Ten Thousan Marbles Thread watched More to ignore, Book 100....

Ten Thousan Marbles

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Ukraine update: As Putin weakens, so does the integrity of the Russian Federation

kos

Who knew? A “woke” army, one in which people understand the differences that make all of us unique, and build unit cohesion by respecting those differences, is a good thing. Over the weekend, three Muslim Russians opened fire at a mobilization site, killing at least 30 soldiers of Sen. Ted Cruz’s favorite anti-woke Russian army. They responded after being bullied about their religion.

The following is a translated interview of a Russian service member who witnessed the attack:

"It all started when some of our soldiers - a Dagestani, an Azerbaijani and an Adyghe - said that 'this is not our war' and tried to write a report saying that they did not want to serve anymore.

Lieutenant Colonel Andrei Lapin, when he learned this through the company commander, gathered everyone and started to say that "this is a holy war." Everything happened in the morning at the parade ground, where the formation takes place, the anthem is sung.

A conflict broke out, people started pushing each other, including a few from my company. The Tajiks told Lapin that a holy war meant [only] a war between Muslims and infidels.

Lapin said that "Allah must be a coward if he does not allow you to fight for the country to which you took an oath". I personally think that's what hurt the most, the phrase that "Allah is a coward".

The phrase shocked a lot of people - those who were standing there on the parade-ground. Because we also have Muslims among our officers, both Bashkirs and Tatars.

After the formation, the Russians and Muslims continued the conflict, after which everyone dispersed and, it seems, calmed down.

And an hour and a half later, around lunch time, they sent us all to the firing ranges, and three of the Tajiks, who were on contract service, brought their automatic rifles, they had live ammunition, and shot our commander, Lieutenant Colonel Lapin, he died on the spot.

And they started shooting indiscriminately. At the range there were both contract servicemen and mobilised. I saw only the dead, of whom there were 29 people. The 30th is Lieutenant Colonel Lapin.

This does not include two of the Tajiks; counting them too, there were 32 killed. I do not know exactly how many are wounded, some of them have already been taken by helicopter to Belgorod, and some of them are in Valuyki now with me.

This ethnic Russian soldier got off easy after threatening ethnic Kazakhs. Warning, guy gets pummeled in the video:



Ethnic, racial, and religious fissures are increasingly out in the open, as Russians in the hinterlands realize they are being sucked dry by the Moscow elites, doing most of the dying, and sacrificing most of their men. Many are doing the previously unimaginable and speaking out against the injustices. Here is the governor of the Islamic region of Dagestan:



We’ve already seen Russia’s neighbors more aggressively stand up to Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, telling him off to his face. Given the sorry state of Russia’s crumbling army, there is little reason to fear reprisal. No VDV airborne troops are landing in another foreign country anytime soon. The remnants of those units are currently stuck in Kherson, and there aren’t many guys left.

But that might not be Putin’s worst nightmare. Russia’s official name is the “Russian Federation,” and that conglomeration of regions presents massive potential for unrest

1123px-Russian_Regions-EN.svg.png

(A bigger version of the map can be found here.)

There are 83 federal subjects in the Russian Federation—oblasts, republics, okrugs, federal cities, and the “Jewish autonomous oblast” created by Stalin to entice Russian Jews to settle the empty region. (Only 0.2% of the oblast remains Jewish.)

Oblast are like provinces or American states, same as in Ukraine. Okrugs are similar, but populated by indigenous people. There are two federal cities—Moscow and St. Petersburg, because of course the elite will make sure to set themselves apart from everything around them.

And then there are the Republics—these are areas populated by non-ethnic Russians, with the supposed right to their own official language, constitution, and legislature. It is here that Russia’s control has depended on Rosgvardia thugs (Putin’s national guard) to maintain order and control. Those guys have been decimated in Ukraine.

I have only rudimentary knowledge of these regions and their individual allegiances (or lack thereof) to Moscow, but Dagestan is particularly restive right now, Chechnya has a proven history of rebellion, and we just saw Tajik Russians wipe out 30 mobilized ethnic Russians in that one attack (Muslim mobilized were warned ahead of time to steer clear of the kill zone).

The weaker Moscow becomes, the greater the chance that many of these “republics” and other regions demand greater autonomy or independence from Moscow, and there are plenty of regional powers who might happily support such activities, either out of regional power plays (Turkey, Iran, and China) or ethnic/religious allegiance (Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, and other Central Asia republics). Western powers might find it hard to steer clear, particularly given the presence of nuclear weapons in many of these regions. It could get ugly and bloody. Sometimes the only thing keeping internal conflict at bay is repression and autocracy, like we saw in Iraq and Libya.

A shattered Russian Federation is such a fearful scenario, it’s likely a factor in Western Europe’s repeated desire to offer Putin an “off-ramp.” The Putin we know might be far better than an ethno-religious conflict spanning the entire length of today’s Russia. Heck, if Russian scholar Kamil Galeev is right, a Federation breakup might not even need the ethnic or religious spark



HIs long-running thesis is simple: Moscow and St. Petersburg have sucked the rest of the country dry. We see it in the yachts and Italian villas, and the missing 1.5 million winter coats that were supposed to keep their own soldiers warm this winter. As such, even ethnically Russian regions have a valid grudge against a Russian ruling elite who have intentionally kept them economically destitute. There’s a reason Russian soldiers are carting off washing machines.

With the mobilized already dying just two weeks after getting drafted, Putin may face his own winter of discontent, as the historically passive Russian people finally reach their breaking point. And wouldn’t it be ironic if the man who invaded Ukraine out of fury at the dissolution of the Soviet Union, then created the conditions for the final collapse of the Russia state?

...........
We supposedly have the first video of the Russian side of a GMLRS strike.



I do wonder if they’re really using $100,000+ rockets against dirt trenches. These could be Soviet-era MLRS, as Ukraine has plenty. Also, what kind of dumbass would rather record the incoming rockets than duck?

..........
Can you imagine being Russian, seeing your army get mauled, and then thinking it has anything to do with American domestic politics?



Ukrainian advances are utterly irrelevant to people’s voting decisions November 8, but it’s a fascinating insight into the Russian mind—everything is a conspiracy involving nefarious American and NATO actors. God forbid they confront the truth, that they’re getting their asses handed to them by a Ukrainian nation they assumed inferior.

............
GreyZone is the Telegram channel run by Wagner mercenaries, one of those rumored to be under investigation by authorities in Moscow for sometimes spilling the truth. While other targeted Telegram channels have mostly fallen in line this past week, GreyZone appears less interested in doing so. In addition to casting shade against Russian proxies in Luhansk and Donetsk, they are now praising their Ukrainian opponents:


Wagner almost always fights alone, it’s more reliable. The situation near Bakhmut is stably difficult, the Ukrainian troops are putting up decent resistance and the legend of the fleeing Ukrainian is just a legend. Ukrainians are guys with the same steel balls as us … and that’s not bad. We Slavs should be proud of it.

Given that Wagner has been beating their head against Ukraine’s Bakhmut defenses for over two months now, it goes without saying that Ukrainian troops aren’t doing any fleeing.
.........
This is so painfully cringe:



HIMARS doesn’t stand a chance against their, uh, choreography.

Someone gave the video better music.
..........


........
If you’re wondering what’s happening down in Kherson, join the club. Strict operational silence has put a lid on any information.

.........
Ukraine isn’t waiting to rebuild.


 

Ten Thousan Marbles

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Feb 6, 2014
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A SU-34 has crashed into an appartment block

ca cokz

euroweeklynews.com/…

BREAKING NEWS: Russian SU-34 plane on a training mission crashes into apartment block​


en.wikipedia.org/...
The Sukhoi Su-34 (Russian: Сухой Су-34; NATO reporting name: Fullback)[6] is a Soviet-origin Russian twin-engine, twin-seat, all-weather supersonic medium-range fighter-bomber/strike aircraft.[7][8][9][10] It first flew in 1990, intended for the Soviet Air Forces, and it entered service in 2014 with the Russian Air Force.[11]

Based on the Sukhoi Su-27 Flanker air superiority fighter, the Su-34 has an armoured cockpit for side-by-side seating of its two-person crew.[12] The Su-34 is designed primarily for tactical deployment against ground and naval targets (tactical bombing/attack/interdiction roles, including against small and mobile targets) on solo and group missions in daytime and at night, under favourable and adverse weather conditions and in a hostile environment with counter-fire and electronic warfare (EW) counter-measures deployed, as well as for aerial reconnaissance.[7][13] The Su-34 is planned to eventually replace the Su-24 tactical strike fighter and the Tu-22M long-distance bomber.
[12]





Screenshot_20221017-142437.png
 

Ten Thousan Marbles

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Sedition Trial Day Nine: 'Sexts' were just one part of another tough day in court for Oath Keepers

Brandi Buchman

On Monday, jurors were offered a window—whether they wanted it or not— into a few intimate moments shared by Oath Keeper founder Stewart Rhodes and Kellye SoRelle, the extremist network’s onetime counsel now facing multiple charges, including obstruction.

Rhodes and SoRelle drove more than 1,000 miles together from Texas to Washington, D.C. ahead of Jan. 6 and in a series of messages entered into evidence Monday, once they landed at the Hilton Garden Inn in Vienna, Virginia, Rhodes had more on his mind than allegedly stopping Congress from certifying the results of the 2020 election by force.

“Speaking of ****ing… if you need some come on over,” Rhodes wrote to SoRelle on Jan. 3, 2021.

When SoRelle initially declined the offer, Rhodes told her he would drag her into his hotel room.

“That’s how I know you’re trouble. You’re too good at what you do,” she said. “Whole bad boy thing.”

She then confessed: “I am a damn moth to a [fire emoji]. I really am replaying my teenage years.”

The sexts were notable given simmering questions around the indicted duo and issues of attorney-client privilege, but the Justice Department showed jurors far more important information on Monday.

That information included yet more Oath Keeepers’ correspondence from the days just ahead of the Capitol assault. This time, the Justice Department presented an array of graphics and maps to show how members and leaders of the network plotted a steady course toward Washington, D.C. mostly by car.

Prosecutors were able to match the movements of Oath Keepers from points in Florida, Texas, North Carolina and Arizona with numerous chats and receipts for hotels and other purchases. Several of the text messages showed defendants coordinating rallying points. Many of those meet-ups were arranged before Oath Keepers ever got on the road.

Prosecutors say the members were headed to Arlington, Virginia before D.C. in order to set up their arsenal of weapons for the “quick reaction force.”

Rhodes and his co-defendants facing charges of seditious conspiracy including Jessica Watkins, Thomas Caldwell, Kelly Meggs and Kenneth Harrelson argue the “quick reaction force” or QRF, was not intended to launch any attack on the Capitol at all.

Instead, they claim it was formed in preparation for what they expected would be a violent outpouring of protests from leftists, “antifa” and supporters of the Black Lives Matter movement hellbent on attacking supporters of former President Donald Trump. The Oath Keepers in this trial group also contend that they were in D.C. to provide “PSDs” or “private security details” for the former president’s mucky-mucks.

QRFs for the Oath Keepers are “typical,” the defense argued during cross-examination of FBI Agent Sylvia Hilgeman. They are so typical and innocuous, defense attorney David Fischer argued, that Oath Keepers openly discussed the use of quick reaction forces” on the company website.

Fischer, who represents defendant Thomas Caldwell, pressed Hilgeman to say whether any of the texts discussing the QRF and its accompanying stockpile of guns, specifically mentioned going to the Capitol.

“I don’t recall any messages that the QRF was for anything for the Capitol,” Hilgeman said.

Fischer could barely contain his excitement. His voice went up slightly as he seized on the framing of Hilgeman’s language.

So, to her understanding, the purpose of the QRF was not to attack the Capitol? he asked.

Hilgeman said no.

Her understanding of the quick reaction force was that it meant to support those trying to stop Joe Biden from becoming the nation’s next president.

“The quick reaction force was meant to occupy D.C.” Hilgeman said.

“You are aware that the QRF didn’t have any long range missiles with them?” Fischer said.

“I’m not aware if they did,” Hilgeman testified.

The remark by Fischer was meant to suggest that the distance between the hotel in Arlington and the Capitol was simply too great—and too plagued by traffic—for Oath Keepers to form any kind of alleged attack or play a support role to those already on the ground.

But Hilgeman reminded him—and the jury—that defendant Caldwell and others also considered launching a boat from the hotel in Virginia to make the trek into Washington with weapons if called upon.

Prosecutors allege Caldwell left his home in rural Virginia long before Jan. 6 to conduct what he called a “prestrike recce” or reconnaissance mission of Washington, in a text. And it was traffic concerns, as well as street closures, that allegedly weighed heavily on his mind and prompted the idea of securing a boat. Last week, jurors saw numerous messages sent by Caldwell as he sought out a boat.

In yet more messages that could be the defendant’s downfall, jurors saw communications featuring Rhodes and Meggs as well as Don Siekerman—an operations leader for the Oath Keepers that has not been charged. The trio discussed plans to provide security details to various Trump allies for Jan. 6.

Those figures included former Trump White House national security adviser Michael Flynn; ‘Stop the Steal’ founder Ali Alexander; GOP fink Roger Stone, and Alex Jones, the rightwing bombast recently ordered by a judge to fork over nearly $1 billion to compensate families he tormented with conspiracy theory about the 2012 Sandy Hook massacre for years.

The last time the Oath Keepers worked for Jones, one message said, it was a “great feather in our cap.”

Another “VIP” in the mix for a possible security detail was die-hard Trump supporter Bianca Gracia, founder of Latinos for Trump.

Rhodes also mentioned how the group teamed up with the far right paramilitary group known as the First Amendment Prateorian, or 1AP, for their “last event.”

It was not immediately clear what event Rhodes was referring to in that message.

One point the defendants do wish to make clear to jurors involves that massive weapons stash.

The guns purchased by Rhodes and guns at the QRF, the defense is keen to reiterate, were purchased legally.

This was a key point ahead of trial for Oath Keeper attorneys who did not want to confuse the jury about the existing charges. None are charged with illegally possessing weapons.

For over an hour on Monday, prosecutors showed clips of closed circuit security footage obtained from the hotel in northern Virginia where the QRF was stationed. On the feed, members of the Oath Keepers are shown hauling dolly carts with oversized, dark colored bins, one after another, into the hotel on Jan 5. At times, Oath Keepers carried items by hand, using a sheet to obscure whatever they held.

Often, the obscuration wasn’t very good.

The shape of what appeared to be a rifle was just visible underneath fabric in hotel footage of Paul Stamey, a North Carolina-based Oath Keeper.

Stamey is uncharged but prosecutors cite him often as they unravel the alleged conspiracy.

Agent Hilgeman estimated she has probably spent 80 hours reviewing the footage. On Monday, she identified several Oath Keepers in the video, including some who have yet to go to trial like Edward Vallejo. Jurors watched as Vallejo got a running start in the hotel lobby in order to push a luggage cart overloaded with bins allegedly containing the QRF’s weapons, ammunition and other gear.

Receipts and Oath Keeper bank statements displayed too showed Rhodes spending thousands of dollars between Jan. 1 to Jan. 5 on weapons, sights, scopes, including some for night vision, ammunition, triggers and more. All were purchased on the drive up toward D.C.

In a clip from the podcast Declare Your Independence with Ernest Hancock played in court Monday, Vallejo and Todd Kandaris, another Oath Keeper, are heard discussing the “do or die” moment and telling Hancock how they had just arrived in town.

Kandaris told Hancock there were people in Washington to support Trump’s claims over the “stolen” election.

Kandaris said “the only and obvious next step is to into armed conflict.”

“But we’re very much hoping that doesn’t happen,” he added.

But then, Vallejo piped up a moment later and told Hancock:” We're going to be told, the American people are going to be told that we have liberty and justice for all or they're gonna be told **** you, OK. And if they're told **** you, that's going to be the declaration of guerilla war."

"I'm just praying Trump has his head on ****ing straight and he knows what he's doing. He's got the machinations behind him, he's got all the proof in the world and he's going bring the ****ing hammer down,” Vallejo said.

When the podcast host opined that talk of rectifying Trump’s “stolen” election was often bluster and that it was always someone else’s problem to fix, Vallejo sounded cocksure.


“Well, that’s fine… because I’m the mother****er that’s gonna fix it for them,” he said.
 
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Ten Thousan Marbles

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Feb 6, 2014
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What is it about Republicans that makes them want to vote for whining, pouting children?

Hunter

As Republicans fervently continue their efforts to turn Arizona into the Worst State—a challenge to be sure, but one they seem up to—the party's latest walking humiliation continues her own lurches toward the state's governor's office. Republican gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake, a Big Lie-supporting conspiracist who has based her entire campaign around calling other people's campaigns crooked, was yet again asked by the Important National News Media whether she intends to accept the results of her own election if she loses to Democratic candidate Katie Hobbs.

Once again, the answer is no. No, Lake can't conceive of such a thing. Accepting election losses is not something hoax-promoting fascists do, and Donald Trump has given Republicanism the green light it long needed to abandon policy, procedure, and long tradition of the peaceful transfer of power to turn the lying-about-everything-part into election strategy, governing strategy, pandemic strategy, and got-caught-with-national-security-documents-stuffed-in-your-sock-drawer defense strategy.


Arizona Republicanism's candidate for governor sees only two possible outcomes. Either she wins the election and graciously accepts the election's legitimacy, or mmmbufafloplmff:



It's almost impressive how the most powerful country on the planet has decided that the best people to run things are the delusional children among us. Yes, this former Fox anchor who spends her time in the land of gin and pixies will no doubt do masterfully if put in charge of an entire American state. A third of the 2023 state budget will go toward putting underpants on every cactus in Phoenix, at the rate things are going.

The "real issue" is that "the people don't trust our elections," insisted hoax-promoting liar Kari Lake. It is fairer to say that the people who listen to Kari Lake's spittle-flecked election conspiracies don't trust elections; the rest of us here on Planet Reality haven't seen a damn thing to suggest anything the Republican Party hoax drivers have claimed is true in any respect.

We've got a two-party system, after all. There are the Americans who will follow any petty crook who shouts a conspiracy theory that might justify a full and total crackdown on whatever set of Americans they happen to most not like, and then there's everyone else. Unfortunately, the first group is both louder and completely lacking any sense of shame; Kari Lake cannot be embarrassed into oblivion. By anything, apparently.

The Republican Party's candidates have, by and large, settled on Trump's attempted seditious conspiracy as a core element of their own campaigns. You can count on any Republican candidate who aligns with Trump to assert that elections are legitimate if they win and "rigged" if they lose; during primary season, that led to elections in which multiple Republican candidates insisted that other Republican candidates were in on the conspiracy to "rig" elections. The current crop of candidates consists of dozens of toddlers propped up as supposed statesmen.

For example, football person Herschel Walker, a man who's lied so often about so many things in his campaign that even his own child has given up on him, a man who teeters on the line between delusion and reality with such gusto that it's not clear he even understands what job he's running for. He's currently locked in a public dispute as to whether an honorary police badge confers legitimate policing powers, which is—again—the sort of argument you would have with a small child. Or, apparently, a Republican senatorial candidate.

Lake is one of those. You're never quite sure whether she is still aware she's lying or, like a child with an imaginary friend, has chosen to live in a reality other than our own. What's not clear is why The Entire Damn Republican Party of the United States and Its Voters believe "definitely lying, possibly delusional" is the basis on which an entire new movement should be constructed.

Do these people live this way, in their own lives? When the electric bill comes, do they phone up their utility company to insist that the meter was rigged? Rigged, I tells you!?

When they eat at a restaurant, do Republican voters say, with ketchup on their lips and a dirty plate in front of them, that their food never came, and so, therefore, they do not have to pay?

Is it only elections that Kari Lake supporters have
doubts about, or does it extend more broadly? Are red lights a conspiracy against them? The hours of operation at the local supermarket—are those really the hours, or is the company letting Democratic shoppers shop secretly when nobody is looking? The high school football injury that sometimes still makes it hurt to walk up the stairs—did it really happen, or is that just what Bill Gates and the vaccine companies want me to believe?

Are these people gullible only situationally, when convenient, or are they gullible as a core principle? Is it because they saw the loud orange man on television a decade back, and they were just so damn impressed with that imaginary lifestyle that they decided
that, and no other television show, was the one America should be based on?

Does that mean that the America ten years from now will be based on Game of Thrones?
 

Ten Thousan Marbles

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Feb 6, 2014
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Trump charged Secret Service 'exorbitant rates' at his properties, says House Oversight Committee

Walter Einenkel

Congress has gotten its hands on a “fraction” of the expenses accrued by the U.S. taxpayer during Trump’s administration, reports the Washington Post. On Monday, the House Oversight Committee released a report on this fraction of expenses. “In 40 cases the Trump Organization billed the Secret Service far higher amounts than the approved government rate—in one case charging agents $1,185 a night to stay at the Trump International Hotel in D.C.” This small sliver of the actual receipts from Trump properties shows that American taxpayers got gouged had to spend at least $1.4 million to protect the Trumps on their property.

Trump’s tenure in office came with open lying about expenditures and monies made by the Trump Organization without offering up, or even pretending to offer up, evidence supporting how much money they were raking in at Trump properties as a direct result of Trump’s presidency. The new details on how the American taxpayer was gouged by the Trump administration do not include any receipts from Mar-a-Lago or the other Trump resorts where the Donald spent no less than a third of his presidency playing golf and hanging out at his properties—swarmed by Secret Service personnel.

Democratic Rep. Carolyn B. Maloney of New York wrote, “The exorbitant rates charged to the Secret Service and agents’ frequent stays at Trump-owned properties raise significant concerns about the former President’s self-dealing and may have resulted in a taxpayer-funded windfall for former President Trump’s struggling businesses.” Rep. Maloney also said that the committee has been trying unsuccessfully to get an accounting of expenditures by the American taxpayer at Trump properties for the last two years.

You might remember how Trump’s son, Eric, lied to the world by saying that not only were the Secret Service staying for below market rates, they would sometimes only be charged something “like $50.” Previous reporting by watchdog groups like Citizens for Ethics has shown that Eric Trump was lying, and the House Oversight Committee’s work just makes it that much more federally official.

As CNN reports, according to the Trump National Guild Club’s General Services Administration’s website, the “per diem rate was $242 in March 2017 in Washington, DC.” That was the same time the Trump Organization was charging a nightly rate of $1,160 to Secret Service agents that were at a golf club
protecting Eric, who was promoting a golf tournament there. I guess Eric forgot to finish his sentence: “like $50 plus $50, plus $50, plus $50, plus $50, plus $50, plus $50, plus $50, plus $50, plus $50...”
 

Ten Thousan Marbles

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Trump Attacks GOP Senate Candidate in Colorado for Not Sufficiently Sucking Up to Dear Leader

News Corpse

If anyone still isn't convinced that the MAGA movement led by Donald Trump is a cult, Trump himself has just provided more proof of the theological underpinnings of his pseudo-church. He continues to demonstrate that fealty to the MAGA messiah is more important than any political goal that conventional political parties pursue.

Commenting on his floundering social media scam, Truth Social, Trump lashed out at the Republican candidate for U.S. in Colorado, Joe O'Dea. With the upcoming midterm elections running extremely close, and control of Congress at stake, most campaign strategists would seek to improve their odds of winning every race. But for Trump that is not as important as securing unflinching support and adoration for himself. He wrote that...

"There’s this RINO character in the Great State of Colorado, Joe O’Dea, that is running against the incumbent Democrat for the United States Senate, who is having a good old time saying that he wants to 'distance' himself from President Trump, and other slightly nasty things. He should look at the Economy, Inflation, Energy Independence, defeating ISIS, the Strongest EVER Border, Great Trade Deals, & much more, before he speaks. MAGA doesn’t Vote for stupid people with big mouths. Good luck Joe!"

Notice that Trump regards "distancing" from him as "nasty." And his definition of RINO is, as usual, anyone who doesn't bow down low enough to satisfy Dear Leader. O'Dea's offence was to state that he didn't want to see Trump run again in 2024. And that was all that Trump needed to hear to scuttle his campaign and, potentially, lose the opportunity to win a Republican majority in the Senate.

Trump is too egomaniacal to grasp the nuances of politics. So he demands unfaltering loyalty above all else. Even when that would damage a candidate's prospects in a state that leans toward Democrats. The Democratic incumbent, Michael Bennett, currently has an eight point lead in the polls. For contrast, President Biden is smart enough to know that he should only campaign on behalf of Democrats in states where his help would be beneficial and welcome.

How Trump thinks it would be helpful to insult the Republican candidate is a mystery. Other than to simply recognize that Trump himself is too stupid to understand how the game is played. He says that
"MAGA doesn’t Vote for stupid people with big mouths." But if that were true than they surely wouldn't vote for Trump or any of the mini-Trump's he's endorsed.

Democrats, on the other hand, will appreciate Trump bashing his own party's candidate, which should give a boost to Sen. Bennett, and to the Democrats' chances of retaining a majority in the Senate. In fact, much of Trump's asinine behavior is measurably more beneficial to Democrats than it is to Republicans. And he will surely expect us to thank him for it later.