After doing my research, here is the game...
Notes: Not a lot of common opponents, if any, so disparities could simply be SOS and conference in-game culture. However, I think we need to be between 38% and 40% from the 3-point line to win. I also think that most of that will have to come from someone other than Pickett and they'll come in with the mindset to take him out. If someone like Funk or Lundy light it up early, it may take them out of that gameplan.
- PSU relies, heavily, on Jalen Pickett. Everyone knows that.
- TAMU will double-team him. He only scored 11 versus Purdue
- That leaves someone unguarded: Funk, Dredd, Wynter, etc. Who will step up? Can they?
- If someone steps up, the double teams will be less frequent freeing up Pickett.
- Funk and Pickett play more minutes, on average than any TAMU player.
- in the meantime, TAMU plays a much more team game although share a weakness with Bigs.
- PSU has two players that average more than 9 PPG, TAMU has five.
- Our best F or C, scoring-wise, is Kebba who averages 3.4 PPG. Our 7th best scorer on the team
- Their Best F or C is Colemen with Marble close behind at both 9.2 PPG
- TAMU has three players averaging over 5 rebounds per game. Two of them Fs
- PSU has two, both of them Gs (Pickett and Lundy)
- We average 4.4 steals a game, TAMU 6.8
- TAMU averages 12.6 assists per game, PSU exceeds that at almost 14
- PSU has SIX players averaging over 40% from the arc while TAMU has THREE. a Huge difference.
- PSU has four players averaging over 75% from the stripe while TAMU has SIX (not counting players with just a few minutes per game). Our top players who go to the stipe went there 110 and 105 times. TAMU has a top two of 192 and 184 times. This could be how games are officiated in a more physical B1G than in the SEC but this is a big disparity.
- Of the Bigs, only one guy is above 70% for free throws for either team (TAMU's Coleman). Fouling down low works to their advantage.
- History would show that PSU has to win from 3 point line
- PSU will struggle in the paint for rebounds, FT shooting and scoring.
- While TAMU is not great in the paint, they are much better than us both in scoring and rebounding. If it is a physical game played mostly in the paint, we are toast.
- If it turns into a game at the FT line, TAMU is also favored there. A lot depends on how the game is officiated but we can't allow a big disparity in charity shots
Notes: Not a lot of common opponents, if any, so disparities could simply be SOS and conference in-game culture. However, I think we need to be between 38% and 40% from the 3-point line to win. I also think that most of that will have to come from someone other than Pickett and they'll come in with the mindset to take him out. If someone like Funk or Lundy light it up early, it may take them out of that gameplan.
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