First off I absolutely love the confidence everyone is showing. I will always give credit where credit is due, Iowa is tough up and down the lineup. Going into Carver is no joke. Its a tough atmosphere to wrestle in the first time, and every time afterwards. There is definitely something to the "Carver Magic." I've seen quite a number of top guys take losses there. To put it in perspective, I don't think Mark Hall ever won there.
125 - Ayala has looked tough. Just took a loss to Heinselman, but I think that was the first wrestler who has been in on his legs so often which obviously kept him from getting to his offense. He has a great slide by which Drew will have to be aware of. I don't like this matchup for Drew considering Ayala's high number of attacks. While I'm not saying Drew can't defend those attacks, the stall calls could become a factor on their feet. With that being said, this is where it gets interesting. I don't think Ayala has faced someone that's as good on top as Drew. So which one prevails, Drew's mat wrestling, or Ayala's attacks? Its hard to pick against experience. 3-0 PSU
133 - DeSanto comes off of his vacation looking calm, cool, and collected. RBY doesn't go today, but there is no way he misses this match unless he's injured, or not allowed to go. RBY seems to have figured out what nobody else has and that is how to defend DeSanto's dump. Iowa fans will be calling for stalling from the get go when RBY puts his arm behind his back, we all know its coming. From where I sit, if someone wants to wrestle with one arm behind their back, that's not stalling. I think it takes some guts to wrestle someone with one arm behind your back. RBY has had his number since he started doing that, and until DeSanto proves otherwise, I don't think he has figured out what to do when he can't get to that tie. I think it'll be close as usual, but RBY gets the win. 6-0 PSU
141 - Eierman has had some extremely close matches this year. He hasn't looked quite as good as he did last year. That doesn't mean he's still not a very good wrestler. His top game is one of the best in the business and it wouldn't surprise me one bit if Nick doesn't go under when its his choice. Another super close match that can go either way, but Nick defends his title. 9-0 PSU
149 - Murin is no doubt a grinder and wrestled Sasso tough. The key to victory here will be for BB to stop his shot and hit his counter like he did today. I know BB has wrestled all over the world in big matches. However, I'm not sure if he's experienced an atmosphere like this. Do I think he can beat Murin, yes. Do I think he will this time around, unfortunately not. Like I said, Murin is a tough wrestler, on his home mat, and that mat is in Carver. 9-3 PSU
157 - Young goes through spurts every year. He has matches where he looks good, and matches where he looks pretty rough. I think Negron gets the nod. Against someone who is streaky, we'll need someone who can score from their feet. Negron has been the only guy at this weight so far that has shown that. If Young has one of his bad matches, it could get interesting. However, Young has been around for a while and this will be the first time for our guy in Carver. Young hasn't put up a ton of points this year so I don't think we're in danger of giving up bonus here. 9-6 PSU
165 - I might be in the minority here, but I like the bull. He's a tough competitor and seems to be a stand up guy off the mat. His March woes are well documented, but his success outside of the tournament should be as well. I loved watching him and Joseph go at it since there always seemed to be a big exchange at some point in the match. His game plan is always the same, push his opponent all over the mat, and when he gets pressure back, post the arm and hit his shots. When he gets in, he usually finishes. Berge on the other hand has always been super hard to score on. Berge has done well with the ankle pics, but I think the bull is too strong for those. 9-9
174 - Before March, it would have been hard to pick CStar over Kem. I have seen Kem wrestle since his elementary days ( lets get this out of the way, yes that was a long time ago ). I've talked personally to Kem and he has always been super nice and humble. However, to beat a guy like CStar, you have to be 100%, and I'm not sure Kem's shoulder is there. Obviously it'll be a close match as Kem is still a top guy, but I think CStar has continued to improve. 12-9 PSU
184 - Assad has only wrestled 2 guys in the top ten this year and lost both. He wrestled Romero tough losing in SV, but Romero isn't Brooks. I would love to see Brooks push for a major, and he just might, but I'm not sure he gets it. I think it will be a comfortable win by 4-5. 15-9 PSU
197 - This will be Warner's first chance at a top ranked guy this year. I would like to say he looked less than impressive against Hoffman, but honestly that is just his style. He usually gets his takedown, then uses two thigh prys to ride and if his opponent gets to their feet, they're usually on the edge and out they go. Rinse and repeat. My problem here is Dean hasn't look quite right the last 3 matches. I think mat wrestling will decide this one and that plays right into where Dean wants to be. 18-9 PSU
285 - Cass hasn't quite looked as dominant this year as he did. He is still no doubt one of the best heavyweights in the nation. Kerk is coming off his best win against Parris, and looked in complete control the whole time. Is his game plan the same against Cass? Not sure. What I do know, is when these two met previously, Kerk had a hard time getting out from bottom. Kerk also wasn't healthy but that is no longer the case. I think he keeps his winning ways going. 21-9 PSU
This match is extremely hard to predict. There are about 100 different ways this thing could play out. I hope for everyone's sake, both teams are able to send out a full lineup. With full line ups, I feel it necessary to do this:
25 slight lean PSU
33 slight lean PSU
41 slight lean PSU
49 Iowa favorite
57 Iowa favorite
65 Iowa favorite
74 slight lean PSU
84 PSU favorite
97 slight lean PSU
285 slight lean PSU
If my predictions are correct, the team score will be no where near how close this match will actually be. I'm confident but also realize what Iowa can do.
We Are!