With the negative, I will also post the positive. The meeting with the surgeon today gave my parents a lot of hope. He showed them in the images how the tumor has not invaded any blood vessels or arteries, and is therefore resectable. He told them he would stage it between I and II. They were obviously very happy to hear that.
What I didn't tell my parents, because I'm certainly not going to do anything to stop them from feeling encouraged or hopeful, is that this surgeon's statements are inappropriate at this point, IMO. You cannot stage the cancer before the PET scan is completed. His CA 19-9 markers are so out of control that they indicate it has spread, whether a CT scan shows it or not. While they are not definitive, they are so high that they require a PET scan rather than a CT scan to determine if the cancer is showing up on distant organs like the liver or lungs. A pancreatic tumor that is small and not on a blood vessel or artery can immediately go from stage I to stage IV upon review of a PET scan. And the CA 19-9 markers create very serious concern about what the PET scan will show. So while I'm glad my parents see a glimmer of hope in what has been a devastating month, I'm a bit upset with the doctor for giving them that hope prior to the PET scan. They don't need a rollercoaster.
That said, I too am pleased to hear that blood vessels and arteries aren't involved. That is very significant. I am also pleased that it appears they intend to perform neoadjuvant therapy (pre-surgery chemo), which early studies tend to show plays a significant role in overall survival for patients with elevated CA 19-9 pre-op. That makes sense, of course, because if the cancer is starting to spread, you don't want to spend 3 months having surgery and recovering before you start chemo, or else the cancer that was spreading has a chance to really bloom. Instead, you knock it down, then remove the tumor, then knock it down again.
There are so many hurdles ahead that I'm glad my parents are focusing only on the one directly in front of them. I can't help but take the longer view because of course I want my unborn children to have met the greatest man they'll ever know.
Next step: PET scan. As I said above, the CA 19-9 level indicate there is serious cause for concern with what those will show. This scan being clear is imperative to his prognosis.
Step 2 - Chemo. This will be tough for me to watch him go through. My dad is normally 6', 185" and runs marathons. He's down to 165 lbs in the past month already, and this will certainly beat him down further. He is strong though, and I'm certain he'll weather this well.
Step 3 - If the PET scan was clear initially and the post-chemo PET scans are the same, the Whipple procedure to remove most of his pancreas, some of the small intestine, and part of the bile duct will occur. This will be a difficult recovery where he again could lose significant weight. It's a complex surgery with complications common. Fortunately, the surgeon they met with today and really liked is married to a Penn State grad, so he must be alright (despite being Notre Dame undergrad himself).
Step 4 - He is able to go with us for our planned trip to Disney World next March. He grew up a Mickey Mouse Clubhouse kid in the 50s and owns a timeshare at the Boardwalk Resort at Disney World that has allowed our family to create incredible memories over the years. It would absolutely destroy him if he were unable to go on this trip with what is at stake.
Step 5 - Adjuvant therapy (post-surgery chemo). Frankly you're beating the odds by a mile to even reach this point. Only 20% of tumors are resectable to begin with. More of those folks are found not be resectable once the surgery begins. Even more are unable to recover enough to begin post-surgery chemo.
Step 6 - Regular scans, tests, and therapies to monitor whether the cancer has spread or returned, depending on where it was after step 4.
Step 7 - 5 years later, the doctors tell him to move on with his life and stop coming back for testing. Only 9% of pancreatic cancer patients ever reach this point, and those with CA 19-9 levels like my dad are more like 3%. Someone has to comprise that 3% though, and if anyone can, it's him.
I'm going to continue posting updates through this process in this thread. I want to provide my knowledge and guidance to my parents through this, but I don't want to ever get them down with my tendency to be too blunt with statistics and likelihoods. So I'll get that stuff out here. It's ok if nobody reads or follows along, it's really just for me. I'm not on social media anywhere, so this is my outlet. Hopefully I'll be posting updates for quite some time.