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One of the better PSU/Auburn game analysis I've read....

How many games have they won when the other team ran 40+ more plays?

will save you the research, answer is zero.

we made big plays but there was a much higher probability of us losing by 10+ than winning by 10+.

I am super happy as we historically don’t win games like that but we should temper expectations of this team.

"We should temper expectations for this team.". What a moronic statement that demonstrates that you are not a true fan.... Please do explain how our positive belief in the team (as any true fan has - i.e., "We Believe" as my old high school's favorite cheer went), hurts the team??? Just a moronic statement imho and proof that you are no true fan of PSU.
 
How many games have they won when the other team ran 40+ more plays?

will save you the research, answer is zero.

we made big plays but there was a much higher probability of us losing by 10+ than winning by 10+.

I am super happy as we historically don’t win games like that but we should temper expectations of this team.

Again, you IGNORE THE FACT that Wisconsin only averaged 3.84 yards per play on all the additional plays they ran (PSU averaged 6 yards per play). Only gaining 3.84 yards per play is PITIFULLY BAD OFFENSE (Wisconsin only averaged 3.0 yards per rushing attempt on their 58 rushing attempts - barely better that PSU's 2.8 ypc average. Both [i.e., 3.0 and 2.8 ypc] are PITTIFULLY BAD RUSHING OFFENSE NUMBERS - not just PSU's 2.8 ypc!). Wisconsin's horrendous 3.84 yards per play explains the horrid inefficiency of their offense (it took them 36.5 yards per point scored! Nearly double PSU's much more efficient offensive production of only 18.5 yards per point. You don't know what you're talking about, there is not an Offensive Coordinator in the country who would qualify only averaging 3.84 yards per snap (regardless of how many plays you ran) as even remotely "good offense".... the stat sucks, and sucks really bad - it is way below average for FBS as a group - and it explains precisely why Wisconsin scored so few points - btw, these numbers only look worse if you look at how the did versus PSU inside PSU's 35 yard line. You're full of shit that any knowledgable football person would qualify Wisconsin as having a good offensive day or remotely outplaying PSU's Defense when the diametric opposite is FACTUALLY told by the most important offensive stats.
 
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Ah, the coaches pole smoking brigade chimes in.

Do you die a little inside and then beat your cat every time we lose?

is that what a “true fan” does?

Are you JudgeSmails reincarnated

And yet you can't tell me how fans "tempering their expectations" helps the team on the field (or how being an enthusiastic fan and believer in the team, hurts the team on the field). Funny how that works, isn't it Doofus?
 
Penn State has been getting dominated in time of possession almost every season since 2016, and has won a ton of games in spite of it. The big exception to time of possession was 2020, where we noteworthily did not win a ton of games. It's a stat that's practically meaningless in terms of its positive impact on actually winning the game. Number of plays is a little more relevant, but yards per play and the ratio of big plays to plays run is more important, by a significant margin. More plays mean more chances to score, sure, but more plays also means more chances to make a mistake (which Wisconsin did a lot of).

Most defenses would happily sign up for a situation where the offense needs to plod their way down the field three yards at a time, because it means that the offense isn't able to effectively create space, and eventually you need to create space to score.

The most highly correlated stat to winning is average gain per play when one team averages 6.0 ypp (yards per play), which is well above-average, and the team they're playing only averages 3.84 ypp, which is well below-average, the probability of the team with the much higher average gain per play winning is extremely high (which can be shown by regressing this stat over a long period of FBS games). The reality is that PSU dominated Wisconsin in this stat (and it would have been far worse if Clifford hits #5 on either, or both, of the deep balls where Dotson was running free-&-clear behind the Wisconsin Defense. ).

Just beyond absurd to claim Wisconsin dominated PSU's defense offensively. Dominating TOP is not the same as dominating especially when you do little with the addition plays and only average 3.84 yards per snap!

BTW, how precisely did Wisconsin dominate when they trailed for the vast majority of the portion of the game the score was not tied - the game was tied for 45 of the 60 minutes (i.e., three-quarters of the time) of the 15 minutes the teams weren't tied, PSU lead Wisconsin for all but 2 minutes and 10 seconds of that time (Wisconsin kicked a FG late in the 3rd QTR to take their first and only lead of the game. On PSU's next possession, they drove the length of the field - 8 play 61 yard drive to the Wisconsin 7 yard-line in 2:10, where they had to settle for a chip-shot FG to re-tie the game. On their ensuing possession with only 11:26 remaining in the game, Wisconsin went 3-&-Out gaining only 2 yards and punting! PSU's ensuing possession started with 10:21 remaining, PSU again puts together a long scoring drive - scoring a TD on a 5 play, 68 yard 1:10 drive to re-take the lead 16-10 [missed Xtra-point]. Wsconsins next possession started with 9:17. Drive ended when PSU baited Mertz into an EASY INT on a desperation 4th-&-8 pass by Brisker. Wisconsin would have one last desperation drive where Mertz was again baited into an EASY INT on a desperation 3rd-&-17 pass from the PSU 32. Game Over. PSU controlled the game the entire 4th quarter and badly outplayed Wisconsin in the quarter on both sides of the ball. How leading for nearly 13 of the 15 minutes when either team had a lead, including the last 10 minutes of the game [and Wisconsin not really coming anywhere close to scoring in those final drives], equates to being "dominated" and just plain lucky to win is quite a bit beyond me, but most of the bizzare bullshit these supposed football servants spout baffles me.).
 
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