NCAA Brackets and discussion
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McNeil is tricky for sure but it might not matter. He could just lose in a big upset like lots of Iowa guys do at Nationals.
Rode him for 2 straight minutes and got two stall calls last time.
If Aaron gets on top he could turn him. He might not be having the best year but I don't think anybody at 133 wants to go underneath him.
A
And bet your ass that nobody will. All tournament. If Aaron can wrestle well enough in neutral, he can beat anyone.
That’s great but he was down 6-2 so it didn’t really work out for him.
Not disagreeing, but please don't use "has been ranked top 5 this year" as any kind of evidence.
Your left arm was probably ranked top 5 at some point this year at 125.
Crookham took bottom up 6-3 in the 3rd because it was an early season match. Aaron wasn't remotely close to turning him. Nor was he even remotely close to taking him down.
IIRC, Crookham scored 2 counter takedowns on Aaron and then chose bottom and gave up RT and a stall point so Aaron can ride him obviously. The path is there for Aaron, a tough one but it's not totally impossible.
Matthews has been better than you think. Two wins over Lachlan McNeil and 1 win over Ryan Jack. Has been much improved second semester. Beau should win a close one but I don’t think Matthews is a push over
Agreed, it kind of gives me Cenzo vs Isaiah White vibes. You will need tums but trust that Beau will be the one to get the needed TD.
Again, the match was in November. Name the last guy under Cael that wasn't better in March than November.
That's true although I would counter that Surtin has 3 losses - SV to Cooper Flynn, SV to Spratley and 6-5 to Volk with wins over Volk (SV), Provo MD, Ungar Fall, Tanner Jordan MD. That's a pretty friggin good resume this year. Poulin less so, but he still was the #4 seed last year I think.
Not seeing a lot of belief in Nagao. Disappointed actually in this. Personally I think he is twice the wrestler now than he was in November.
Gotta get by Bailey and then I'll say a punchers chance against Crookham.
Gotta get by Bailey and then I'll say a punchers chance against Crookham.
Pretty sure Crookham is better than he was in November as well. When I saw him at Journeyman in November, he was going OT with Carter Bailey, and his match with Vito was kinda fluky. The match in the EIWA finals wasn't. Nor have his other results been in the 2nd semester.
He's not beating him, but we probably should be concentrating on the R16 match anyway as that will be no picnic. The only saving grace in that one is that Bailey could give up a TD to Aaron and then Aaron will be in the match.
I don't see Cole taking Beau down. That's what he needs to do to win the match. With Beau all the matches will be close.
There are guys I could see taking Beau down. Mendez, Woods, Hardy, Lemley, Echemedia. Just not those ACC guys.
God help anyone wrestling C Star. No doubt in my mind, and this comes from watching him after his illness, he was absolutely possessed. Now? Good luck wrestling him, he'll break you. The morons in the seeding committee own this idiocy. #9, laugh my ass off.
Bailey tech’ed Evan Frost who was a Big 12 finalist. Only losses to Vito (4-0) and Serrano from Northern Colorado (5-3).
So has Nagao. Keep hating. Make sure you holler about takedowns down 18-6.
Drew Hildebrandt, but your point stands
Wrestling the beard would freak me out. Like Rip Van Winkle or some bearded leprechaun.
I hope you are back here admitting you’re wrong if he doesn’t AA. If that’s possible for you.
His own myriad of hand, knee, and shoulder injuries plus the Iowa 6th+ year senior magic.
Yeah, in 125 where there are at least 20 guys with a reasonable chance to win, there is no good draw. The free for all is going to start from round 1. At least as the top seed, he’ll get a relatively easy first round. Look at some of the others: Poulin vs Surtain, Smith vs DeAug, etc.
Trying to be practical here and knowing anything can happen. The % are based on making it to the finals.
Davis - maybe less than a 50% chance to reach the finals. Few landmines, and 125
Aaron - 3 major landmines to the finals... 30%
Beau - 70% chance of making finals
Tyler - really like what I see, 50%
Levi - mostly rematches, 90%
MM - a few unknown landmines, works to his advantage - 90%
Cstarr - Knee considerations, 80%
Bernie - 50% due to Foca/Plott or something along the way
Brooks - 99%, that's all
Kerk - 90% - anything can happen
Sure would like to see another unbelievable event like the StLou finals a few years back. Running off 5 in a row was a sporting event high for me (which includes a couple of superbowls). I'll follow up and see how I did
Davis - maybe less than a 50% chance to reach the finals. Few landmines, and 125
Aaron - 3 major landmines to the finals... 30%
Beau - 70% chance of making finals
Tyler - really like what I see, 50%
Levi - mostly rematches, 90%
MM - a few unknown landmines, works to his advantage - 90%
Cstarr - Knee considerations, 80%
Bernie - 50% due to Foca/Plott or something along the way
Brooks - 99%, that's all
Kerk - 90% - anything can happen
Sure would like to see another unbelievable event like the StLou finals a few years back. Running off 5 in a row was a sporting event high for me (which includes a couple of superbowls). I'll follow up and see how I did
So did Marinelli, Eierman, Kemmerer, and Spencer.
Some of your % are insane.Trying to be practical here and knowing anything can happen. The % are based on making it to the finals.
Davis - maybe less than a 50% chance to reach the finals. Few landmines, and 125
Aaron - 3 major landmines to the finals... 30%
Beau - 70% chance of making finals
Tyler - really like what I see, 50%
Levi - mostly rematches, 90%
MM - a few unknown landmines, works to his advantage - 90%
Cstarr - Knee considerations, 80%
Bernie - 50% due to Foca/Plott or something along the way
Brooks - 99%, that's all
Kerk - 90% - anything can happen
Sure would like to see another unbelievable event like the StLou finals a few years back. Running off 5 in a row was a sporting event high for me (which includes a couple of superbowls). I'll follow up and see how I did
For instance, you do realize that the odds of winning a 50/50 coin flip 3x in a row is only 12.5%.
So statiscally the Hawks are due to overachieve!!
That is how it works but then adjusted for Cael math it somehow ends up being 70%
Ayala and Woods have a great draw to the semis. PK might have the best if Griffith is in bad shape though. Franek and Caliendo both have a shot though I wouldn’t pick it.
Their finals streak is on Woods and Ayala obviously.
Their finals streak is on Woods and Ayala obviously.
I don’t think mean reversion is a thing in this. LOL.
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