For me I hope Nails stays down at 125. The weight is wide open for him to reach his goals, even if Nato comes down. Actually I dont fear Nato coming down at all. I think Nick can and would beat him in the 3rd or OT and because Nick is so-so tough on defense Nato offense is neutralized.
Im not saying he cant win it at 133 but 133 will be a meat grinder again. Gross, (maybe Nato on full feed) Brock, Micic. Those are guys coming down from the 140+ range to 133. Nick isnt 140+ with rocks in his pockets.
Cortez I hope stays down as the team is much stronger. Meredith, Heil, Jack fit his style of scrambling at 141 and he will keep close, but will he win. Ash I think would just push him around.
Meaning I think N Lee does just as good or within a few points of Jared, but Jared at 133 is 10+ points better than any option other than Nails at 133. Which then leaves an opening (not a whole, relax) at 125.
Interesting stuff to head into the FS season.