Does OSU's 29 point head to head loss to Purdue guarantee Purdue a better bowl? If you want to argue that OSU would have 2 losses versus PSU's 3, that would be the best argument.
If Michigan wins by 3+ scores then there's going to be a much better case of us jumping Ohio State assuming we don't have an Ohio State-esque performance against Maryland. If Michigan-Ohio State have a
True.
If asked... "In your hear of hearts - what do you think happens (wrt PSU/RoseBowl) if OSU loses to UM?"
My "best guess" is that OSU remains ahead of PSU in the committee.... AND OSU goes to the Rose Bowl.
That would be my "prediction"
Of course, if PSU does end up in Atlanta (or, IIRC, conceivably in the Fiesta) that would probably be a more than fair result for this bowl season.
I expect they are probably just a hair north of 50/50 for making a NY6 bowl (But that is far from a lock as well..... just one CCG upset could send that all crashing down - - - - - to the Citrus. And PSU is by no means anything approaching a lock to beat UMd)
This^^^^
I'm not convinced Ohio State moves at all in the poll if they lose.