Is it that difficult?
Meh. My point remains unchanged. I'm incredibly unimpressed by Heil.
Is it that difficult?
Two championships in 3 years, as a Junior. Going for #3 this coming year, which would make him only the 31st all-time with 3 or 4 Championships. Rare territory.
Dislike his wrestling style all you want. The accomplishments are impressive.
I'd love for you to be right, but who beats him?I'll go out on a limb and say he doesn't get #3. Doesn't feel like a long limb at all.
It won't be HaggertyI'd love for you to be right, but who beats him?
Anyone that can keep the score close with him and catch him last secondI'd love for you to be right, but who beats him?
If it were that easy, it would've happened either of the past 2 years.Anyone that can keep the score close with him and catch him last second
I think the new rules will be his undoing. If he can no longer go to his back without giving up a score I can see several guys being very capable of beating him.I'd love for you to be right, but who beats him?
He's def underrated for his accomplishments. Just the way I see it when he's in a close match with another elite wrestler he has Aces and the other guys has ace king and they are both all in. His hand is going to win 90% of the time and 10% of the time he will lose. Just so happens his hand has held up more times then Normal and eventually if his matches keep being close he may get a bad beat from the AK.If it were that easy, it would've happened either of the past 2 years.
Two championships in 3 years, as a Junior. Going for #3 this coming year, which would make him only the 31st all-time with 3 or 4 Championships. Rare territory.
Dislike his wrestling style all you want. The accomplishments are impressive.
Deja Vu all over again . Much of the wrestling world, minus the Cowboys, didn't think he'd win last year. Count me among those that thought, of the #1 seeds, he was among the most likely to lose. As strong as you feel, I'm guessing you were there too. How'd that work out?I'll go out on a limb and say he doesn't get #3. Doesn't feel like a long limb at all.
Yes, he lost to Synon. Nick, in what would have been his HS senior year, losing to a 5th year senior and 2 time NCAA qualifier in his first folkstyle tournament in almost a year, doesn't concern me too much. As for freestyle you can point to that loss but you can also point to his win over Alan Waters.Nick lee lost to zach synon who was missouris 3rd string 41 pounder last year in February and also lost to Sam turner in freestyle who honestly I never heard of until the lee match. Lee is a great prospect but I think it's crazy for anyone to predict him as a top four 41 pounder this year. Cortez will probably start and I think he'll surprise a lot of people, he's a great talent when healthy.
Well said, AllTheWay!! I wonder how the new rule will affect his "style". Hanging on to an ankle, and held at 90 degrees or less for 3 seconds, and it's a takedown for the offensive wrestler, starting this year. My opinion is that he'll figure it out, and won't put himself in that position nearly as often, we'll see...he was the first guy I thought of when the new rule was approved.Man would I love to be a 2x returning NC going for #3! Kudos to Dean Heil. If you've watching him wrestle all through HS and College he is what he is. He's a kid who figures out a way to win pretty much every match. It may not be our preferred style of wrestling but I give the kid his props. Anybody can lose a match but betting against Heil is a foolish bet. The kid's a winner any way you slice it.
Hadn't looked up his 2016-17 results...41% Bonus higher than expected? Yes, for me.There are plenty of ways & words to give Dean Heil his proper due, without even touching his 'style'.
Consistent Winner? Check.
2x National Champ? Check.
Extremely Difficult Opponent? Check.
Dominant? Hold your horses.
The Wrestling Community *loves* the word dominant. But there is no shortage of actually dominant wrestlers, so there's really no need to over- or mis-use it. Additionally, and more importantly, scoreboard rules have long been structured in ways to ease our declaration of dominance. Did you win by 7 pts or fewer? Ok, you get a Decision. Did you win by 8-14pts? Major Decision. 15pts or more? Technical Superiority (Freestyle with the big nomenclature win here, over Folkstyle's Technical Fall). Did you pin your opponent? Like, physically dominate him to his back & stick him there? Pin, Fall, whatever you like.
Statisticians have found a nice way to present these by rolling them all into one group called Bonus Percentage, which has its problems when trying to distinguish between two different dominant wrestlers, but it works well enough for Heil:
Let's give Dean Heil all the due he's due from what he does and has done.
But let's keep it real. And keep the best word in Wrestling's lexicon reserved for those who actually are.
He's the first guy the rules committee thought of, too.Well said, AllTheWay!! I wonder how the new rule will affect his "style". Hanging on to an ankle, and held at 90 degrees or less for 3 seconds, and it's a takedown for the offensive wrestler, starting this year. My opinion is that he'll figure it out, and won't put himself in that position nearly as often, we'll see...he was the first guy I thought of when the new rule was approved.
I guess I look at BPP a little differently. A BPP of 40% means you're bonusing kids from Oklahoma City College, Oklahoma Central, etc. A BPP of 80% means you're bonusing those guys, plus a lot of ranked guys. Above that, and you're running the gamut of UR to top 5 guys. Higher than 40% BPP should simply be expected of a 2xer.Hadn't looked up his 2016-17 results...41% Bonus higher than expected? Yes, for me.
Anyone else see parallels to Tony Nelson?
The bad thing in my eyes is he has some great offense, when he uses it. Hopefully this year....Well said, AllTheWay!! I wonder how the new rule will affect his "style". Hanging on to an ankle, and held at 90 degrees or less for 3 seconds, and it's a takedown for the offensive wrestler, starting this year. My opinion is that he'll figure it out, and won't put himself in that position nearly as often, we'll see...he was the first guy I thought of when the new rule was approved.
That's the sticking point: I don't see anyone nearly at Gwiz's level. Maybe someone has a trick up his sleeve like Eierman?So who's your 2018 Gwiz, Jefe?
If the NCAA were awake (insert punchline here), this would be the Delgado Rule.Well said, AllTheWay!! I wonder how the new rule will affect his "style". Hanging on to an ankle, and held at 90 degrees or less for 3 seconds, and it's a takedown for the offensive wrestler, starting this year. My opinion is that he'll figure it out, and won't put himself in that position nearly as often, we'll see...he was the first guy I thought of when the new rule was approved.
3 National Champs had Bonus Point percentages in the 40's (percentage-wise). I understand your point, though it's not a great measure to determine NC-caliber wrestling...which is what Heil is, and what this discussion is about.I guess I look at BPP a little differently. A BPP of 40% means you're bonusing kids from Oklahoma City College, Oklahoma Central, etc. A BPP of 80% means you're bonusing those guys, plus a lot of ranked guys. Above that, and you're running the gamut of UR to top 5 guys. Higher than 40% BPP should simply be expected of a 2xer.
Anyone else see parallels to Tony Nelson?
Both good (and intriguing) questions. The beat-you-by-a-point, high-octane-offense-is-optional, wrestling "style" did bite Tony Nelson, though we later learned that Gwiz was a special talent.So who's your 2018 Gwiz, Jefe?
That's assuming the ref's will strictly enforce the new rule, we have too many rules currently, that are not evenly enforced, for me to make that assumption.I think the new rules will be his undoing. If he can no longer go to his back without giving up a score I can see several guys being very capable of beating him.
Jordan will be 157, the flip is Hayes. With very little to base my opinion on other than team bias I think Nick Lee is closer to Gwiz then Hayes.Both good (and intriguing) questions. The beat-you-by-a-point, high-octane-offense-is-optional, wrestling "style" did bite Tony Nelson, though we later learned that Gwiz was a special talent.
As far as this year's Gwiz (though I'm not El-Jefe) could come from the 141 ranks...say Ashnault or McKenna (or Jordan if the flip happens).
Heil's a defending champ and deserves respect. The kid can wrestle. It is his style that people can't stand, me included. But the kid is tough.
It depends on what you mean by respect. If you mean respecting the fact he's won 2 titles. Fine, I'll give him that.
If you define it as thinking he's a good bet to win his third. Nope. Consider me disrespectful. I'll take the field at 141 over Heil.
Are you taking Heil?
I think I could live with being the worst 3 time champ ever.If Heil doesn't win, there certainly will be a big debate about if he replaces Tony Nelson as the worst 2 time champ ever. He he wins, he will clearly be regarded as the worst 3 time champ ever, haha!
If Heil doesn't win, there certainly will be a big debate about if he replaces Tony Nelson as the worst 2 time champ ever. He he wins, he will clearly be regarded as the worst 3 time champ ever, haha!
There's gotta be an idea for a Dake tshirt in there somewhere.Being the most annoying 4 time champ doesn't seem to bother Dake one little bit.
Fantastic post. Love hearing the backgrounds on our boys.Pipher is pretty damn good. His family is wrestling royalty in Colorado. His uncle Chuck Pipher was a 3 time NCAA div 2 champion and his cousin Charlie was a div 2 national runner up for Western State college. Bo's father Andy was a national champion and 4 time all-American at CSU-Pueblo and has been a top coach in the state until he just retired after this past season. I know it's a big step up but Bo might just do it. His uncle Chuck is one of the best coaches that I have ever been around.