First of all, I apologize for the first set of these projections. I realized that i somehow forgot to insert a data point and the numbers were a little off. These should be more accurate.
Here's how it looks after picking up a commitment from KJ Hamler:
Previously: #21, 1504 points
Currently: #16, 1609 points
Assumed Commitments: Wade (150 + 73), Proctor (105), Johnson (105 + 11)
Other Possibilities: Wade-Perry (75), Spence (90), Kaindoh (150 + 64), Castro-Fields (105), Lovett (60), Davis (105 + 35), Harris (105 + 14)
Long Shots: Conliffe (105)
- With the 3 assumed commits, PSU would have 2053 points and 19 commits. If PSU were to only sign 19, that would be good for about the #17 or 18 class. Interestingly, if the recruiting points were applied to 2013, 2014, and 2015, PSU would have had the same recruiting ranking as South Carolina all those years (shows you how much USCe has under performed).
- If PSU adds a 20th player, the range of point totals with the players listed above are from 2113 (Lovett) to 2267 (Kaindoh) which puts PSU anywhere from #12 or 13 at best to about #15/16 on the low end.
- The average point total for the "other possibility" players above is 113.5 points, so for the sake of argument, let's use that total for a 20th player. The total of 2166.5 would put PSU at about #14 or 15.
So with a 20 person class, it's actually quite possible the Penn State lands a top 15 class. Obviously, that depends on how other teams classes turn out, but there is at least an outside shot of it.
Based on the last 4-year average, it is unlikely (although not impossible) that Penn State finishes outside of the top 20.
Obviously, this is subject to change... T-minus 4 days until Wade's decision and sounds like Johnson could pop any day.
Here's how it looks after picking up a commitment from KJ Hamler:
Previously: #21, 1504 points
Currently: #16, 1609 points
Assumed Commitments: Wade (150 + 73), Proctor (105), Johnson (105 + 11)
Other Possibilities: Wade-Perry (75), Spence (90), Kaindoh (150 + 64), Castro-Fields (105), Lovett (60), Davis (105 + 35), Harris (105 + 14)
Long Shots: Conliffe (105)
- With the 3 assumed commits, PSU would have 2053 points and 19 commits. If PSU were to only sign 19, that would be good for about the #17 or 18 class. Interestingly, if the recruiting points were applied to 2013, 2014, and 2015, PSU would have had the same recruiting ranking as South Carolina all those years (shows you how much USCe has under performed).
- If PSU adds a 20th player, the range of point totals with the players listed above are from 2113 (Lovett) to 2267 (Kaindoh) which puts PSU anywhere from #12 or 13 at best to about #15/16 on the low end.
- The average point total for the "other possibility" players above is 113.5 points, so for the sake of argument, let's use that total for a 20th player. The total of 2166.5 would put PSU at about #14 or 15.
So with a 20 person class, it's actually quite possible the Penn State lands a top 15 class. Obviously, that depends on how other teams classes turn out, but there is at least an outside shot of it.
Based on the last 4-year average, it is unlikely (although not impossible) that Penn State finishes outside of the top 20.
Obviously, this is subject to change... T-minus 4 days until Wade's decision and sounds like Johnson could pop any day.
