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Here's a downer...significant chance of Olympics being cancelled

royboy

Well-Known Member
Nov 9, 2001
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due to Coronovirus

TOKYO (AP) — Dick Pound, the longest-serving member of the IOC, estimates there’s a three-month window to decide the fate of the Tokyo Olympics, which are being threatened by the fast-spreading virus from China.

Pound, in an exclusive interview with The Associated Press, did not sound alarmist. But he did speak frankly about the risks facing the Olympics, which open July 24.

“You could certainly go to two months out if you had to,” Pound said, which would mean putting off a decision until late May and hoping the virus is under control. “A lot of things have to start happening. You’ve got to start ramping up your security, your food, the Olympic Village, the hotels, The media folks will be in there building their studios.”

And if it got to the point of not going ahead, Pound speculated “you’re probably looking at a cancellation.”

“This is the new war and you have to face it. In and around that time, I’d say folks are going to have to ask: ‘Is this under sufficient control that we can be confident about going to Tokyo, or not?’”

China on Tuesday reported 508 new cases and another 71 deaths, 68 of them in the central city of Wuhan, where the epidemic was first detected in December. The updates bring mainland China’s totals to 77,658 cases and 2,663 deaths. South Korea now has the second-most cases in the world with 977, including 10 deaths. Clusters of the illness are now appearing in the Middle East and Europe. This could signal a new stage in the spread of the virus with four deaths reported in Japan.
 
Where do you get "significant chance" that they're canceled?

If we're still talking about this virus with the same urgency come late May, we're all screwed anyway.
 
Where do you get "significant chance" that they're canceled?

If we're still talking about this virus with the same urgency come late May, we're all screwed anyway.

that was just my choice of words based on the article
what would you call it? slight chance?
 
I would call it just being up front. He's saying that if Coronavirus is still causing this much unrest come May, then you need to cancel. And he's right. But I'd be shocked if it is gripping the world in May like it is now.
 
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I would call it just being up front. He's saying that if Coronavirus is still causing this much unrest come May, then you need to cancel. And he's right. But I'd be shocked if it is gripping the world in May like it is now.
Gotcha, and I hope you're right.

There are some pessimistic forecasts.
 
due to Coronovirus

TOKYO (AP) — Dick Pound, the longest-serving member of the IOC, estimates there’s a three-month window to decide the fate of the Tokyo Olympics, which are being threatened by the fast-spreading virus from China.

Pound, in an exclusive interview with The Associated Press, did not sound alarmist. But he did speak frankly about the risks facing the Olympics, which open July 24.

“You could certainly go to two months out if you had to,” Pound said, which would mean putting off a decision until late May and hoping the virus is under control. “A lot of things have to start happening. You’ve got to start ramping up your security, your food, the Olympic Village, the hotels, The media folks will be in there building their studios.”

And if it got to the point of not going ahead, Pound speculated “you’re probably looking at a cancellation.”

“This is the new war and you have to face it. In and around that time, I’d say folks are going to have to ask: ‘Is this under sufficient control that we can be confident about going to Tokyo, or not?’”

China on Tuesday reported 508 new cases and another 71 deaths, 68 of them in the central city of Wuhan, where the epidemic was first detected in December. The updates bring mainland China’s totals to 77,658 cases and 2,663 deaths. South Korea now has the second-most cases in the world with 977, including 10 deaths. Clusters of the illness are now appearing in the Middle East and Europe. This could signal a new stage in the spread of the virus with four deaths reported in Japan.

No big deal, what are they up to, monthly, by now?
 
Just give everyone a medal. Isn't that what milennials do now? That way no psychiatric counselors need called in to make the non-winners feel better.
 
I would call it just being up front. He's saying that if Coronavirus is still causing this much unrest come May, then you need to cancel. And he's right. But I'd be shocked if it is gripping the world in May like it is now.
I had a meeting with my financial adviser last Friday He informed me that “ 75% “ of market analysts were not expecting a significant impact in the US. I was stunned to hear this, or to think that this many people actually believe this. I guess if you’ve never seen something before it becomes difficult to imagine it happening.
 
Oddly, the stock market has been known to recover quite quickly after a world-wide pandemic (which actually this has yet to be officially classified as)
 
Just give everyone a medal. Isn't that what milennials do now? That way no psychiatric counselors need called in to make the non-winners feel better.

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Do a lot of people in the US even watch the Olympics anymore? - with all the cheating it seems almost like a rigged system and the IOC is in a class by itself for corruption. But I think Corona will runs its course well before then, I have seen it reported that the number of new cases in China is going down but not sure I trust anything coming out of that government.
 
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Will there be an NCAA tournament in April? It would not surprise me in the least if it had to be canceled. The CDC and feds are trying to avoid public panic as well as cut this virus off at the pass, but the planned measures to slow the spread of coronavirus in the U.S. are unlike anything this country has ever seen on a wide-scale basis. It's not if it's coming, it's when.
 
Considering it's popping up in new places almost every day (today it's now in South America) and I've read reports of people being infected without even going to China. It's looking like this won't be contained. Plus we know very little about it, such as exactly how it can be passed from people. Add in a 14 day (or more) incubation period and people are likely walking around with it, spreading it, and not even realizing it right now. The positive is the low mortality rate that may not be accurate, but one article suggested 70% of the world will have been infected come fall. If that happens, that's a lot of old sickly people who will die.
 
Considering it's popping up in new places almost every day (today it's now in South America) and I've read reports of people being infected without even going to China. It's looking like this won't be contained. Plus we know very little about it, such as exactly how it can be passed from people. Add in a 14 day (or more) incubation period and people are likely walking around with it, spreading it, and not even realizing it right now. The positive is the low mortality rate that may not be accurate, but one article suggested 70% of the world will have been infected come fall. If that happens, that's a lot of old sickly people who will die.


This is the new normal. Im curious about MLB season coming up. What can be done to stop it spreading?
 
As for the Olympics, could there be a worse setting for trying to contain a virus?
  • Thousands of athletes plus spectators, officials, and media come from all over the world to an area already highly populated
  • All manners of travel are used
  • There is considerable human contact over a two-week period
  • After the games, the athletes and others from the scene go back to all corners of the world
 
One thing I have consistently noticed since the beginning of this epidemic is the difference in the assessments between the people with actual backgrounds in medicine and science versus political pundits, financial experts, etc.
 
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