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College Football Analytics- The Red Zone Isn't Where You Think

psufan44

Well-Known Member
Jan 30, 2002
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Article by Davidson College Associate Professor and a Senior Math Major on Analytics of college football this year. Looked at over 300 games mathmatically. Asked the question "Where on the field is a position where an offensive score is imminent"
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/tim-chartier/the-red-zone-exists-just-_b_8939020.html

The traditional "Red" zone (20 years line) is not the most telling field marker as it relates to scoring on a drive.

Interviewed today on Detroit WJR Frank Beckman show. Some highlights from the interview:
o Defines "Orange Zone"- crossing the 50 yard line- over 50% chance you'll score points.
o "Hot" Zone- 15 yard line- more predictive of whether you'll score a TD

For Tonights Alabama/Clemson game:
o Alabama reaches Orange zone: 68% chance they'll score
o Clemson reaches Orange zone: 58% change they'll score

o Clemson reaches "Hot" zone: 89% chance they'll score TD
o Alabama reaches "Hot" zone: 73% chance they'll score TD

Plenty to digest and I wonder how much and how sophisticated PSU's use of analytics is.
 
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