The REAL .....Improved.....Guaranteed....Final 2018 Recruiting Rankings

[Sportfan2017]

Here you go.....Giving greater weight to the top 20 overall recruits....and increasing the difference near the top.....I think this is a much more accurate prediction of the expected point contributions of the various recruiting classes of each school. Of course injuries and such will mess up a few individuals...but assuming injuries spread equally....the comparisons should hold up over time. I still think it needs improvement For instance...Wisconsin, Northwestern and Purdue come out slightly ahead of Iowa but I would bet money that....at BIGS and Nationals.... Cassioppi and Brands outscore the recruits from these 3 schools over the course of their careers. That said....I am much more confident that these will stand the test of time.

I used FLO's Big Board 2018 rankings and assigned points accordingly ( after a few test runs ):

1. 150 Pts ....... 6. 121....... 11. 105
2. 142 .............. 7. 117....... 12. 102
3. 135 ........... .. 8. 114....... 13. 100
4. 129 .............. 9. 111.......
5. 125 ............. 10. 108
From 14-20......drop 2 points each placement. So #20 is 88 points. After that......drop 1 point per placement.......Giving #100 5 points

Here are the absolute Final rankings.......file them away.....they WILL stand the test of time :

1. Penn State .......2, 11, 12, 16, 20, 22, 34 ................... 683 Pts.
2. Ohio State.........4, 10, 15, 24, 35, 37, 78, 98..............589 Pts
3. Minnesota.........1, 13, 29, 38.......................................394 Pts.
4. Michigan...........3, 7, 28................................................330 Pts.
5. Missouri............39, 41, 42, 54, 73, 84, 89...................313 Pts
6. Nebraska..........9, 27, 31, 66, 100................................309 Pts.
7. N.C. State.........18, 23, 56, 74, 81................................277 Pts.
8. Princeton...........17, 40, 67, 86......................................214 Pts.
9. Ok. State...........6, 33.....................................................196 Pts.
10. Iowa St............5, 45....................................................185 Pts.
11. Stanford..........19, 21, 99............................................179 Pts.
12. N. Carolina.....46, 47, 52.............................................170 Pts.
13. Wisconsin......50, 53, 75.............................................137 Pts.
14. Northwestern.49, 58, 72.............................................136 Pts.
15. Purdue............36, 55....................................................120 Pts.
16. Az. State.........8............................................................114 Pts.
17. Iowa................14, 93....................................................110 Pts.
18. Rutgers..........65, 69, 85.................................................96 Pts.
19. Penn..............26..............................................................80 Pts.
20. Rider..............32..............................................................74 Pts.

Others: N. Iowa 61, V. Tech 60, Cornell 54, Fresno State 35, Lehigh 34, Oklahoma 27, PITT 26 Tee Hee

I think this more accurately reflects the Tournament points you can expect from these recruits. Let's see how I did in 4-5 years

Again......If you have any comments or Criticisms....NOTE THE NEW NUMBER...feel free to call or text....1-800 BITE- ME- HARD..................................... It is 2:45 AM....ENJOY.......ZZZZZzzzzz

 

[86PSUPaul]

The new number has too many digits!

Btw, thanks for the analysis!

 

[jack66]

Nice

 

[matter7172]

Those are unusually large and deep classes for PSU and tOSU. Gonna be hard to keep pace with the B1G Two.

 

[jack66]

What is now, is pretty much what will be.

The center of college wrestling has moved to the east

 

[CentexLion]

Here you go.....Giving greater weight to the top 20 overall recruits....and increasing the difference near the top.....I think this is a much more accurate prediction of the expected point contributions of the various recruiting classes of each school. Of course injuries and such will mess up a few individuals...but assuming injuries spread equally....the comparisons should hold up over time. I still think it needs improvement For instance...Wisconsin, Northwestern and Purdue come out slightly ahead of Iowa but I would bet money that....at BIGS and Nationals.... Cassioppi and Brands outscore the recruits from these 3 schools over the course of their careers. That said....I am much more confident that these will stand the test of time.

I used FLO's Big Board 2018 rankings and assigned points accordingly ( after a few test runs ):

1. 150 Pts ....... 6. 121....... 11. 105
2. 142 .............. 7. 117....... 12. 102
3. 135 ........... .. 8. 114....... 13. 100
4. 129 .............. 9. 111.......
5. 125 ............. 10. 108
From 14-20......drop 2 points each placement. So #20 is 88 points. After that......drop 1 point per placement.......Giving #100 5 points

Here are the absolute Final rankings.......file them away.....they WILL stand the test of time :

1. Penn State .......2, 11, 12, 16, 20, 22, 34 ................... 683 Pts.
2. Ohio State.........4, 10, 15, 24, 35, 37, 78, 98..............589 Pts
3. Minnesota.........1, 13, 29, 38.......................................394 Pts.
4. Michigan...........3, 7, 28................................................330 Pts.
5. Missouri............39, 41, 42, 54, 73, 84, 89...................313 Pts
6. Nebraska..........9, 27, 31, 66, 100................................309 Pts.
7. N.C. State.........18, 23, 56, 74, 81................................277 Pts.
8. Princeton...........17, 40, 67, 86......................................214 Pts.
9. Ok. State...........6, 33.....................................................196 Pts.
10. Iowa St............5, 45....................................................185 Pts.
11. Stanford..........19, 21, 99............................................179 Pts.
12. N. Carolina.....46, 47, 52.............................................170 Pts.
13. Wisconsin......50, 53, 75.............................................137 Pts.
14. Northwestern.49, 58, 72.............................................136 Pts.
15. Perdue............36, 55....................................................120 Pts.
16. Az. State.........8............................................................114 Pts.
17. Iowa................14, 93....................................................110 Pts.
18. Rutgers..........65, 69, 85.................................................96 Pts.
19. Penn..............26..............................................................80 Pts.
20. Rider..............32..............................................................74 Pts.

Others: N. Iowa 61, V. Tech 60, Cornell 54, Fresno State 35, Lehigh 34, Oklahoma 27, PITT 26 Tee Hee

I think this more accurately reflects the Tournament points you can expect from these recruits. Let's see how I did in 4-5 years

Again......If you have any comments or Criticisms....NOTE THE NEW NUMBER...feel free to call or text....1-800 BITE- ME- HARD..................................... It is 2:45 AM....ENJOY.......ZZZZZzzzzz

Thanks for the work. Nice. Can you stay up through the weekend and look at the last 10 classes and see if it correlates to team points at NCAAs? That would help me out quite a bit

 

[Sportfan2017]

The new number has too many digits!

Btw, thanks for the analysis!

That # includes my extension. Sorry for the confusion

 

[Chickenman Testa]

Thanks for the work. Nice. Can you stay up through the weekend and look at the last 10 classes and see if it correlates to team points at NCAAs? That would help me out quite a bit

 

[GogglesPaizano]

I think the recruiting rankings model can still be improved. I see no adjustment that takes into consideration the Cael Sanderson (Zen Master Ninja multiplier). Where a #2 recruit attending PSU is not equivalent to the same #2 going elsewhere.

 

[Sportfan2017]

I think the recruiting rankings model can still be improved. I see no adjustment that takes into consideration the Cael Sanderson (Zen Master Ninja multiplier). Where a #2 recruit attending PSU is not equivalent to the same #2 going elsewhere.

That is exactly what MAY be inferred after a few years of analysis. Time will tell if your premise has statistical merit.

 

[Sportfan2017]

Thanks for the work. Nice. Can you stay up through the weekend and look at the last 10 classes and see if it correlates to team points at NCAAs? That would help me out quite a bit

I would.....but I have to shampoo the giraffe.... And Yes.....that is what they are calling it now

 

[matter7172]

That is exactly what MAY be inferred after a few years of analysis. Time will tell if your premise has statistical merit.

Someone did that analysis about a year ago, I think. It was abundantly clear that Cael and crew do a much better job with top recruits than do other programs.

 

[NoVa Lion]

Someone did that analysis about a year ago, I think. It was abundantly clear that Cael and crew do a much better job with top recruits than do other programs.

I would love to see that analysis, but I have no doubt it will show what you say it does. Our results at NCAAs under Cael make that as you say, abundantly clear.

 

[matter7172]

I would love to see that analysis, but I have no doubt it will show what you say it does. Our results at NCAAs under Cael make that as you say, abundantly clear.

Perhaps someone else here will be able to point the way to it. I'm blanking at the moment. It was a very comprehensive study.

 

[Sportfan2017]

Perhaps someone else here will be able to point the way to it. I'm blanking at the moment. It was a very comprehensive study.

I should have a pretty big block of time Sunday and Monday......I'll see what I can do

 

[Antaeus]

View embedded media

I do believe you win my vote for the best response ever! My wife is wondering what I’m still laughing about.

 

[Chickenman Testa]

I do believe you win my vote for the best response ever! My wife is wondering what I’m still laughing about.

Classic scene. The classically trained, eminently dignified John Gielgud swearing like that cracks me up every time.

 

[jack66]

I'd say Cael's batting average is pretty good.

Of 14 top-10 wrestlers who have hit the mats only Andrew Alton and Jake Kemerer failed to AA. Andrew was injured most of his career and Jake transferred after wrestling just one year in a PSU singlet.

If you have corrections please refer them to Sportfan's 800 number.

 

[CowboyUp61]

Again......If you have any comments or Criticisms....NOTE THE NEW NUMBER...feel free to call or text....1-800 BITE- ME- HARD..................................... It is 2:45 AM....ENJOY.......ZZZZZzzzzz

How many times has Spyker called, and what did he order?

 

[jammenz]

The center of college wrestling has moved to the east

Don't you mean Midwest?

 

[Lyons212]

I'd say Cael's batting average is pretty good.

Of 14 top-10 wrestlers who have hit the mats only Andrew Alton and Jake Kemerer failed to AA. Andrew was injured most of his career and Jake transferred after wrestling just one year in a PSU singlet.

If you have corrections please refer them to Sportfan's 800 number.

Jake should not count, he was a walkon who was told he needed to change his style in order to be successful in college. He didn't and left PSU.

 

[Dogwelder]

Don't you mean Midwest?

The way it works is, you can say Midwest to mean East, but you can’t do it the other way around. #ResultsDontLie

 

[nitlion6]

Don't you mean Midwest?

Eastern edge of the Midwest. It should be easy enough to understand, the impact of Cael and breadth of Penn State is such that geographic boundaries have been altered. Denial of the obvious reality is just so gooferesque.

 

[Sportfan2017]

How many times has Spyker called, and what did he order?

Numerous times.....as far as what was ordered..........lets just say they all went out wrapped in brown paper.......and some of them were leaking. Who buys used??

 

[El-Jefe]

Don't you mean Midwest?

You're half right -- he meant "from the Midwest."

 

[Sportfan2017]

Those are unusually large and deep classes for PSU and tOSU. Gonna be hard to keep pace with the B1G Two.

Keep in mind.....this is for the year 2018. Last year I had Iowa and Cornell as the clear 1 and 2. But this SPECIFIC #1 and #2 class should outscore others by a measurable margin over their careers.

 

[findtheStrength]

Makes me wonder who was the best recruiting class ever, as far as which class as a whole scored the most career points at NCAAs