Excellent article on this from who else? McCann. Basically, the NCAA is gong to lose. It is just a matter of "when". Here, McCann maps out an argument why universities could benefit by getting ahead of it and declaring their athletes "employees" sooner rather than later. I didn't know this much litigation was in place, including USC's football team.
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There are three current controversies. Dartmouth men’s basketball players recently convinced an NLRB regional director they are employees within the meaning of the National Labor Relations Act. Dartmouth will
appeal to the agency’s board and a U.S. Court of Appeal and the U.S. Supreme Court could later weigh
in. In Los Angeles, an NLRB administrative law judge is reviewing whether USC football and men’s and women’s basketball players are employees. Courts could later review that. Then there is
Johnson v. NCAA. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit is
determining the standard to judge whether college athletes are employees within the meaning of the Fair Labor Standards Act, a federal law that requires employers to pay overtime pay and minimum wage—including for work-study students employed by colleges.
On one hand, the NCAA and its members have time on their side. Each of these controversies could face multiple rounds of judicial review. Finality might not emerge for several years. A school could do nothing on the employment front (outside of paying lawyers and lobbyists to fight employment) for the foreseeable future and be okay.
On the other hand, the early returns for the defendants are nothing short of frightening. Whether it’s a Republican-appointed federal judge or a Democratic-appointed NLRB official, the same message is being repeated: Because colleges control the lives of athletes like employees,
they are employees.
Just as worrisome for the NCAA and colleges are blunt rejections of longstanding defenses. Colleges arguing they shouldn’t have to pay athletes because the athletes are amateurs—and they’re amateurs because colleges adopt rules saying they can’t pay them—has been panned as circular and specious by the likes of conservative U.S. Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh and liberal NLRB general counsel Jennifer Abruzzo.