two others were backup linemen, one on each side, and were expected to see only limited action. The other four apparently are not expected to be contributors. So not sure the suspensions will have much impact. That should be a good matchup.
Wiscy by 37 seems like a lot. I seem to recall Utah State has been fairly competitive in recent years. The Iowa game could be interesting. IA still has not settled on a QB while the Wyoming QB may be the number 1 pick in next year's draft.[/QUOTE

Take Wyoming. Why? Iowa starts slow every year. Their performance record in game one and two is dreadful. Second, Wyoming lost key O players but the coach is good, very good. Beat Iowa in an opening game at a Div 1A Dakota school several years ago.
 
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Washington 33 pt favorite over Rutgers
Wisconsin 37 pt favorite over Utah St
MSU 18 pt favorite over Bowling Green St
Michigan 3 pt favorite over Florida
Iowa 11 pt favorites over Wyoming
PSU 39 pt favorite over Akron
Nebraska 19 pt favorite over Arkansas St
Illinois 11 pt favorite over Ball State
O$U 20 pt favorite over Indiana
Louisville 22 pt favorite over Purdue

I assume Michigan will be favored by more than 3 once Florida suspensions are considered.
Michigan State only favored by 18 over Bowling Green State. No offense?
Purdue probably didn't know what they were getting themselves into when they booked Louisville.

Bet on Utah State, Florida, Akron (can't see JFK running up the score) and Lewisville. Wyomissing is interested as well.
 
I got Penn State laying 33. I think Akron will score in the 7 to 10 range and, I see Penn State scoring in the high 40s possibly low 50s. Even if we get up big early and Franklin pulls some starters, I see Stevens, Sanders, Charles, Polk, Bowers and others continuing to score.
 
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The Indiana line is far too high. Phil Steele has IU in his top 10 of most improved teams for this season, the game is in Bloomington at night, this is the first game for all of Ohio State's starters, and Simmie Cobbs is healthy. That game could be very close.
 
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Washington 33 pt favorite over Rutgers
Wisconsin 37 pt favorite over Utah St
MSU 18 pt favorite over Bowling Green St
Michigan 3 pt favorite over Florida
Iowa 11 pt favorites over Wyoming
PSU 39 pt favorite over Akron
Nebraska 19 pt favorite over Arkansas St
Illinois 11 pt favorite over Ball State
O$U 20 pt favorite over Indiana
Louisville 22 pt favorite over Purdue

I assume Michigan will be favored by more than 3 once Florida suspensions are considered.
Michigan State only favored by 18 over Bowling Green State. No offense?
Purdue probably didn't know what they were getting themselves into when they booked Louisville.
You are looking at opening lines. Nearly every high number is lower now. PSU at -32/33, which is more appropriate as are the others.
 
Washington 33 pt favorite over Rutgers
Wisconsin 37 pt favorite over Utah St
MSU 18 pt favorite over Bowling Green St
Michigan 3 pt favorite over Florida
Iowa 11 pt favorites over Wyoming
PSU 39 pt favorite over Akron
Nebraska 19 pt favorite over Arkansas St
Illinois 11 pt favorite over Ball State
O$U 20 pt favorite over Indiana
Louisville 22 pt favorite over Purdue

I assume Michigan will be favored by more than 3 once Florida suspensions are considered.
Michigan State only favored by 18 over Bowling Green State. No offense?
Purdue probably didn't know what they were getting themselves into when they booked Louisville.
Take Wyoming in the Iowa game. Two reasons. First Iowa's record in opening games is abysmal. they are a historically terrible season starter. Second Wyoming lost some really good O players but the coach is an overachiever. In fact he beat Iowa several years ago when he was at one of the Div1a Dakota teams.
 
The Indiana line is far too high. Phil Steele has IU in his top 10 of most improved teams for this season, the game is in Bloomington at night, this is the first game for all of Ohio State's starters, and Simmie Cobbs is healthy. That game could be very close.




While I still get Steele's magazine every year and enjoy the analysis (except the constant back patting), his track record picking actual games is about the same as every other "expert". Which means you may as well flip a coin.
 
While I still get Steele's magazine every year and enjoy the analysis (except the constant back patting), his track record picking actual games is about the same as every other "expert". Which means you may as well flip a coin.
No question, Phil is very high on himself.
 
Washington 33 pt favorite over Rutgers
Wisconsin 37 pt favorite over Utah St
MSU 18 pt favorite over Bowling Green St
Michigan 3 pt favorite over Florida
Iowa 11 pt favorites over Wyoming
PSU 39 pt favorite over Akron
Nebraska 19 pt favorite over Arkansas St
Illinois 11 pt favorite over Ball State
O$U 20 pt favorite over Indiana
Louisville 22 pt favorite over Purdue

I assume Michigan will be favored by more than 3 once Florida suspensions are considered.
Michigan State only favored by 18 over Bowling Green State. No offense?
Purdue probably didn't know what they were getting themselves into when they booked Louisville.
From the above, I would pick:

-Washington (-33)
-Utah St (+37)
-MSU (-18)
-Michigan (-3)
-Iowa (-11)
-PSU (-39)
-Nebraska (-19)
-Ball St (+11)
-OSU (-20)
-Louisville (-22)
 
From the above, I would pick:

-Washington (-33)
-Utah St (+37)
-MSU (-18)
-Michigan (-3)
-Iowa (-11)
-PSU (-39)
-Nebraska (-19)
-Ball St (+11)
-OSU (-20)
-Louisville (-22)
I'd take Indy to cover vs. O$U since it's only week 1.

I'd also take the Zips. 39 points is a lot. If PSU covers Barkley might have 200 yds in the first half, Sanders might get 80 yards, and Stevens might get TD pass.
 
Take Wyoming in the Iowa game. Two reasons. First Iowa's record in opening games is abysmal. they are a historically terrible season starter. Second Wyoming lost some really good O players but the coach is an overachiever. In fact he beat Iowa several years ago when he was at one of the Div1a Dakota teams.
Yep. With their stud QB, I say the Cowboys beat Iowa outright.
 
I'd take Indy to cover vs. O$U since it's only week 1.

I'd also take the Zips. 39 points is a lot. If PSU covers Barkley might have 200 yds in the first half, Sanders might get 80 yards, and Stevens might get TD pass.
I can see it with Indy, but I think that Wilson is going to keep his foot on the pedal against his former team.
 
I can see it with Indy, but I think that Wilson is going to keep his foot on the pedal against his former team.
We'll see. I think Indiana keeps it close and actually has a shot to win outright. Ohio State has a number of players who have not started a game at this level before. No matter how many stars a kid has, your first start is still your first start. Kevin Wilson is not a passing innovator, and it still is a head scratcher as to how he is being portrayed that way, suddenly because he is now at Ohio State.
 
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