The betting line would be twice what it is if the Vegas experts think it will be one sided domination by scUM on the lines. Essentially this is a 3 pt game on a neutral field and probably less as I think 7 is too many to give PSU in this game.Good points...Bit confusing looking at the stats...but it looks like PSU OL has allowed 7 sacks and 23 TFLs. Looks like Mich OL has allowed 8 sacks and 24 tfl's? I think I have that right...so on the surface, similar stats...but I think 3rd down %, where it really matters is the annual struggle for PSU and typically makes the difference. We convert at a 34% clip...Mich at 45%. That is a massive difference and it really starts up front with the run game and not getting stuffed on early downs. I like your idea about letting Cliff run a bit more...especially if Mich is in man. I get that he has taken more hits than Balboa, but without the threat of him running, it makes him truly less of a worry for the defense.
Our O-Line is better than last year and we have a potential 1st rounder at left tackle. Other guys need to hold up decently. On D I think Chop Robinson along with Mustipher will be very important for us. If they can be disrupters I like our chances.