ADVERTISEMENT

Why "Social Media" is great....

What’s the board thinking here in terms of probability of gold?
RBY .35, Micic .35, Fix .25, DeSanto .05? DeSanto would need to have RBY and Micic knocked off in the semi to hit his 5%. He seems more likely to beat Fix than the other two.
What this likely does is drive DeSanto into the 4-5 seed with a very tough quarters match against Rivera or maybe Micic.

It also increases the likelihood of Fix getting the 1 seed, purely on regular season strength of schedule. OKST has yet to release their schedule, but their typical schedule would pit Fix against DeSanto plus some guys at the next level down (say Schmitt + Phillippi or Paetzell). He should be undefeated at nationals.

Meanwhile B10 will be a war of attrition. RBY will face Micic, Rivera, and 2x DeSanto -- just in the duals -- and then two of them again at B10s. If RBY comes thru that undefeated, he's the 1 seed at nationals. And he could -- but there's some real risk of dropping one, that much more risk than Fix faces.
 
What this likely does is drive DeSanto into the 4-5 seed with a very tough quarters match against Rivera or maybe Micic.

It also increases the likelihood of Fix getting the 1 seed, purely on regular season strength of schedule. OKST has yet to release their schedule, but their typical schedule would pit Fix against DeSanto plus some guys at the next level down (say Schmitt + Phillippi or Paetzell). He should be undefeated at nationals.

Meanwhile B10 will be a war of attrition. RBY will face Micic, Rivera, and 2x DeSanto -- just in the duals -- and then two of them again at B10s. If RBY comes thru that undefeated, he's the 1 seed at nationals. And he could -- but there's some real risk of dropping one, that much more risk than Fix faces.
Pretty sure Rivera is staying at 141
 
What this likely does is drive DeSanto into the 4-5 seed with a very tough quarters match against Rivera or maybe Micic.

It also increases the likelihood of Fix getting the 1 seed, purely on regular season strength of schedule. OKST has yet to release their schedule, but their typical schedule would pit Fix against DeSanto plus some guys at the next level down (say Schmitt + Phillippi or Paetzell). He should be undefeated at nationals.

Meanwhile B10 will be a war of attrition. RBY will face Micic, Rivera, and 2x DeSanto -- just in the duals -- and then two of them again at B10s. If RBY comes thru that undefeated, he's the 1 seed at nationals. And he could -- but there's some real risk of dropping one, that much more risk than Fix faces.
I forgot SeaBass was heading back down. I knew I forgot a factor, but couldn’t place it
 
What’s the board thinking here in terms of probability of gold?
RBY .35, Micic .35, Fix .25, DeSanto .05? DeSanto would need to have RBY and Micic knocked off in the semi to hit his 5%. He seems more likely to beat Fix than the other two.
RBY .50
Fix.40
Micic .10
Desanto. 0.0
 
RBY .50
Fix.40
Micic .10
Desanto. 0.0

f0Sf4Mf.gif
 
He’s either going to be very undersized for 65kg or very, very heavy for 133/61kg unless he goes on a brutal diet for a long, long time.
 
He’s either going to be very undersized for 65kg or very, very heavy for 133/61kg unless he goes on a brutal diet for a long, long time.

I was incorrect. He's going 61 for Worlds. Still hasn't decided on 33 or 41. Their best lineup is definitely him at 133 and Alvarez 141
 
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT