Let's do some basic math here:
If Rasheed were to stick his first round opponent and then lose out, that's 4 pts.
Morelli rarely gets bonus at all. So to score 4 pts he would need to do one of the following:
- Win his first 2 matches, both likely against seeded wrestlers (better hope neither is Ringer).
- Win his first match, then win 4 consolation matches.
If he loses his first match, he needs to reach the podium to score 4 pts total.
I support Cael's decision. Just pointing out that it's a risk either way.
I think you're looking at it wrong, or at least differently than the PSU staff. There is no question that Rasheed has a higher tourney ceiling, point wise, than Morelli. However, I suspect Morelli got the nod because the staff figured his floor was a little better than Rasheed's, even if only by a couple points.