Big 10 Seed Projections - Version 3

[regularfan]

Not sure if people enjoy these or not. I get likes but no comments. Feel free to tell me to stop if this is just a waste of a thread. Love to hear feedback (especially if somebody knows I am ranking the wrong guy).

125
1 Sebastian Rivera Northwestern
2 Spencer Lee Iowa
3 Rayvon Foley Michigan State
4 Sean Russell Minnesota
5 Connor Brown Wisconsin +1
6 Travis Piotrowski Illinois +1
7 Drew Mattin Michigan -2
8 Zeke Moisey Nebraska
9 Devin Schroder Purdue
10 Devin Schnupp Penn State
11 Liam Cronin Indiana
12 Malik Heinselman Ohio State
13 Brandon Cray Maryland
14 Shane Metzler Rutgers

133
1 Steven Micic Michigan
2 Luke Pletcher Ohio State
3 Austin DeSanto Iowa
4 Nick Suriano Rutgers
5 Ethan Lizak Minnesota
6 Ben Thornton Purdue
7 Roman Bravo-Young Penn State
8 Dylan Duncan Illinois
9 Garrett Pepple Indiana
10 Colin Valdiviez Northwestern
11 Jens Lantz Wisconsin +2
12 Jevon Parrish Nebraska
13 Anthony Tutolo Michigan State -2
14 Orion Anderson Maryland

141
1 Joey McKenna Ohio State
2 Mike Carr Illinois
3 Tristan Moran Wisconsin +1
4 Nick Lee Penn State +1
5 Mitch McKee Minnesota +1
6 Kanen Storr Michigan -3
7 Max Murin Iowa
8 Chad Red Nebraska
9 Nate Limmex Purdue
10 Kyle Luigs Indiana +1
11 Alec McKenna Northwestern -1
12 Michael Doetsch Maryland
13 Austin Eicher Michigan State
14 Peter Lipari Rutgers

149
1 Anthony Ashnault Rutgers
2 Micah Jordan Ohio State
3 Patrick Lugo Iowa
4 Thomas Thorn Minnesota
5 Cole Martin Wisconsin
6 Malik Amine Michigan
7 Brady Berge Penn State
8 Fernie Silva Indiana
9 Alfred Bannister Maryland
10 Shane Oyster Northwestern
11 Parker Filius Purdue
12 Jordan Shearer Nebraska
13 Christan Kanzler Illinois
14 Jaden Enriquez Michigan State

157
1 Jason Nolf Penn State
2 Alec Pantaleo Michigan
3 Tyler Berger Nebraska
4 Ryan Deakin Northwestern
5 Kaleb Young Iowa +1
6 Steve Bleise Minnesota +2
7 Ke-Shawn Hayes Ohio State
8 Eric Barone Illinois -3
9 Jake Danishek Indiana +1
10 Griffin Parriott Purdue +1
11 John Van Brill Rutgers -2
12 Jacob Tucker Michigan State
13 Adam Whitesell Maryland +1
14 Zander Wick (hurt?) Wisconsin -1

165
1 Vincenzo Joseph Penn State
2 Alex Marinelli Iowa
3 Evan Wick Wisconsin
4 Isaiah White Nebraska
5 Logan Massa Michigan
6 Bryce Martin Indiana
7 Carlson Brolsma Minnesota +1
8 Joey Gunther Illinois +1
9 Te-Shaun Campbell Ohio State New entry (-2 for OSU) - just not enough matches to be accurate
10 Stephen Glasgow Rutgers +1
11 Tyler Morland Northwestern +1
12 Philip Spadafora Maryland -2
13 Cole Wysocki Purdue +1
14 Logan Ritchie Michigan State -1

174
1 Mark Hall Penn State
2 Myles Amine Michigan
3 Ryan Christiansen (Inj.?) Wisconsin
4 Michael Labriola Nebraska
5 Dylan Lydy Purdue
6 Devin Skatzka Minnesota
7 Ethan Smith Ohio State
8 Jacob Covaciu Indiana
9 Drew Hughes Michigan State
10 Joseph Grello Rutgers
11 Keegan Shaw Iowa New entry (+2 for Iowa)
12 Josh Ugalde Maryland -1
13 Johnny Sebastian Northwestern -1
14 Carver James Illinois

184
1 Myles Martin Ohio State
2 Shakur Rasheed Penn State
3 Taylor Venz Nebraska Venz, Parker, Wilke all 1-1 vs. each other
4 Emery Parker Illinois
5 Cash Wilke Iowa
6 Cameron Caffey Michigan State
7 Max Lyon Purdue +1
8 Jelani Embree Michigan New entry (+5 Michigan)
9 Norman Conley Indiana +2
10 Kyle Jasenski Maryland +2
11 Mason Reinheardt Wisconsin -4
12 Nick Gravina (hurt?) Rutgers -3
13 Brandon Krone Minnesota -3
14 Brendan Devine Northwestern

197
1 Bo Nickal Penn State
2 Kollin Moore Ohio State
3 Jacob Warner Iowa
4 Christian Brunner Purdue +1
5 Eric Schultz Nebraska -1
6 Jackson Striggow Michigan
7 Dylan Anderson Minnesota
8 Brad Wilton Michigan State
9 Michael Correnti Rutgers
10 Zack Chakonis Northwestern
11 Beau Breske Wisconsin
12 Andre Lee Illinois
13 Jake Kleimola Indiana
14 Niko Cappello Maryland

285
1 Gable Steveson Minnesota
2 Anthony Cassar Penn State
3 Mason Parris Michigan +3 (3rd-9th is just a log jam with all kinds of splits, you can argue almost anybody for any one of those spots.)
4 Trent Hillger Wisconsin +3
5 Youssif Hermida Maryland -2
6 David Jensen Nebraska -1
7 Chase Singletary Ohio State +1
8 Sam Stoll Iowa -4
9 Conan Jennings Northwestern
10 Fletcher Miller Indiana +1
11 Jacob Aven Purdue +2
12 Christian Colucci Rutgers
13 Chase Beard Michigan State -3
14 Deuce Rachal Illinois

 

[dbldoofus]

I like these. No comment.

 

[regularfan]

Based off of those seeds, here would be the team scores based solely on advancing and placement +/- indicates team points gained or lost based off of new results coming in based off of how I am viewing it. Same thing for individual rankings.

1. Penn State 129 2. +5
2. Michigan (+1) 104.5 +1
3. Ohio State (-1) 100.5 -4
4. Iowa 96 -5.5
5. Minnesota 87 +5
6. Nebraska 75 -3.5
7. Wisconsin 68.5 +3.5
8. Illinois 48.5 +2
9. Purdue (+2) 36.5 +4
t-10. Northwestern (-1.5) 33.5 -0.5
t-10. Rutgers (-0.5) 33.5 0
12. Michigan State 26 -1
13. Indiana 20 0
14. Maryland 11.5 -3.5

 

[regularfan]

Here are the remaining duals to be wrestled in the Big 10.

Friday, Feb. 8
Northwestern Michigan State
Rutgers Indiana
Maryland Iowa
Minnesota Nebraska
Penn State Ohio State

Sunday, Feb. 10
Northwestern Michigan
Rutgers Purdue
Maryland Minnesota
Illinois Wisconsin

Friday, Feb. 15
Ohio State Purdue
Michigan State Penn State
Michigan Maryland
Ilinois Northwestern
Indiana Iowa

Sunday, Feb. 17
Michigan Rutgers
Indiana Minnesota
Nebraska Ohio State
Penn State Illinois
Iowa Wisconsin
Purdue Michigan State

Friday, Feb. 22
Rutgers Maryland

 

[Ian]

Good stuff regfan! Appreciate the work on this. A lot of wrestling left but seems pretty spot on. Interesting note is the B1G at Nationals as the conference has a chance to have 10 top seeds and win each weight. Has that ever been done before?Puts enormous pressure and higher importance on B1G’s.

 

[diggerpup]

These threads are very helpful - keep providing these if you enjoy doing so.

 

[El-Jefe]

I love these!

One question though -- why Pletcher above DeSanto? Pletcher lost to Micic, convincingly. DeSanto is undefeated in conference with better wins (both beat Lizak, DeSanto beat Suriano), and is practically assured to be with his remaining schedule.

 

[drock1971]

Great work
Love it
Thank you for your hard work

 

[regularfan]

I love these!

One question though -- why Pletcher above DeSanto? Pletcher lost to Micic, convincingly. DeSanto is undefeated in conference with better wins (both beat Lizak, DeSanto beat Suriano), and is practically assured to be with his remaining schedule.

Thanks for all the feedback. Glad to know people enjoy them. My method has kind of been to compare everbody's record against the Big 10 starters and then take out the wrestlers when I end up giving them a seed starting at the top. For example:
Micic is 5-0 against 133 starters
DeSanto is 5-0 against 133 starters
Pletcher is 6-1 against Big 10 starters.

So, after I seeded Micic 1 based off of the consensus #1 ranking in coaches poll, that leaves DeSanto 5-0 vs. rest and Pletcher 6-0 vs. the rest. (even in my mind since they are both undefeated against the rest of the field)

Basically, my theory is a loss to #1 shouldn't hurt your case for the #2 seed. That being said, they are close (evident by DeSanto being #4 in coaches poll and Pletcher being #5). In this particular case, not sure it plays a role but since they don't face each other I deferred to Pletcher being a returning Big 10 finalist and All-American and DeSanto being R12 last year.

Anyways, that is just my logic. I could very well be proven wrong when the brackets are released. DeSanto does have larger Margin of victory in common big 10 opponents for what it is worth. Also, these aren't predictions. Just how I think the seeds will come out.

 

[pish69]

Not sure if people enjoy these or not. I get likes but no comments. Feel free to tell me to stop if this is just a waste of a thread. Love to hear feedback (especially if somebody knows I am ranking the wrong guy).

125
1 Sebastian Rivera Northwestern
2 Spencer Lee Iowa
3 Rayvon Foley Michigan State
4 Sean Russell Minnesota
5 Connor Brown Wisconsin +1
6 Travis Piotrowski Illinois +1
7 Drew Mattin Michigan -2
8 Zeke Moisey Nebraska
9 Devin Schroder Purdue
10 Devin Schnupp Penn State
11 Liam Cronin Indiana
12 Malik Heinselman Ohio State
13 Brandon Cray Maryland
14 Shane Metzler Rutgers

133
1 Steven Micic Michigan
2 Luke Pletcher Ohio State
3 Austin DeSanto Iowa
4 Nick Suriano Rutgers
5 Ethan Lizak Minnesota
6 Ben Thornton Purdue
7 Roman Bravo-Young Penn State
8 Dylan Duncan Illinois
9 Garrett Pepple Indiana
10 Colin Valdiviez Northwestern
11 Jens Lantz Wisconsin +2
12 Jevon Parrish Nebraska
13 Anthony Tutolo Michigan State -2
14 Orion Anderson Maryland

141
1 Joey McKenna Ohio State
2 Mike Carr Illinois
3 Tristan Moran Wisconsin +1
4 Nick Lee Penn State +1
5 Mitch McKee Minnesota +1
6 Kanen Storr Michigan -3
7 Max Murin Iowa
8 Chad Red Nebraska
9 Nate Limmex Purdue
10 Kyle Luigs Indiana +1
11 Alec McKenna Northwestern -1
12 Michael Doetsch Maryland
13 Austin Eicher Michigan State
14 Peter Lipari Rutgers

149
1 Anthony Ashnault Rutgers
2 Micah Jordan Ohio State
3 Patrick Lugo Iowa
4 Thomas Thorn Minnesota
5 Cole Martin Wisconsin
6 Malik Amine Michigan
7 Brady Berge Penn State
8 Fernie Silva Indiana
9 Alfred Bannister Maryland
10 Shane Oyster Northwestern
11 Parker Filius Purdue
12 Jordan Shearer Nebraska
13 Christan Kanzler Illinois
14 Jaden Enriquez Michigan State

157
1 Jason Nolf Penn State
2 Alec Pantaleo Michigan
3 Tyler Berger Nebraska
4 Ryan Deakin Northwestern
5 Kaleb Young Iowa +1
6 Steve Bleise Minnesota +2
7 Ke-Shawn Hayes Ohio State
8 Eric Barone Illinois -3
9 Jake Danishek Indiana +1
10 Griffin Parriott Purdue +1
11 John Van Brill Rutgers -2
12 Jacob Tucker Michigan State
13 Adam Whitesell Maryland +1
14 Zander Wick (hurt?) Wisconsin -1

165
1 Vincenzo Joseph Penn State
2 Alex Marinelli Iowa
3 Evan Wick Wisconsin
4 Isaiah White Nebraska
5 Logan Massa Michigan
6 Bryce Martin Indiana
7 Carlson Brolsma Minnesota +1
8 Joey Gunther Illinois +1
9 Te-Shaun Campbell Ohio State New entry (-2 for OSU) - just not enough matches to be accurate
10 Stephen Glasgow Rutgers +1
11 Tyler Morland Northwestern +1
12 Philip Spadafora Maryland -2
13 Cole Wysocki Purdue +1
14 Logan Ritchie Michigan State -1

174
1 Mark Hall Penn State
2 Myles Amine Michigan
3 Ryan Christiansen (Inj.?) Wisconsin
4 Michael Labriola Nebraska
5 Dylan Lydy Purdue
6 Devin Skatzka Minnesota
7 Ethan Smith Ohio State
8 Jacob Covaciu Indiana
9 Drew Hughes Michigan State
10 Joseph Grello Rutgers
11 Keegan Shaw Iowa New entry (+2 for Iowa)
12 Josh Ugalde Maryland -1
13 Johnny Sebastian Northwestern -1
14 Carver James Illinois

184
1 Myles Martin Ohio State
2 Shakur Rasheed Penn State
3 Taylor Venz Nebraska Venz, Parker, Wilke all 1-1 vs. each other
4 Emery Parker Illinois
5 Cash Wilke Iowa
6 Cameron Caffey Michigan State
7 Max Lyon Purdue +1
8 Jelani Embree Michigan New entry (+5 Michigan)
9 Norman Conley Indiana +2
10 Kyle Jasenski Maryland +2
11 Mason Reinheardt Wisconsin -4
12 Nick Gravina (hurt?) Rutgers -3
13 Brandon Krone Minnesota -3
14 Brendan Devine Northwestern

197
1 Bo Nickal Penn State
2 Kollin Moore Ohio State
3 Jacob Warner Iowa
4 Christian Brunner Purdue +1
5 Eric Schultz Nebraska -1
6 Jackson Striggow Michigan
7 Dylan Anderson Minnesota
8 Brad Wilton Michigan State
9 Michael Correnti Rutgers
10 Zack Chakonis Northwestern
11 Beau Breske Wisconsin
12 Andre Lee Illinois
13 Jake Kleimola Indiana
14 Niko Cappello Maryland

285
1 Gable Steveson Minnesota
2 Anthony Cassar Penn State
3 Mason Parris Michigan +3 (3rd-9th is just a log jam with all kinds of splits, you can argue almost anybody for any one of those spots.)
4 Trent Hillger Wisconsin +3
5 Youssif Hermida Maryland -2
6 David Jensen Nebraska -1
7 Chase Singletary Ohio State +1
8 Sam Stoll Iowa -4
9 Conan Jennings Northwestern
10 Fletcher Miller Indiana +1
11 Jacob Aven Purdue +2
12 Christian Colucci Rutgers
13 Chase Beard Michigan State -3
14 Deuce Rachal Illinois

Appreciate you putting this out. What does the +/- mean next to some of the names?

 

[86PSUPaul]

I believe the +1 is movement since the last time he did them, but I should just shut up and let him answer.... lol

 

[regularfan]

Appreciate you putting this out. What does the +/- mean next to some of the names?

I have been trying to update these after every weekend of Big 10 duals. The +/- is where I have them compared to the previous week.

 

[pish69]

I have been trying to update these after every weekend of Big 10 duals. The +/- is where I have them compared to the previous week.

Thanks. Must have missed the previous ones

 

[Str8DBLz]

Stoll shot his chance at a 2 seed in the knee