In everything one has to play the odds. A "title run?" Why would a reasonable person care about dreamland? Why would Beau think his team had a serious chance, i.e., enough to give up on his own personal opportunities?
Maybe if he was at OSU, Oregon, or Georgia one could see it, but Penn State has shown nothing to suggest it is going to make a "run." It is likely to lose in the semi-finals.
We are all hoping for a change, but at this point it is what it is .... hope. You don't do that with a major life decision. It would be like borrowing half a million for a basket weaving degree and then expecting to pay off your loan with earnings.
Beau is being smart. He may regret the decision, but the odds of that are at this time rather low.