Just my opinion. Seems weird to see Iowa out of the top five as well.
Things going well for Iowa: Gilman, Clark and Sorenson are about as much of locks to be finalists as anyone. A healthy Stoll is at least an AA in my opinion and I could see him finishing top 4 if the cards fall right. Brooks brought home the AA and should be able to repeat.
Questions: Will Meyer be able to improve or at least repeat, will Kemerer bring it home up a weight, and 41/65/97 are huge question marks. Does Marinelli go in or not, if so how will he do in March, if not can Paddock do enough damage, etc. Will Stoll return to full form.
Things going well for PSU: Zain and Nolf are basically title locks at this point. Nickal will be right there again and should at least be top four (likely top 1).
Questions: Will Suriano perform at a high level out of the gate, will Cortez, Gulibon, whoever is at 65 (Morelli or does Hall come in, is Hal at 74 etc), McCutcheon/Rasheed/Cassar/(Nickal?) or whatever combination be able to compete at 84/97, will Nevills return healthy and be able to finish at AA.
I think Iowa and PSU have the same amount of "safe bets" but PSU's locks have a higher floor due to bonus. PSU's "questions" (who are also very talented) also have a higher floor and ceiling than Iowa's IMO.
Edit: Total brainfart on Joseph. He will also be an AA contender at least