I'm not at all discounting your thought process as you are one of my favorite reads on these boards and obviously you have a vast knowledge of wrestling....but... the one thing you may be missing is the power. Kyle Dake had horsepower that allowed him to overcome tricks, and I see this same skill/talent in Carter. There is no substitute for raw horsepower. I love David Carr the person and wrestler more than most, but David is not in the same power stratospere as Carter. Carter would win the hand fight which would win the attack positions which would result in positional advantages KOT would not be able to overcome imo. When a wrestler has good speed, crazy power,crazy confidence, and some of the best positioning I have ever seen I just can't see him losing to a great scrambler who can't match his power.