I'll be a contrarian and say that Purdue is better than their record. They certainly didn't roll over to Nebraska. They have a good passer and have figured out how to put up points. Historically, PSU hasn't done well vs the spread after beating tOSU.
Having said that, I think our receivers are overdue for a big production day. Hopefully, Gesicki and Thompkins will be OK. This will also open things up for Saquon if we get it going early