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Thread on testing & treatment research for COVID-19

Hopefully, infections decline by Feb. If they do, that won’t be due to the current vaccination schedule. The vast majority of the spread is in groups not on the list for vaccinations in this go round.

It may well ease strain on hospital systems and reduce the number of hospitalizations or deaths but we should be realistic. Even if 20 million people are vaccinated from the total of 40 million doses of Pfizer and Moderna that is still only 6% of the total population. That’s too small to cut the spread so dramatically.
Case count as those that test positive is a vague number as there are too many false positives. What is critical is hospitalizations and ICU admits. And that is what will fall in Feb as the most vulnerable......health workers and nursing home residents........are vaccinated.
 
Congrats to @dailybuck777 ! Over 100 pages, over 4000 posts, and over 160,000 views. Has to be a record.

This has been one of the best sources for news, data, research, and more on the pandemic, treatments, and vaccines that has really helped keep me keep up to date. Thanks to Tom for the huge volume of posts he put up from various credible sources. And to the others that did the same plus helped analyze the information so we all could understand it better.

The AKB has been amazing!
 
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Congrats to @dailybuck777 ! Over 100 pages, over 4000 posts, and over 160,000 views. Has to be a record.

This has been one of the best sources for news, data, research, and more on the pandemic, treatments, and vaccines that has really helped keep me keep up to date. Thanks to Tom for the huge volume of posts he put up from various credible sources. And to the others that did the same plus helped analysis the information so we all could understand it better.

The AKB has been amazing!
Tom and others have done 98% of the work.
 
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so the negative nellies out already. didn't take long. i am beginning to think that there is a certain portion of the population that doesn't want to see Covid go away as they enjoy the chaos for whatever reason.

I think you're totally mischaracterizing that article. Most/all of the individuals quoted in the article are medical experts, who really want the coronavirus to be eliminated. They also are more aware of the challenges of getting to that place than are most, and are just warning against the public easing up on the most basic practices before most of the population has been vaccinated.
 
Case count as those that test positive is a vague number as there are too many false positives. What is critical is hospitalizations and ICU admits. And that is what will fall in Feb as the most vulnerable......health workers and nursing home residents........are vaccinated.

If the daily new cases stay at or above levels since Thanksgiving in the next four weeks then I don’t see a precipitous drop in death rate even with vaccinations. I’d love to be wrong but I think we need to drop new infections probably by 50 - 100K daily plus the vaccinations to see that decline. That can happen but the case rate isn’t dropping that much on vaccinations alone.
 
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“There’s been a tremendous failure of data on this,” said Brown University economist Emily Oster, who has studied Covid-19 and schools and said authorities often overreacted to the few cases that appeared in schools. In early September, she organized a team of data scientists to track confirmed cases in schools across the country.

The effort, which has grown to track more than 9,000 schools and more than four million students doing in-person learning nationwide, found a biweekly infection rate of 0.22% among students and 0.42% among staff as of early November. The rate equates to 1.1 children and 2.1 staffers infected per 1,000 each week. The project’s preliminary results indicate that nationwide, students who attend school are infected at a rate that is 27% lower than the case rate of communities they live in.
 

Biggest hurdle to full time is teachers union.
“There’s been a tremendous failure of data on this,” said Brown University economist Emily Oster, who has studied Covid-19 and schools and said authorities often overreacted to the few cases that appeared in schools. In early September, she organized a team of data scientists to track confirmed cases in schools across the country.

The effort, which has grown to track more than 9,000 schools and more than four million students doing in-person learning nationwide, found a biweekly infection rate of 0.22% among students and 0.42% among staff as of early November. The rate equates to 1.1 children and 2.1 staffers infected per 1,000 each week. The project’s preliminary results indicate that nationwide, students who attend school are infected at a rate that is 27% lower than the case rate of communities they live in.
 
Botoxers beware!

Botox is fine as it is not a filler . Agents like Juvaderm are fillers . Botox paralysis small facial muscles to reduce fine wrinkles . Fillers are like an injectable paste that fill in deeper wrinkles like the marionette lines, the deep cheek creases , and plump up lips .
 
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