Revised Odds Of 10 AAs and Expected AAs

[wrestleknownothing]

There are 10 teams with all 10 wrestlers ranked in the top 33 this week. Six of those teams have all 10 ranked by all 3 ranking services.



Yes, but not all chances are equal. So who can make a run at Minnesota?

Remember that based on seeds The Golden Gophers only had a 0.78% chance of finishing with 10 AAs when they did the deed.

Chances of All 10 AAs



Based on rankings (and assuming they equate to seeds) here are the current expectations for AAs for the mighty ten.


Poor Pitt.

Ten ranked wrestlers and they will hope to scratch out one AA.

 

[mcpat]

Color graphics now too?

ROTY!

 

[wrestleknownothing]

Color graphics now too?

ROTY!

I found a website with every schools color guide. I have a problem.

 

[mcpat]

I found a website with every schools color guide. I have a problem.

I think you need a creative and statistical outlet. And I think most on this board are happy to be it.

 

[Sleepylion]

There are 10 teams with all 10 wrestlers ranked in the top 33 this week. Six of those teams have all 10 ranked by all 3 ranking services.



Yes, but not all chances are equal. So who can make a run at Minnesota?

Remember that based on seeds The Golden Gophers only had a 0.78% chance of finishing with 10 AAs when they did the deed.

Chances of All 10 AAs



Based on rankings (and assuming they equate to seeds) here are the current expectations for AAs for the mighty ten.


Poor Pitt.

Ten ranked wrestlers and they will hope to scratch out one AA.

Loke always, this is good stuff.

 

[dicemen99]

I think you need a creative and statistical outlet. And I think most on this board are happy to be it.

Maybe he can develop a better Wrestlestat while he's at it.

 

[wrestleknownothing]

Maybe he can develop a better Wrestlestat while he's at it.

Everyone likes to beat on it, but I love wrestlestat. Though I also wouldn not mind trying to take a crack at tweaking their algos.

 

[wrestlingfan22]

There are 10 teams with all 10 wrestlers ranked in the top 33 this week. Six of those teams have all 10 ranked by all 3 ranking services.



Yes, but not all chances are equal. So who can make a run at Minnesota?

Remember that based on seeds The Golden Gophers only had a 0.78% chance of finishing with 10 AAs when they did the deed.

Chances of All 10 AAs



Based on rankings (and assuming they equate to seeds) here are the current expectations for AAs for the mighty ten.


Poor Pitt.

Ten ranked wrestlers and they will hope to scratch out one AA.

so youre telling me pitt has a chance…

 

[wrestleknownothing]

so youre telling me pitt has a chance…

4 in 100 trillion. Chip and a chair.

 

[Cali_Nittany]

Everyone likes to beat on it, but I love wrestlestat. Though I also wouldn not mind trying to take a crack at tweaking their algos.

I'd like to get my hands on the base data too.