A&M still has to play Texas and SC tonight
ND could lose to USC
Indiana will probably lose to OSU. Could they also lose to Michigan?
But who knows. I agree with your point that 10-2 isn't guaranteed.
Thats why I said baring upsets. If A&M wins the games they're supposed to and loses to Texas they'll be 10-2 with a better resume than ours. The LSU win is be better than any of ours (i know usc beat lsu). The Texas loss would comparable to the OSU loss, and the ND loss is better than any potential second loss on our schedule. Texas actually has the weakest hypothetical 10-2 record if they drop the game vs a&m.