Playoff Picture (with A&M losing to Auburn/Bama to OU)

[LandoComando]

4 Locks (can lose next week)
Texas
Oregon
Ohio State
Penn State

4 Win and In
Georgia (might be a lock now)
Indiana (has to beat Purdue--and should)
Tennessee (Vandy)
Notre Dame (USC)

Auto bids
ACC (SMU/Miami)
Big XII
Boise State

1 spot left
Bama/Ole Miss or the SMU/Miami loser if the committee wants to piss of the SEC


1 Oregon (8 Georgia vs Tennessee)
2 Texas (7 Notre Dame vs 10 Indiana)
3 ACC (6 Penn State vs. 11 Bama/Ole Miss/ACC runner up)
4 Boise State (5 Ohio State vs 12 Big XII)

 

[heckmans]

4 Locks (can lose next week)
Texas
Oregon
Ohio State
Penn State

4 Win and In
Georgia (might be a lock now)
Indiana (has to beat Purdue--and should)
Tennessee (Vandy)
Notre Dame (USC)

Auto bids
ACC (SMU/Miami)
Big XII
Boise State

1 spot left
Bama/Ole Miss or the SMU/Miami loser if the committee wants to piss of the SEC

The CFB playoff essentially works at the pleasure of the SEC/B2G so unlikely they look to piss off the SEC.

 

[LandoComando]

The CFB playoff essentially works at the pleasure of the SEC/B2G so unlikely they look to piss off the SEC.

Agreed--so we'll get Ole Miss or Bama

 

[Delcolion915]

4 Locks (can lose next week)
Texas
Oregon
Ohio State
Penn State

4 Win and In
Georgia (might be a lock now)
Indiana (has to beat Purdue--and should)
Tennessee (Vandy)
Notre Dame (USC)

Auto bids
ACC (SMU/Miami)
Big XII
Boise State

1 spot left
Bama/Ole Miss or the SMU/Miami loser if the committee wants to piss of the SEC


1 Oregon (8 Georgia vs Tennessee)
2 Texas (7 Notre Dame vs 10 Indiana)
3 ACC (6 Penn State vs. 11 Bama/Ole Miss/ACC runner up)
4 Boise State (5 Ohio State vs 12 Big XII)

Agreed on all of these.

 

[bcspsu]

Agreed--so we'll get Ole Miss or Bama

I think that both SMU and Miami make it over any three loss SEC team. I mean, how many mediocre to bad teams can Bama and Ole Miss lose to before they’re out?

 

[LandoComando]

I think that both SMU and Miami make it over any three loss SEC team. I mean, how many mediocre to bad teams can Bama and Ole Miss lose to before they’re out?

Bama and Ole Miss have quality wins to offset the loss--or wins the committee cares about
Who has Miami or SMU beat?
The committee will do everything it can to keep the Big Ten/SEC happy. That's why we were always a lock at 10-2.

 

[doctornick]

I think that both SMU and Miami make it over any three loss SEC team. I mean, how many mediocre to bad teams can Bama and Ole Miss lose to before they’re out?

Yeah, I think the results today were huge for the ACC. If the Canes win next week but lose in the ACCC, I think they are in.

 

[LandoComando]

Yeah, I think the results today were huge for the ACC. If the Canes win next week but lose in the ACCC, I think they are in.

So their best win would be...Florida or Louisville?
No idea how they get in at 11-2 over a 9-3 SEC team such as Bama
Honestly, if Bama at 9-3 is left out for 11-2 Miami I'll throw a party because I'll get my "Super League" within 3 years

 

[LandoComando]

If we get the 6 seed and somehow get Miami and SMU (in any order) we better make the semis

 

[mydome88]

It’ll be interesting to see rankings this week. I would assume Miami and SMU are both above Alabama & Ole Miss. if that holds to their championship game they will set a really bad precedent if they drop a team losing a championship game below a team that didn’t play in one.

 

[bcspsu]

So their best win would be...Florida or Louisville?
No idea how they get in at 11-2 over a 9-3 SEC team such as Bama
Honestly, if Bama at 9-3 is left out for 11-2 Miami I'll throw a party because I'll get my "Super League" within 3 years

Two of Bama’s losses came to a team that’s going to finish 6-6 and to another team that at best is going to finish 7-5; they should be out. Ole Miss lost at home to a team that has one SEC win and to a Florida team that probably will finish 7-5 and to an LSU team that has four losses; they also should be out.

 

[LandoComando]

It’ll be interesting to see rankings this week. I would assume Miami and SMU are both above Alabama & Ole Miss. if that holds to their championship game they will set a really bad precedent if they drop a team losing a championship game below a team that didn’t play in one.

Florida State was undefeated and won but they were dropped
Losing a title game when you haven't played anyone all year matters.

 

[doctornick]

Of note, if Boise St wins out they will likely get the bye rather than the Big 12 champ

 

[LandoComando]

Two of Bama’s losses came to a team that’s going to finish 6-6 and to another team that at best is going to finish 7-5; they should be out.

Why? You need a team clearly better. This isn't 1994--the goal isn't to run the table--it's just be in the top 12.
It's why I've been telling everyone for weeks at 10-2 we'd be a lock but people refused to accept that FACT
Bama isn't dead--their resume is still on par, if not better, than Miami or SMU
Hell, it might still be better than Indiana's

 

[LandoComando]

Of note, if Boise St wins out they will likely get the bye rather than the Big 12 champ

Yeah, I have them 4th--there's no way a Big XII team gets a bye unless they lose--even if they lose Tulane but end up ahead of all the Big XII teams

 

[LandoComando]

Going to bed but for those saying CCG shouldn't negatively impact a team
If Boise State falls to Colorado State (let's just say) should an 11-2 Boise State still be in with a loss to Oregon and wins over....literally no one.

 

[bcspsu]

Why? You need a team clearly better. This isn't 1994--the goal isn't to run the table--it's just be in the top 12.
It's why I've been telling everyone for weeks at 10-2 we'd be a lock but people refused to accept that FACT
Bama isn't dead--their resume is still on par, if not better, than Miami or SMU
Hell, it might still be better than Indiana's

Because at some point, wins matter. Otherwise, the brackets just should be filled with the usual suspects in the summer.

 

[LandoComando]

Because at some point, wins matter. Otherwise, the brackets just should be filled with the usual suspects in the summer.

And who you beat matters---otherwise just don't play anyone like Boise or Miami

 

[MacNit2.0]

The CFB playoff essentially works at the pleasure of the SEC/B2G so unlikely they look to piss off the SEC.

What about Pitt?

 

[mydome88]

Going to bed but for those saying CCG shouldn't negatively impact a team
If Boise State falls to Colorado State (let's just say) should an 11-2 Boise State still be in with a loss to Oregon and wins over....literally no one.

It’s different. They aren’t P4 and in that case their conference doesn’t get in at all. Does Alabama jump Georgia if they lose to Texas in the SEC CCG?

 

[LandoComando]

I lied--who needs sleep--real quick

Top 16 on Tuesday IMO
1 Oregon
2 Ohio State
3 Texas
4 Penn State
--------------HUGE GAP-------------
5 Notre Dame
6 Georgia
7 Tennessee
8 Miami
9 Boise State
10 SMU
11 Indiana
12 Arizona State
---------------
13 Bama
14 Ole Miss
15 South Carolina
16 Clamson

Georgia should be 5 but I doubt they do that yet

 

[LandoComando]

It’s different. They aren’t P4 and in that case their conference doesn’t get in at all. Does Alabama jump Georgia if they lose to Texas in the SEC CCG?

Let's be real--there's a P2 and a G7 (no conference is guaranteed any bids)
No Bama wouldn't jump Georgia but some other teams would
Miami and SMU also aren't losing to a top 3 team--they're losing to another team that hasn't proven anything

 

[Safety Blitz]

No surprise:
NBC talking heads REALLY pushing for ND to jump ahead of PSU, citing all the points the Irish have piled up vs puss and the fact the ND loss (no mention of NIU) came early in the season.

 

[LandoComando]

No surprise:
NBC talking heads REALLY pushing for ND to jump ahead of PSU, citing all the points the Irish have piled up vs puss and the fact the ND loss (no mention of NIU) came early in the season.

They can pitch that all they want--the NIU loss isn't going anyway--they better beat USC

 

[mydome88]

I guess if we are going by who you beat, PSU should have beat OSU and then we could have just lost to Minny, Illinois and USC and still should be in.

 

[LandoComando]

I guess if we are going by who you beat, PSU should have beat OSU and then we could have just lost to Minny, Illinois and USC and still should be in.

We absolutely should be in at 9-3 in that scenario. Illinois would be a playoff contender

 

[CJFisJoePaII]

Yeah, I think the results today were huge for the ACC. If the Canes win next week but lose in the ACCC, I think they are in.

Based on all the shitting of the bed by the SEC today, believe it will be 4 b1g, 3 sec, 2 ACC, 1 b12, ND and Boise.

 

[bcspsu]

Based on all the shitting of the bed by the SEC today, believe it will be 4 b1g, 3 sec, 2 ACC, 1 b12, ND and Boise.

If Clemson beats USC, I wouldn’t be surprised if they make it over IU.

 

[CJFisJoePaII]

If Clemson beats USC, I wouldn’t be surprised if they make it over IU.

Clemson??? Right now the ACC CCG would be SMU v Miami.

 

[bcspsu]

Clemson??? Right now the ACC CCG would be SMU v Miami.

I know, but Clemson only has two losses and one of them was to UGA. They also are a brand that attracts viewers.

 

[CJFisJoePaII]

I know, but Clemson only has two losses and one of them was to UGA. They also are a brand that attracts viewers.

They're also ranked well behind both SMU and Miami in CFP Rankings - that is all that matters.

 

[doctornick]

If Clemson beats USC, I wouldn’t be surprised if they make it over IU.

I don’t understand people dumping on Indiana. They are easily in with a win next week and a decent chance to host the first round (but I can see them as the #9 seed).

 

[bcspsu]

I don’t understand people dumping on Indiana. They are easily in with a win next week and a decent chance to host the first round (but I can see them as the #9 seed).

I really hope that they make it over other “name” schools, and they probably will.

 

[doctornick]

I really hope that they make it over other “name” schools, and they probably will.

I think IU would be in massive trouble with two losses but I cannot see the Committee leaving out a 1 loss Power 4 team no matter how weak the schedule, especially a Big Ten team.

 

[mgkpsu]

I don’t understand people dumping on Indiana. They are easily in with a win next week and a decent chance to host the first round (but I can see them as the #9 seed).

Because they are this year's version of Florida State/TCU/Cincinnati/Notre Dame in that it's obvious that they have no business being there.

 

[dailybuck777]

4 Locks (can lose next week)
Texas
Oregon
Ohio State
Penn State

4 Win and In
Georgia (might be a lock now)
Indiana (has to beat Purdue--and should)
Tennessee (Vandy)
Notre Dame (USC)

Auto bids
ACC (SMU/Miami)
Big XII
Boise State

1 spot left
Bama/Ole Miss or the SMU/Miami loser if the committee wants to piss of the SEC


1 Oregon (8 Georgia vs Tennessee)
2 Texas (7 Notre Dame vs 10 Indiana)
3 ACC (6 Penn State vs. 11 Bama/Ole Miss/ACC runner up)
4 Boise State (5 Ohio State vs 12 Big XII)

Alabama looked terrible Saturday. I would rank them something like 15th or 16th.

 

[fastlax16]

4 Locks (can lose next week)
Texas
Oregon
Ohio State
Penn State

4 Win and In
Georgia (might be a lock now)
Indiana (has to beat Purdue--and should)
Tennessee (Vandy)
Notre Dame (USC)

Auto bids
ACC (SMU/Miami)
Big XII
Boise State

1 spot left
Bama/Ole Miss or the SMU/Miami loser if the committee wants to piss of the SEC


1 Oregon (8 Georgia vs Tennessee)
2 Texas (7 Notre Dame vs 10 Indiana)
3 ACC (6 Penn State vs. 11 Bama/Ole Miss/ACC runner up)
4 Boise State (5 Ohio State vs 12 Big XII)

If you’re including 3 loss sec teams the cocks might pop up if they can pound Clemson next week.

 

[lazydave841]

It’ll be interesting to see rankings this week. I would assume Miami and SMU are both above Alabama & Ole Miss. if that holds to their championship game they will set a really bad precedent if they drop a team losing a championship game below a team that didn’t play in one.

This Tuesday's rankings could set things up for the ACC #2 vs SEC #4 debate.

If SMU is ranked above Ole Miss and Bama, they are setting up for the ACC ccg loser to get in.

If SMU is ranked below one or both SEC teams, they are setting up for the SEC #4 to get in above the ACC ccg loser.

I think right now, the SEC #4 is probably Ole Miss. They were 2 spots lower than Bama coming into today's game. They lost by a TD; Bama lost by 3 TDs and were effectively shutdown by OU. Both will drop, but how far?

How they reshuffle #11 to #17 will be important. 14, 15, and 16 all lost. Clemson and South Carolina could be as high as 11/12 with the winner of their game being in position for a backdoor playoff spot. I assume Miami is in the ACC ccg with a win over Syracuse (holding the tiebreaker over Clemson due to beating Louisville while Clemson lost to them).

Somebody mentioned it above: South Carolina could get the hype this week. With a win vs Clemson they would have 3 ranked wins down the stretch and a 6 game win streak. However, they also lost to both Ole Miss and Bama and if we compare scores, Ole Miss comes out the better again.

My rankings guess (how i think they look Tuesday):

1 Oregon
2 Ohio State
3 Texas
4 Penn State
5 Notre Dame
6 Miami
7 Georgia
8 Tennessee
9 Indiana
10 Boise State
11 SMU
12 Ole Miss
---------------
13 Clemson
14 Bama
15 South Carolina
16 Arizona State*
17 Tulane
18 BYU
19 Iowa State
20 Illinois
21 A&M
22 Missouri
23 UNLV
24 Kansas State
25 Colorado

Bye seeds: 1 Oregon, 2 Texas, 3 Miami, 4 Boise State
1st round:
5 OSU vs 12 Arizona State
6 PSU vs 11 SMU
7 Notre Dame vs 10 Indiana
8 UGA vs Tennessee

Ole Miss 1st team out TODAY, not assuming any wins/losses for future ccgs.

Question, is the Big 12 champion guaranteed in? Or can they be left out? I'm assuming they are in.

 

[OKLionFan]

Two of Bama’s losses came to a team that’s going to finish 6-6 and to another team that at best is going to finish 7-5; they should be out. Ole Miss lost at home to a team that has one SEC win and to a Florida team that probably will finish 7-5 and to an LSU team that has four losses; they also should be out.

You’re dead on. Both teams may think they’re entitled, but neither is deserving.

 

[fastlax16]

This Tuesday's rankings could set things up for the ACC #2 vs SEC #4 debate.

If SMU is ranked above Ole Miss and Bama, they are setting up for the ACC ccg loser to get in.

If SMU is ranked below one or both SEC teams, they are setting up for the SEC #4 to get in above the ACC ccg loser.

I think right now, the SEC #4 is probably Ole Miss. They were 2 spots lower than Bama coming into today's game. They lost by a TD; Bama lost by 3 TDs and were effectively shutdown by OU. Both will drop, but how far?

How they reshuffle #11 to #17 will be important. 14, 15, and 16 all lost. Clemson and South Carolina could be as high as 11/12 with the winner of their game being in position for a backdoor playoff spot. I assume Miami is in the ACC ccg with a win over Syracuse (holding the tiebreaker over Clemson due to beating Louisville while Clemson lost to them).

Somebody mentioned it above: South Carolina could get the hype this week. With a win vs Clemson they would have 3 ranked wins down the stretch and a 6 game win streak. However, they also lost to both Ole Miss and Bama and if we compare scores, Ole Miss comes out the better again.

My rankings guess (how i think they look Tuesday):

1 Oregon
2 Ohio State
3 Texas
4 Penn State
5 Notre Dame
6 Miami
7 Georgia
8 Tennessee
9 Indiana
10 Boise State
11 SMU
12 Ole Miss
---------------
13 Clemson
14 Bama
15 South Carolina
16 Arizona State*
17 Tulane
18 BYU
19 Iowa State
20 Illinois
21 A&M
22 Missouri
23 UNLV
24 Kansas State
25 Colorado

Bye seeds: 1 Oregon, 2 Texas, 3 Miami, 4 Boise State
1st round:
5 OSU vs 12 Arizona State
6 PSU vs 11 SMU
7 Notre Dame vs 10 Indiana
8 UGA vs Tennessee

Ole Miss 1st team out TODAY, not assuming any wins/losses for future ccgs.

Question, is the Big 12 champion guaranteed in? Or can they be left out? I'm assuming they are in.

If Tulane wins their ccg ends up ahead of the winner of the bjg 12 champ game then Tulane is in. 5 highest rated conference champs. Conference agnostic.