What is "tin foil hat" about that? Are you saying that can't happen? It absolutely COULD happen. Last year proved it. If we would have switched resumes with Ohio State last year, and THEY would have beaten us and won the Conference, they would have absolutely gone to the Playoff.
If we had beaten Pitt or Michigan (or even a tight loss to Michigan) last year, OSU and/or Wash would not have been considered. If we had beaten both, we likely would have had the top seed.
Th only “looks test” that Herbie and everyone had to point to was the thumping at Michigan. Even today I saw someone questioning PSU because we were beaten so badly in the trenches in the Michigan game. No one remembers our injury issues at that point in the season.