cpn1sgm -- you're just thinking about 125 and 133 recruiting? I feel like those 2 weight classes have been addressed quite a few times in the past year when we were discussing future recruiting. (BTW, you're just getting into recruiting? Looking at your sig pic, I would think you've been into wrestling for quite some time.
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So many variables here, and so many excellent options.
As El-Jefe indicated, Lee is the prospect that appears to be the least likely to exceed 125 in college. With some of the others, it's questionable whether they'll even be able to make 125 when they enter college.
If Nico goes next year, and that seems like a given, then PSU will need 2 guys at 125 and 133 in 2016-17. The only way they only need 1 is if JG comes back down to 133 for that season, though I'm in agreement with El-Jefe -- if he goes 141 in 2015-16, it makes little sense for him to go back down.
With Lee just finishing up his sophomore year, it makes the conversation even more interesting. PSU could get someone that could step in at 125 in 2016 as a true fresh, and then move up to 133 the following year if Spencer opts for PSU. (The Lee factor may explain why PSU was involved, to some extent with JUCO Alfredo Rodriguez. I say "may," as I'm speculating -- absolutely no insight into what PSU is thinking, or how much interest they actually had in Rodriguez.)
I project these guys as follows, and freely admit that I may be mistaken on one of them, or on all of them.
Chad Red - likely to enter at 125, and also likely to bump up to 133 while in college
Luke Pletcher - likely to enter at 133. I doubt he can make 125 in college. he may bump while in college to 141; hard to say
Nick Suriano - could enter at 125 or 133, but is unlikely to stay at 125 for all of college
Spencer Lee - will enter at 125, and has a good chance of ending college at that weight
I'm not including Daton Fix in the speculation, as like Spencer Lee he's just finishing his soph year, plus I'm still dubious that he leaves the state of Oklahoma for college.
How will it play out? I haven't a clue. PSU will need two wrestlers (unless JG moves down, which is doubtful), so I'm not sure how the coaches will manage this. Even if they get positive vibes from Spencer Lee about his future plans, they still will need 2 guys. And there's always the possibility that Spencer will follow the path of the Valencia brothers -- absolute HS studs that elect to redshirt as true freshman in college. My sense is Red is the most likely in the above list to verbal to PSU. I suspect that PSU would like Red and 1 of Pletcher and Suriano, even if they feel very good about their chances with Lee. JG will have to be replaced at 141 in 2017-18, so if Lee comes on board the 3 of them could man 125, 133, and 141. It does trouble me that the above scenario has each of them not redshirting, though as we saw with Nico and Z Train, elite wrestlers can step in as true freshman.
And for all we know, PSU is actively involved with 1 or more guys at 125 and 133 that are not even on our radar.
