WrestleStat Rankings - Week 7 2018-2019

[andegre]

Here's the latest installment on the WrestleStat Rankings.

Our "big movers" list includes

125 - Vito Arujau up 10 spots to #14
133 - RBY up 5 spots to #9
149 - Brock Mauller (great name) up 11 spots to #9
174 - Mark Hall is still in 1st...

Wrestler Rankings: https://www.wrestlestat.com/rankings/starters

Dual Rankings: https://www.wrestlestat.com/rankings/dual

Tournament Rankings: https://www.wrestlestat.com/rankings/tournament

Statistical Rankings: https://www.wrestlestat.com/rankings/statistical

Tourney Projection Tool: https://www.wrestlestat.com/tourney/projection

Pick'Em Leaderboard has been updated with week 7 results as well. I've also added the "buffer" to the leaderboard so everyone can see how far above (or below) they are to the 50% minimum.

Pick'Em Leaderboard: https://www.wrestlestat.com/pickem/leaderboard

 

[dicemen99]

Question - why aren't InjDefs categorized as bonus wins?

 

[andegre]

Question - why aren't InjDefs categorized as bonus wins?

Hmm, good question, they should be...

 

[GogglesPaizano]

Andegre - I still think your tool is the best!

I am trying to noodle Wood ahead of Cassar at Heavy. Wood lost head to head and vs the only common opponent Nevills, who Cassar also beat. Likewise Cassar is his only major decision defeat in all of his bouts spanning 2 years. I get that it will take a while for Cassar to climb higher but though he would have jumped ahead of wood based upon these most two recent results.

Likewise Haynes and Orndorf should fall behind him pretty soon given their loses, with one already to Wood.

I assume it's still due to Cassar's lesser number of matches overrated and fewer at heavy?

For us non mathematicians, what is the relative weight of a recent head to head, matchup vs total body of work in an ELO analysis?

 

[7brwnpsu]

Mark Hall 8-0. Looks pretty sweet in writing!

 

[dbldoofus]

Hmm, good question, they should be...

Should they? Yes it's bonus for the team but it's no indication that the winner beat the loser. See Nolf v Rutgers.
For rankings sake, INJ DEF has no weight, IMO

 

[pawrestlersintn]

Andegre - I still think your tool is the best!

I am trying to noodle Wood ahead of Cassar at Heavy. Wood lost head to head and vs the only common opponent Nevills, who Cassar also beat. Likewise Cassar is his only major decision defeat in all of his bouts spanning 2 years. I get that it will take a while for Cassar to climb higher but though he would have jumped ahead of wood based upon these most two recent results.

Likewise Haynes and Orndorf should fall behind him pretty soon given their loses, with one already to Wood.

I assume it's still due to Cassar's lesser number of matches overrated and fewer at heavy?

For us non mathematicians, what is the relative weight of a recent head to head, matchup vs total body of work in an ELO analysis?

There is no recency bias, nor H2H bias in the model, as far as I know.