You know they're favored to win out right?
Doesn't mean they will but 2 more losses seems like a reach. They lost by a score at a top 5 team.
Hopefully we do beat them. That's really the only game that should be in doubt for either team.
Ohio State vs Oregon
- Thread starter NittanyChris
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Doesn't mean they will but 2 more losses seems like a reach. They lost by a score at a top 5 team.
Hopefully we do beat them. That's really the only game that should be in doubt for either team.
Unfortunately, Lions have Badgers week before OSU. Win or lose, Lions will be coming out bruised, unless somehow they can get out to a big early lead and play a lot of depth.
He can come back here if they make that move
Why? Do they blame him for the loss?
Buckeyes play the same 4-2-5 we do, but probably blitz less overall. It's a weak rush defense, but they did fine yesterday considering the opponent (Oregon's RB had over 100 vs UCLA so I would say they are a very good rushing team).
The Buckeyes got beat in a duel on the road vs a team with comparable talent. Had Smith not pushed off, they very likely kick the FG and win the squeaker and Oregon fans are crying the same cries.
Fans tend to suck. That was a great game that somebody had to lose. Oregon shut down Judkins, and in the biggest moment of the game their mercenary QB sealed the loss after playing a near flawless game.
Yep, they think he's long past his prime as their DLs - the last few years - have underperformed ------ according to them
There’s a possibility that if we beat tOSU then they might not make the playoffs. Even if they win all the rest of their games they likely wouldn’t have any signature wins - I wouldn’t be surprised if none of Nebraska, Indiana or Michigan end up with 9+ wins - and played a crappy non conference schedule. I mean, I think name alone would likely carry them in but it would depend on how the committee rates teams.
10-2 Ohio State is a lock...I think Penn State at 10-2 is a lock. It's going to be very tough for the committee to ever leave out a 10 win Big Ten or SEC
Also they'd have 2 losses to top 3 teams in your scenario. Lock
I've seen rumors that he and Knowles bash heads. No title this year with that slew of draft picks, one of them probably leaves in some form or fashion.
I assume the 70+ year old DL coach loses said battle, if it comes.
I assume the 70+ year old DL coach loses said battle, if it comes.
Edited.
They would be PISSED but not falling out of the playoff. I agree.
Bama, Georgia too. 3 losses to consider it and that largely depends on other teams finishing with better records.
That's fair. Teams like Indiana or Vanderbilt may get left out at 10-2 but i think even Iowa or Ole Miss types get in at 10-2
Wisconsin now runs the air raid offense, and haven’t really been all that physical since Bielema left IMO.
Ole Miss is looking at a 1 game season now. Beat UGA and win out, they will make it in.
Iowa likely gets in at 10-2, but probably going to be huge Nebraska fans until Thanksgiving. They need to keep scoring points and living off defensive reputation (I don't think this version is as good as they have been, particularly in the secondary, but they are awesome at LB).
Vandy has too many obstacles. Texas, LSU, and Tennessee. They could eek out 1 of them, but 9-3 with the GA State loss will eliminate them.
Indiana. They gotta win 11 to get in. Outside of some catastrophic weekends. That means beating Michigan or OSU. And 5-1 Nebraska is next.
12 teams is fun though!
12 teams is definitely fun--so many teams would already be eliminated that are very much alive
Good to know! I still have flashbacks to when they knocked out 2 of our QBs.
This Indiana Nebraska game will be interesting. Two teams playing well. Good coaching battle of Rhule vs Cignetti. If Indiana gets this one they very well could be headed for 11-1 and a playoff spot.
A loss doesn't eliminate Georgia
How would that eliminate them?
I don't even think 2 more losses guarantees them being out
I think they need 3 losses to be out, but it ain't no telling. This is Texas week, right?
Yes...Texas
And a 9-3 Georgia is still very much alive whether that's fair or not.
The thing is that there are only 7 at large spots for non-conference winners, and those spots are going to fill up quickly with other one and two loss teams. The following teams may end up with one or two losses at most: OSU, PSU, Oregon, Miami, Clemson, Bama, TA&M, Iowa State, Texas, UGA, Indiana, Pitt, SMU, LSU, Kansas State, BYU. There's going to be little margin for error and, of course, it's going to come down to a beauty pageant.
In the previous 4-team Playoff, yes, but it will probably take 3 losses in this year's 12-team Playoff to eliminate schools like Bama and Georgia
So, that's 16 teams and I'd add ND. This is how I see Georgia getting in at 9-3
Penn State, Oregon and Ohio State all go 13-0, 12-1 or 11-1....3 bids
Texas, LSU, A&M and Bama all go 11-2 or better...4 bids
Miami beats Clemson in the title game...1 lock
Iowa State wins the Big XII...1 lock
G5 champs--let's say Boise State but 1 bid
So, that leaves 2 at large bids
We're looking at:
Indiana 10-2 without a quality win
ND losing to USC with their best win as Army/Navy at 10-2
Pitt 11-1 without a quality win
Clemson 11-2 with their best win being Pitt
The Big XII teams at 10-2 with their best wins being against each other
Do we really think a 9-3 Georgia is getting left out with their win over Clemson in what is considered the strongest league?
Maybe they shouldn't get in but they'd probably be ranked about 10th. If they lose to Texas this week I think they fall no further than 8
Sorry--we should add Iowa to that list because they have a great shot to be 10-2 but a blowout loss to Ohio State and a 1 point loss to Iowa State isn't bad but they haven't beat anyone--best win would be Wisconsin or Northwestern. Not sure who made their schedule. No USC, Oregon, Penn State or Michigan. Hell they didn't even get Indiana
One of the interesting things to do is compare tOSU's last, unsuccessful drive, with out successful TD drive to tie the game against USC.
tOSU had a key call go against them, they didn't realize the clock would start up after that penalty, and their QB ran the ball instead of throwing it and stopping the clock. The game ended with a tOSU timeout on the board.
One team executed and the other did not given different circumstances. But tOSU only needed a FG and we needed a TD. We weren't fighting the clock while they were. But that fact that execution, by all 11 players, makes the game.
tOSU had a key call go against them, they didn't realize the clock would start up after that penalty, and their QB ran the ball instead of throwing it and stopping the clock. The game ended with a tOSU timeout on the board.
One team executed and the other did not given different circumstances. But tOSU only needed a FG and we needed a TD. We weren't fighting the clock while they were. But that fact that execution, by all 11 players, makes the game.
I forgot all about ND; as of now, they're getting in, so that leaves 6 spots for non-conference winners.
Why are they getting in? Literally no projection I've seen has them in.
They lost to NIU and won't have a ranked win because the academies won't be ranked if they lose a game.
ND could easily lose to anyone on their schedule even as weak as it is
If ND loses another game they have zero shot
Objectively speaking, other than their performance against NIU, they've been a pretty dominant team this season.
They struggled with a very average, at best, Louisville team
The A&M win does look better now but even that was an ugly game. ND definitely could use a 10-2 A&M on the resume to help them
I just don't think ND is close to a lock. Losing to NIU is very problematic--especially as an Independent. At 10-2 I think they're 100% out.
Their current SOS is on par with us but our's goes way up the rest of the way--there's doesn't. Just going to be tough for them.
This is the tricky part of the 12 team playoff--you need big wins but can't lose too many games
I agree with you, but it's ND and they matter when it comes to TV ratings and, if there is any benefit of the doubt, they're going to get it.
Iowa did. They protected 3 rivals. Only leaves 6 openings. At some point, they probably face all of the best Big 10 teams in one season and could be fighting for a bowl...
They get Oregon, USC and us in '25. OSU and Michigan in '26.
IMO, a 9-3 Georgia is not going to be the 5th SEC Team in the playoffs over all 6 of the teams mentioned above. Cutting out 2 ACC teams (especially when one is Clemson) + ND, each with less losses than Georgia, to give the SEC 5 teams in the playoffs is not going to happen. I understand how the head to head arguments for each of the above teams may arguably favor Georgia, but the broader argument set forth above is simply not going to play well anywhere and will trump the head to head arguments.
IMO, there is a better chance that a 9-3 Georgia makes it as the 4th and final SEC team to make the playoffs than being the 5th SEC team to make the playoffs over the above 6 teams.
100% disagree with Klatt. The close up shows that exact extension he talks about. The CB falls backwards at least a yard or 2 while Smith makes his cut.
Of any call I saw all weekend (and I watched from noon until nearly midnight before falling asleep), this was 100% right and textbook. This was more blatant than the Fleming OPI call.
Day is a veteran coach who makes millions and has one of the top coaching jobs in the country. It is his job to know clock management and its intricacies. Online his seat is getting warm. A loss to Penn State and it will get much warmer.
I read that someone said, "Two years ago he was born on third base and thought he hit a triple. Today he is still on third base".
