Let's not get carried away. Moore has 2 losses, both to likely AAs (Cassar would be if starting). He is the highest returning placer. He has two first period pins over the next highest returning placer. He has 12 bonus point wins this year.
He might not place, but that would be an upset, in the "things happen at nationals" category. I don't see anyone below the top 7 or 8 who can beat him, so that means he's in the quarters. He'd then have to lose both the quarters and his first consolations match to not reach the podium (and he would not face a fellow quarterfinalist in the blood round -- he'd face someone who lost earlier and fought thru consis).
It is true that he's gassing, and it appears as though college wrestling is starting to adjust to him. He'll now how 2 weeks to rest and recover before B10s, and then another 2 weeks before nationals.
That doesn't mean he'll repeat his top 3 finish -- that does appear to be at risk, both from his performance and from an influx of talent (Rasheed, Darmstadt, Macchiavello).