The left's message to voters.... Stay home.... Don't vote....

[m.knox]

Biden Needs Disengaged, Unhappy Voters to Stay Home​

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/poli...gaged-unhappy-voters-to-stay-home/ar-BB1nkFVA


Now it’s becoming increasingly clear that a high-turnout election in 2024 may actually be more than a little problematic for Biden, as Ron Brownstein observes at CNN after scanning recent polls:

Merged results from the three most recent national NBC polls, conducted by a bipartisan team of prominent Democratic and Republican pollsters … found that Biden leads Trump by 4 percentage points among people who voted in both 2020 and 2022. But among those who voted in 2020 but not 2022, Trump led Biden by 12 percentage points. Trump’s lead swelled to 20 percentage points among those who did not vote in either 2020 or 2022. Fully 65% of those who did not vote in either of the past two elections said they disapproved of Biden’s performance in office.
Combined results from recent national New York Times/Siena College polls likewise have found Biden narrowly leading among potential 2024 voters who turned out in 2020 while trailing Trump by double digits among those who did not vote in their previous contest.

The split between marginal voters and more engaged voters is particularly evident among the young voters who were supposed to clinch a firm Democratic majority once they fully entered the electorate, Brownstein notes:

Through the 21st century, as first Millennials and now Generation Z have entered the electorate in large numbers, Democrats have unwaveringly operated on the belief that turning out as many young voters as possible would benefit the party.
But that’s a much more uncertain proposition in 2024, as demonstrated by the latest youth poll from the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, probably the most in-depth look at attitudes among young people. In the IOP poll this spring, Biden led Trump by nearly 20 points among young adults (aged 18-29) who said they definitely plan to vote in November; that lead was comparable to Biden’s advantage among all young adults in 2020. But Trump’s position steadily improved as the likelihood of voting diminished, with the former president leading Biden by 2-to-1 among those who said they probably would not vote.