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With Newly "Adjusted" Numbers, NOAA makes May Warm Claim - Satellite Data Doesn't Agree

T J

Well-Known Member
May 29, 2001
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So for May 2015 NOAA says the globe is at 0.87°C above normal, and [Satellite Database] UAH says the globe is at 0.27°C above normal – a difference by a factor of three.

The Alarmists "fudging" the data continues. No surprise their "outlier" claims will be trumpeted to the ignorant.

Meanwhile, Alarmists will imply the warmth is from CO2, while real scientists can just track the release of Solar Heat previously stored in the Ocean when cloud cover was extremely low.
Conditions are tracking along as expected, during this second year of a normal, natural two-year El Nino.

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From the review, which discusses that NOAA recently "cooked the books" yet again, to try to show a higher temp trend. The Alarmists' "data fudging" exaggerations are not supported by the world's satellite data and not supported by millions of independent radiosonde balloon records.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/07/...hat-may-was-the-hottest-ever/#comment-1985835

Thanks partly to NOAA’s new adjusted dataset, tomorrow they’ll claim to reporters that May was the ‘hottest ever’

Anthony Watts / July 15, 2015


However, satellite data don’t agree with that finding

People send me stuff.

Today I got an email with an advance link to the NOAA/NCDC “state of the climate” briefing- that monthly phone call where Tom Karl’s NCDC staff spoon feeds unquestioning newsies like AP’s Seth Borenstein the latest worry over climate. Unsurprisingly, May 2015 is now anointed as the “warmest May on record”, thanks in part to the new and “pause busting” improved sea surface temperature record, all highly adjusted based on a variety of rationalizations.

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Continued...

There’s another global graph that NCDC made, showing anomaly data rather than percentiles, but that didn’t quite make it into the press briefing, perhaps because there’s not as much red in it:

Aw,

Shucks, where did all the hot red go?


Interestingly, there’s no link in the press briefing document that take you directly to the May 2015 SOTC page at NCDC that this is presented on, so folks like Seth won’t likely see this image unless they actually switch from regurgitator to reporter mode and spend some time to look for it.

If you want to look at both the press briefing and the SOTC page where that image exists, here are the links:

SOTC Press brief: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/briefings/201506.pdf

SOTC May 2015: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201505

But, never mind. Let’s look at the global temperature for May 2015 as seen by satellite data (click to enlarge):




And the graph (click to enlarge):



Looks to me like the pause is alive and well, and look at the rightmost datapoint, May 2015, nowhere near a record. Now to be fair, the satellite record is only from 1979, but, there’s certainly no indication of May 2015 being the hottest ever.

Or if you prefer numbers, here is what [satellite database] UAH said about May 2015:

Global Temperature Report: May 2015

Third warmest May in satellite record

Global climate trend since Nov. 16, 1978: +0.11 C per decade

May temperatures (preliminary)

Global composite temp.: +0.27 C (about 0.49 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for May.

Northern Hemisphere: +0.33 C (about 0.59 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for May.

Southern Hemisphere: +0.21 C (about 0.38 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for May.

Tropics: +0.27 C (about 0.49 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for May.

Source: http://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/

Compare that to what NOAA/NCDC is saying:

The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for May 2015 was the highest for May in the 136-year period of record, at 0.87°C (1.57°F) above the 20th century average of 14.8°C (58.6°F), surpassing the previous record set just one year ago by 0.08°C (0.14°F).​

So for May 2015 NOAA says the globe is at 0.87°C above normal, and UAH says the globe is at 0.27°C above normal – a difference by a factor of three.

Who to believe?
 
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