Chance for playoff berth

[Sproul]

I think we have to worry about Michigan jumping us this week... Just look at the eye test... The slobber fest is sickening and will only get worse as we get closer to the game..

Christ in heaven

 

[LionJim]

Back on topic,
Why can’t PSU, Oklahoma, and LSU all win out? The model sees that as an impossibility. Looks like a flaw.

My explanation is simply that the model throws out scenarios with less than a .25% chance of happening. Try having Alabama, PSU, and OU winning out, or LSU, OSU, OU, those scenarios make the cut.

It seems to me that the model sees UA as being a big favorite to beat LSU and OSU being a big favorite to beat us. The model handles LSU and PSU winning out but throw in Oklahoma winning out and it was too much for the computer.

Oklahoma’s last four games are vs. #23 Iowa State, at #14 Baylor, vs. TCU, and at OkSU.

 

[Sproul]

I read too many troll posts to be able to pick up on that.

Can we institute the internet sarcasm font like the rest of the world does on this board to avoid these problems? It is /s after your sentence.


Jim Harbaugh is a great coach /s

 

[Cosmos]

In fairness to Klatt this is what he said after someone pointed out that PSU wasn't in his preseason top 25 today-

"would you rather I hold on to my pre-season opinion and allow confirmation bias to shape my every thought about the sport? OR Would you rather I watch games and evaluate teams for what they do on the field and then adjust accordingly? Hmmmm"

I would rather he quit bloviating altogether. But hey, that's just me.

 

[lein]

Where's the great DOCTOR Tom Osborne when you need him, eh?

PSU getting to the CFP means they need to win out, or get a heck of a lot of help if the one loss is to OSU. Gonna be a very tough road and even Indiana is no gimme. If PSU beats OSU, having Rutgres as an end-of-season tune-up for the CCG is invaluable.

the pisser is if PSU loses to tOSU and Oklahoma/Oregon win out, they will make an excuse to keep PSU out. This despite the fact that PSU lost to a top 2 or 3 team.

 

[rmem]

1 loss Ohio State will get the benefit of the doubt.

Remote at best. FAR more likely Alabama and LSU get in.

 

[Nitwit97]

I do question how Michigan has a 9% chance of making the playoff if we both win out. That means a two loss non division winner 2nd team makes it from the big 10

that is odd.


All of this hand wringing about getting in with one loss is fruitless. Just worry about the next game. If you are an undefeated Big 10 Champ, you will be in.
PSU currently has two ranked wins, with the chance to get to 5 by the end of the year. Check the standings then.

Lots and lots of football to be played between now and then

 

[Richard the LIONhearted]

I think PS would control its own destiny - win them all and get to the conference championship and win that one - there is no way PS would be left out.

 

[bmw199]

Remote at best. FAR more likely Alabama and LSU get in.

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