Ten Thousan Marbles Thread watched More to ignore, Book 100....
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UPDATE: Saturday, Oct 15, 2022 · 11:06:19 AM EDT · kos
Rain has generally rendered NASA FIRMS fire imagery unusable the last several weeks. But we’ve got imagery today, and the fighting looks to have moved south of Mylove, in Kherson oblast.
That cluster of fires south of Mylove are in a (dirt?) road intersection that loops around that river-inlet-estuary body of water. Russia might be laying down a wall of artillery fire to try and prevent Ukranian advances. Alternative theory: That is a staging ground for Russian equipment supporting the Mylove defense, and was hit by Ukranian artillery.
There are no buildings or structures there, so that fire is someone’s equipment burning.
Rain has generally rendered NASA FIRMS fire imagery unusable the last several weeks. But we’ve got imagery today, and the fighting looks to have moved south of Mylove, in Kherson oblast.
That cluster of fires south of Mylove are in a (dirt?) road intersection that loops around that river-inlet-estuary body of water. Russia might be laying down a wall of artillery fire to try and prevent Ukranian advances. Alternative theory: That is a staging ground for Russian equipment supporting the Mylove defense, and was hit by Ukranian artillery.
There are no buildings or structures there, so that fire is someone’s equipment burning.
Ukraine Update: Putin suffers yet another diplomatic humiliation; fog of war envelopes Kherson
kosOnce upon a time, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin struck fear in the heart of his neighbors, and he loved to exert dominance by being always late to meetings. Nowadays, he gets regularly stood up and lectured by his neighbors. The latest was particularly direct and humiliating, from Tajikistan dictator Emomali Rahmon (who was late to a meeting with Putin at a different gathering last month).
Here’s a loose translation of the remarks in text:
If only Putin had an army left, he’d show this insolent Rahmon a thing or two! But he doesn’t have an army anymore, which is why the Tajik leader felt emboldened to unload as his fellow Central Asian heads of state watched approvingly. These screencaps really do capture the vibe:
Other than Belarus, which is playing its own rope-a-dope games with Russia, the rest of Russia’s neighbors all agree. Russia is more isolated than ever.
Also, there’s something wrong with Putin’s face. Those cheeks aren’t normal.
......
Speaking of Belarus, there is still no real sign it plans on entering the war, no matter how much it pretends otherwise. That’s why the country is happy to ship off its decrepit old tanks to Russia. If those tanks are destined for destruction (and they are), best to have Russians inside them.
On the other hand, Belarus is still pretending to threaten northern Ukraine with a new joint “regional group.”
This is all for show. If Russia and Belarus were serious about opening up a new front near Kyiv again, they wouldn’t be shipping the armor off to Russia and who knows where in Ukraine (somewhere in the Donbas, presumably).
And remember, Russia’s best VDV airborne troops, with no fortifications north of Kyiv, never reached the Ukrainian capital. Today, Ukraine has heavy fortified the border and approaches, has well-entrenched battle-hardened territorial defense forces manning those lines, and has HIMARS/MLRS. Just imagine what HIMARS would’ve done to that “40-mile column” in the early days of the war. Russia hasn’t solved its logistical issues, and poorly trained mobilized rabble, the same ones complaining about lack of shoes and killing each other in Russia, are going to be even less of a threat than the shit Russia previously sent on that approach.
RIA Novosti: Mass shooting at Russian military training base near Belgorod, at least 11 killed
Charles JayThe official Russian news agency RIA Novosti is reporting that at least 11 people were killed and another 15 wounded in a mass shooting at a military training base near Belgorod, close to the Ukrainian border.
The Ministry of Defense reported that the two attackers were citizens of one of the countries in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). The ministry described it as a “terrorist attack.”
A desperate Putin is reportedly pushing for a temporary cease-fire; Ukraine says no way
Charles JayVladimir Putin was in a state of denial when he held a news conference on Friday in Kazakhstan’s capital Astana following a summit meeting of the Confederation of Independent States (CIS), comprising some former Soviet republics.
Here’s how Putin assessed the war in Ukraine, according to a report by the independent Russian news outlet Meduza:
“Unpleasant?’ That is indeed putting mildly what has been an unmitigated disaster for Putin and Russia. At the same time, we shouldn’t forget that the Ukrainian people have paid a heavy price as they’ve successfully fought off the Russian invaders.
But now the Russian leader has become increasingly desperate as he has painted himself into an ever-shrinking corner. Ukraine’s counteroffensive has continued to liberate more territory in provinces annexed by Russia just weeks ago; the “partial mobilization” has been a total failure, resulting in far more Russian men fleeing the country than showing up at enlistment centers, and Western countries have pledged to build up Ukraine’s air defenses after last Monday’s massive missile attack following the embarrassing attack on the Crimean bridge.
Russia is generally retreating and trying to form new defensive lines in the Tri-Oblast area of Kharkiv, Luhansk and Donetsk as well as in Kherson to the south. Russia’s only offensive advances have been toward the city of Bakhmut in eastern Donetsk, led by the Wagner Group of private mercenaries which has been trying to capture the town for months.
So what is happening behind the scenes in the Kremlin? According to Meduza, which has good sources in the Kremlin, Putin is now trying to buy time to regroup by pushing for a temporary ceasefire, which likely would include withdrawing troops from part of the occupied Kherson region. Ukraine has already signaled that the ceasefire proposal is a non-starter.
But the fact that Russia would consider such a proposal is a sign of growing desperation over how the war is going. It also may reflect its battlefield strategy, giving up most offensive initiatives in favor of adopting a more defensive posture. Not that this will stop Ukrainian forces from advancing.
Meduza summed up the situation as follows:
Now this temporary ceasefire proposal might appeal to tankies in the West, but it isn’t even a peace treaty. Putin is still insisting that the four recently annexed occupied Ukrainian provinces as well as Crimea (annexed in 2014) are part of Russia.
Ukraine has no intention of letting the badly wounded Russian bear peacefully hibernate through the winter only to emerge in the Spring refreshed and rejuvenated.
All it does is gain time for beleaguered Russian forces to strengthen their defensive lines, replenish ammunition stocks and equipment, and hunker down for the winter. It also gives more time for the new recruits from the partial mobilization and the new fall class of conscripts to train. Under Russian law, conscripts can’t be deployed to fight outside of Russia, but they now can be sent to the front in the newly annexed provinces of Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia which the Kremlin considers part of Russia.
But while Putin’s position on the occupied territories hasn’t changed, Meduza’s sources say the Russian authorities have developed a new “tactical option. Russian leaders believe a temporary ceasefire “could be arranged through negotiations between Russian and Ukrainian troops — without the involvement of either country’s president.” Really?
Meduza’s Kremlin sources did say that Russia would likely be willing to withdraw troops from at least part of the occupied section of Kherson province as a “gesture of goodwill.”
That’s an empty gesture. As the front-line has moved closer to Kherson city, the Russian-appointed governor of the Kherson Oblast, Vladimir Saldo, appealed to Russia to help evacuate residents. Kyiv officials have said Ukrainian forces hope to reach the city by Christmas, if not sooner.
Meduza wrote:
Ukraine’s official position regarding any negotiations with Russia remains unchanged.
A top adviser to Zelenskyy, Mykhailo Podolyak, saw through the Russian ruse, telling Meduza:
(Meduza has granted open access to all its coverage of the war in Ukraine under a Creative Commons license)
Day 234, October 15th. Summary of Arestovych and Feygin broadcast • WarTranslated
Battlefield update, Belgorod, RU mobilization, Belarus, Musk & Starlink, Tajikistan, Ceasefire & negotiations, RU blames US&UK for RU war crimes,
wartranslated.com
Kherson
🇺🇦 hit 🇷🇺 positions in Kherson, with reports mentioning hundreds of 🇷🇺 KIA.Early on Saturday, 🇷🇺 sources were reporting a massive attack of 🇺🇦 forces in Berislav, including artillery & aviation, and causing panic in the 🇷🇺 chats that was later quenched by the centralized 🇷🇺 propaganda efforts later in the day. 🇷🇺 fears shrinking of the 🇷🇺 hold in Kherson and future constant bombardment of the remaining 🇷🇺 host in Kherson region.
Rennie Petersen
Oct 16, 2022 at 07:22:17 AM
I was in Bucha three weeks ago, doing “research” for my next book. That was about six months after the Russian occupation and atrocities, so things were somewhat cleaned up. But there were still many destroyed building that had not yet been demolished, and damaged buildings that had not yet been fixed up. But they were working on it.
One thing that surprised me a bit was that the few residents I interacted with seemed to be unaffected by what had happened, they were acting just like people everywhere, getting on with their daily lives. I bought a jar of honey from a guy who told me he was 84, and he wryly remarked, “so, what do you think of WW III?”. We agreed that it would be nice if someone shot Putin in the head.
'People died in families.' Survivors from liberated Izium tell of devastating airstrike | CNN
Mykhailo Yatsentiuk left the basement to make tea for his granddaughter just as the bomb struck. When he came to his senses a half hour later the entire middle section of his apartment block had been destroyed; the basement where he had been sheltering with his family and neighbors was engulfed...
Mykhailo Yatsentiuk left the basement to make tea for his granddaughter just as the bomb struck. When he came to his senses a half hour later the entire middle section of his apartment block had been destroyed; the basement where he had been sheltering with his family and neighbors was engulfed in flames.
The Ukrainian government says 54 people died at the apartment complex on 2 Pershotravneva street in Izium, eastern Ukraine, on March 9, almost half of the building’s residents. Entire families were killed in the attack, including the Yatsentiuks, Kravchenkos and Stolpakovas.
Their fates remained largely unknown until a few weeks ago when Ukrainian forces pursuing a counter-offensive reclaimed Izium after six months of Russian occupation, revealing a mass burial site on the outskirts of the city.
Most of the residents of 2 Pershotravneva were buried there among more than 400 graves, few with identifying marks other than numbers daubed on rough wooden crosses.
After speaking to a survivor, ex-residents and family members, and reviewing photos and video taken in the aftermath of the attack and following the town’s liberation, CNN can now tell the story of what happened at 2 Pershotravneva on that day.....
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