NCAA Tourney Wrestlestat Simulation

[jmadden1998]

I ran the entire bracket through the wrestlestat comparison tool. Here are the results.

Team Scores (Top 10)

1. Penn St 150
2. Ohio St 73
3. Oklahoma St 62.5
4. NC State 60
5. Cornell 58
5. Iowa St 58
5. Nebraska 58
8. Iowa 57.5
9. Missouri 53
10. Lehigh 52.5

125

1. Ramos
2. Ayala
3. Davis
4. Stanich
5. McKee
6. Spratley
7. Noto
8. Surtin

133

1. Fix
2. Arujau
3. Bouzakis
4. Crookham
5. Nagao
6. Shawver
7. Bailey
8. Frost

Teske goes 2-2. Beats Cardinal, Loses to Crookham, Beats Brown, Loses to Nagao.

141

1. Mendez
2. Woods
3. Bartlett
4. Hardy
5. Jamison
6. Echemendia
7. McNeil
8. Matthews

Jamison from Okie St beats Bartlett in the quarters and then Woods beats him in the semi’s.

149

1. Henson
2. Kasak
3. Watters
4. Lovett
5. Parco
6. Arrington
7. Gomez
8. Kinner

Rathjen beats Williams, loses to Henson, beats Swisher, beats Miller, loses to Parco in the round of 12.

157

1. Haines
2. Shapiro
3. Scott
4. Teemer
5. Downey
6. Robb
7. Mauller
8. Andonian

Franek beats Blaze, beats Kellar, loses to Teemer and loses to Downey in the round of 12.

165

1. Hamiti
2. Mesenbrink
3. Carr
4. O’Toole
5. Caliendo
6. Amine
7. Ramirez
8. Hall

Hamiti beats Carr in the quarters and O’Toole in the semis. Caliendo loses to Mesenbrink in the semis, loses to Carr and then beats Amine for 5th.

174

1. Starocci
2. Welsh
3. Lewis
4. Griffith
5. Gaitan
6. Ruth
7. Kennedy
8. Wolak

Kennedy loses to Griffith in the quarters, beats DeVos, loses to Lewis and beats Wolak for 7th.

184

1. Keckeisen
2. Plott
3. Rogotzke
4. Pinto
5. Salazar
6. Fishback
7. Berge
8. Hawks

Truax beats Pine, loses to Hawks, beats Soldano and loses to Foca.

197

1. Brooks
2. Sloan
3. Elam
4. Hidlay
5. Beard
6. Jaxon Smith
7. Cardenas
8. Poznanski

Glazier beats Andy Smith, loses to Allred, beats Ben Smith, beats Novak, loses to Beard in the round of 12.

285

1. Hendrickson
2. Schultz
3. Kerkvliet
4. Bastida
5. Taylor
6. Pitzer
7. Trephan
8. Elam

Hill loses to Trephan, beats Kluever, loses to Ghadiali

Schultz beats Kerkvliet in the semis.

Tom Ryan must have hacked the system. 😂😂

16 seed Bouzakis finished 3rd, 6 seed Welsh finishes 2nd and 18 seed Rogotzke finishes 3rd.

 

[WaffleShopper]

Believable until heavyweight.

 

[psumacw]

165 looks wild. and yeah, only way schultz beats kerk is if they wrestle greco

 

[Verolion]

Just looking 133, Aaron needs to lose Nasir Bailey.

If he wins he has Crookham. Then goes consolation to meet loser of Vito/Kai Orine. May not place.

But if he loses he has Brody Teske, then Dylan Ragusin/ Shaver loser. Wins both and places

 

[nerfstate]

I ran the entire bracket through the wrestlestat comparison tool. Here are the results.

Team Scores (Top 10)

1. Penn St 150
2. Ohio St 73
3. Oklahoma St 62.5
4. NC State 60
5. Cornell 58
5. Iowa St 58
5. Nebraska 58
8. Iowa 57.5
9. Missouri 53
10. Lehigh 52.5

125

1. Ramos
2. Ayala
3. Davis
4. Stanich
5. McKee
6. Spratley
7. Noto
8. Surtin

133

1. Fix
2. Arujau
3. Bouzakis
4. Crookham
5. Nagao
6. Shawver
7. Bailey
8. Frost

Teske goes 2-2. Beats Cardinal, Loses to Crookham, Beats Brown, Loses to Nagao.

141

1. Mendez
2. Woods
3. Bartlett
4. Hardy
5. Jamison
6. Echemendia
7. McNeil
8. Matthews

Jamison from Okie St beats Bartlett in the quarters and then Woods beats him in the semi’s.

149

1. Henson
2. Kasak
3. Watters
4. Lovett
5. Parco
6. Arrington
7. Gomez
8. Kinner

Rathjen beats Williams, loses to Henson, beats Swisher, beats Miller, loses to Parco in the round of 12.

157

1. Haines
2. Shapiro
3. Scott
4. Teemer
5. Downey
6. Robb
7. Mauller
8. Andonian

Franek beats Blaze, beats Kellar, loses to Teemer and loses to Downey in the round of 12.

165

1. Hamiti
2. Mesenbrink
3. Carr
4. O’Toole
5. Caliendo
6. Amine
7. Ramirez
8. Hall

Hamiti beats Carr in the quarters and O’Toole in the semis. Caliendo loses to Mesenbrink in the semis, loses to Carr and then beats Amine for 5th.

174

1. Starocci
2. Welsh
3. Lewis
4. Griffith
5. Gaitan
6. Ruth
7. Kennedy
8. Wolak

Kennedy loses to Griffith in the quarters, beats DeVos, loses to Lewis and beats Wolak for 7th.

184

1. Keckeisen
2. Plott
3. Rogotzke
4. Pinto
5. Salazar
6. Fishback
7. Berge
8. Hawks

Truax beats Pine, loses to Hawks, beats Soldano and loses to Foca.

197

1. Brooks
2. Sloan
3. Elam
4. Hidlay
5. Beard
6. Jaxon Smith
7. Cardenas
8. Poznanski

Glazier beats Andy Smith, loses to Allred, beats Ben Smith, beats Novak, loses to Beard in the round of 12.

285

1. Hendrickson
2. Schultz
3. Kerkvliet
4. Bastida
5. Taylor
6. Pitzer
7. Trephan
8. Elam

Hill loses to Trephan, beats Kluever, loses to Ghadiali

Schultz beats Kerkvliet in the semis.

Tom Ryan must have hacked the system. 😂😂

16 seed Bouzakis finished 3rd, 6 seed Welsh finishes 2nd and 18 seed Rogotzke finishes 3rd.

Wow dude, you are a real hero!

Do you by chance have your full bracket you could share?

I am surprised to see Nc St 4th after @Unbiased_football_fan 's model so strongly predicted 2nd for them.

 

[PSUbluTX]

Believable until heavyweight.

 

[CSauertiegPSU]

Just looking 133, Aaron needs to lose Nasir Bailey.

If he wins he has Crookham. Then goes consolation to meet loser of Vito/Kai Orine. May not place.

But if he loses he has Brody Teske, then Dylan Ragusin/ Shaver loser. Wins both and places

He wouldn’t see Orine-Vito until consi quarters. He’d have Latona/Ragusin loser most likely in the bloodround

 

[amattaro]

Just looking 133, Aaron needs to lose Nasir Bailey.

If he wins he has Crookham. Then goes consolation to meet loser of Vito/Kai Orine. May not place.

But if he loses he has Brody Teske, then Dylan Ragusin/ Shaver loser. Wins both and places

 

[District four]

You wtf. Nageo can just run the gambit to the finals

 

[Dogwelder]

Just looking 133, Aaron needs to lose Nasir Bailey. …

Verolion, did your account get hacked by Veromouse? 😉

 

[Sullivan]

I ran the entire bracket through the wrestlestat comparison tool. Here are the results.

Team Scores (Top 10)

1. Penn St 150
2. Ohio St 73
3. Oklahoma St 62.5
4. NC State 60
5. Cornell 58
5. Iowa St 58
5. Nebraska 58
8. Iowa 57.5
9. Missouri 53
10. Lehigh 52.5

125

1. Ramos
2. Ayala
3. Davis
4. Stanich
5. McKee
6. Spratley
7. Noto
8. Surtin

133

1. Fix
2. Arujau
3. Bouzakis
4. Crookham
5. Nagao
6. Shawver
7. Bailey
8. Frost

Teske goes 2-2. Beats Cardinal, Loses to Crookham, Beats Brown, Loses to Nagao.

141

1. Mendez
2. Woods
3. Bartlett
4. Hardy
5. Jamison
6. Echemendia
7. McNeil
8. Matthews

Jamison from Okie St beats Bartlett in the quarters and then Woods beats him in the semi’s.

149

1. Henson
2. Kasak
3. Watters
4. Lovett
5. Parco
6. Arrington
7. Gomez
8. Kinner

Rathjen beats Williams, loses to Henson, beats Swisher, beats Miller, loses to Parco in the round of 12.

157

1. Haines
2. Shapiro
3. Scott
4. Teemer
5. Downey
6. Robb
7. Mauller
8. Andonian

Franek beats Blaze, beats Kellar, loses to Teemer and loses to Downey in the round of 12.

165

1. Hamiti
2. Mesenbrink
3. Carr
4. O’Toole
5. Caliendo
6. Amine
7. Ramirez
8. Hall

Hamiti beats Carr in the quarters and O’Toole in the semis. Caliendo loses to Mesenbrink in the semis, loses to Carr and then beats Amine for 5th.

174

1. Starocci
2. Welsh
3. Lewis
4. Griffith
5. Gaitan
6. Ruth
7. Kennedy
8. Wolak

Kennedy loses to Griffith in the quarters, beats DeVos, loses to Lewis and beats Wolak for 7th.

184

1. Keckeisen
2. Plott
3. Rogotzke
4. Pinto
5. Salazar
6. Fishback
7. Berge
8. Hawks

Truax beats Pine, loses to Hawks, beats Soldano and loses to Foca.

197

1. Brooks
2. Sloan
3. Elam
4. Hidlay
5. Beard
6. Jaxon Smith
7. Cardenas
8. Poznanski

Glazier beats Andy Smith, loses to Allred, beats Ben Smith, beats Novak, loses to Beard in the round of 12.

285

1. Hendrickson
2. Schultz
3. Kerkvliet
4. Bastida
5. Taylor
6. Pitzer
7. Trephan
8. Elam

Hill loses to Trephan, beats Kluever, loses to Ghadiali

Schultz beats Kerkvliet in the semis.

Tom Ryan must have hacked the system. 😂😂

16 seed Bouzakis finished 3rd, 6 seed Welsh finishes 2nd and 18 seed Rogotzke finishes 3rd.

Iowa fans will have a meltdown if they finish 8th.

 

[CentexLion]

Just looking 133, Aaron needs to lose Nasir Bailey.

If he wins he has Crookham. Then goes consolation to meet loser of Vito/Kai Orine. May not place.

But if he loses he has Brody Teske, then Dylan Ragusin/ Shaver loser. Wins both and places

Tom Ryan approves of this strategy

 

[dicemen99]

Just looking 133, Aaron needs to lose Nasir Bailey.

If he wins he has Crookham. Then goes consolation to meet loser of Vito/Kai Orine. May not place.

But if he loses he has Brody Teske, then Dylan Ragusin/ Shaver loser. Wins both and places

You've read the bracket incorrectly. Bouzakis is on a collision course with the Orine/Vito loser after he loses to Fix. Ryan just may have him lay down in the first round given his track record.

If Aaron loses to Bailey, he probably gets the loser of Shawver/Ragusin which is no picnic. If he beats Bailey, he's probably looking at Latona for the medal.

 

[Psubiomed]

I'm not ready to concede a loss to Bailey OR Crookham at 133 yet

 

[jmadden1998]

You've read the bracket incorrectly. Bouzakis is on a collision course with the Orine/Vito loser after he loses to Fix. Ryan just may have him lay down in the first round given his track record.

If Aaron loses to Bailey, he probably gets the loser of Shawver/Ragusin which is no picnic. If he beats Bailey, he's probably looking at Latona for the medal.

In the simulation Nagao loses to Bailey 2nd round and then he reels off wins over Basile from Army, Teske, Ragusin, and Frost. Then loses to Crookham in the consi semis and beats Shawver for fifth.

 

[Verolion]

You've read the bracket incorrectly. Bouzakis is on a collision course with the Orine/Vito loser after he loses to Fix. Ryan just may have him lay down in the first round given his track record.

If Aaron loses to Bailey, he probably gets the loser of Shawver/Ragusin which is no picnic. If he beats Bailey, he's probably looking at Latona for the medal.

I was assuming he gets by Latona. That's where he meets Orine/Arujau loser. Match 564. I thought this was the blood round. Already guaranteed a place at that point.

But was wrong on losing Bailey. He needs to win.

 

[Psubiomed]

In the simulation Nagao loses to Bailey 2nd round and then he reels off wins over Basile from Army, Teske, Ragusin, and Frost. Then loses to Crookham in the consi semis and beats Shawver for fifth.

Frost? You mean "real deal" Evan Frost? Clear All American? 😂

I'm starting to really look forward to Nagao vs Bailey so Aaron can shut down all these desperate haters leeching on to any possible PSU loss